Vols early betting lines from DK

[OmahaOmaha]

Bama seems high to me. We've played them close lately, winning 2 of 3.

2 wins at home. Last two at bama; losses. 52-24, 34-20.

 

[OmahaOmaha]

I don't bet, but if I did, I would take bama, Florida and Georgia to cover. I don't expect to win any of those games, but I do hope I'm wrong.

You won't be very popular in here with that. Bama has handled the Vols at Tuscaloosa; wining by double digits for a while. They will be in revenge mode. And besides inexperience at QB, (#3 Nationally rated Simpson now a Jr) they are loaded. Big advantage in depth over UT. Quite a challenge.

 

[Rocky Top T]

You won't be very popular in here with that. Bama has handled the Vols at Tuscaloosa; wining by double digits for a while. They will be in revenge mode. And besides inexperience at QB, (#3 Nationally rated Simpson now a Jr) they are loaded. Big advantage in depth over UT. Quite a challenge.

I'm not very popular anyway, I just try to keep it real.

 

[Rocky Top T]

I’ll take the over on you being FOS every single year.

You are a real butthead, ain't you?

 

[xpsyclonex2002]

That Florida game is late in the season. There won't be any early season jitters by new QB's. Unless we turn out to be a bust this year, we should win outright. Our D should be as good as last year. Possibly better. Our o line is sounding like they have improved if you listen to the talking heads. Our Running backs are capable. The receiver corps had to improve. The real question is what do we have at QB? We have 3 to pick from. By the end of November, one of them will have clenched the job and own it. Probably a lower scoring game, but we win.

 

[swampfoxfan]

If the spreads remain the same I will take Tennessee in the last 3. Avoid Syracuse.

 

[kiddiedoc]

Georgia seems really low. Over the past 8 years, we have lost by 24, 28, 14 (the magical '22 season, but scored 20 fewer points than our next lowest output that year), 24, 23, 28, and 26 points. So in the last 3 home games against the Dawgs, our loss margin has been an average of 26.5 points.

So far, I've taken us to cover vs 'Cuse and UGA -7.5. Bama is tempting. I don't know how I feel about Florida. That damn Swamp has been pissing me off for a long time, now.

 

[mpfvol]

Catching UGA early is a godsend. They damn near slipped up at UK last year.

UGA early is better for the Vols . but UGA will not overlook them . The VOLS are never overlooked by any team period they get every teams best ,

 

[RDU VOL#14]

You won't be very popular in here with that. Bama has handled the Vols at Tuscaloosa; wining by double digits for a while. They will be in revenge mode. And besides inexperience at QB, (#3 Nationally rated Simpson now a Jr) they are loaded. Big advantage in depth over UT. Quite a challenge.

We’ve actually played pretty well in Tuscaloosa the past 2 times we’ve been down. That 52-24 is pretty misleading in terms of how that game went. It was a 1 score game in the 4th and we just didn’t have the horses to hang at that point. 2023 we could’ve easily been up 3 or 4 scores. And last year I’d say we stopped ourselves w/ bad turnovers and missed deep balls more than they stopped us. I’m not saying it won’t be a big challenge, but I expect us to go down there and play well.

 

[OrangeVolMan]

Bama has 2 home losses in the last 5 years. 2019 #1 LSU and 2023 # 6 Texas. Getting a W in D-BS is darn hard. 12.5 looks high but I need to see the both on the field first before I would put money down.

But I advise you NOT to bet on the Vols. I became a super critical and was an absolutely horrible fan.

That was mostly under Saban ( other than last year). Lets see how that holds up under their new coach.

 

[WillisWG]

That was mostly under Saban ( other than last year). Lets see how that holds up under their new coach.

I am all for breaking that home record trend

 

[kiddiedoc]

UGA early is better for the Vols

I might feel that way if we weren't installing a brand new QB that came in late.

 

[hUTch2002]

-13.5 vs Syracuse
+7.5 vs Georgia
+12.5 vs Bama
+4 vs Florida.

Thoughts?

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Really like those Cuse and Bama numbers.

 

[hUTch2002]

2 wins at home. Last two at bama; losses. 52-24, 34-20.

Different coach though. I don’t think we win but I’d take 12.5 points with UT against anyone, outside of maybe 2 teams.

 

[Savannahbayvol]

- means Vegas thinks that team is going to win by that amount. + is the opposite.

So with us being -13, that means Vegas thinks we will win by at least 13. You bet against Vegas, so you either bet we are going to win by more than 13, or we win by less or potentially lose. Taking the over means if we win by 14 or more, then you win the bet. If we only win by 12 or less, then you lose. If Tennessee wins by exactly 13, then you push, meaning you get the money back and neither side wins.

Basically: the winning team has to both win, and win by a specific amount in order for you to win the bet. You can also take the + and say that Syracuse is going to lose, but they will keep it within the + amount. So if you take Syracuse +13, than you are betting that Syracuse is going to lose but keep it within 13.

Slight correction. +13 doesn't necessarily mean the books think the Vols will win by 13 but that 13 is the number that will bring in an approximately even amount of money on BOTH teams Of course there is never or rarely ever the same amount wagered on both teams.

When you have to bet 11 to win 10 the books would love to see a scenario where $1100 was bet on both teams. That would bring in $2200 total. Say the you bet the Vols and they win by 15 , you would get 2100 back and the other 100 would go to the House, their profit margin.

Betting 11 to win 100 gives the House an approximate 5.5% edge . You would have to be right 52.5% of the time to break even.