Vols a No. 3 seed in latest Bracketology

The committee is going to do a selection show next Sunday releasing their current Top 16 teams, essentially naming all the current top 4 seeds...would be nice to hear Tennessee’s name called, I’m thinking win Saturday and 1-1 next week and we should be among the 16 listed.

If we go 2-1, I think we make be in the top 12
 
3-0 top 8. Jmo.

Assuming not real upsets elsewhere, I think 3-0 would put us at 9. We'd be 5-4 against quadrant 1

1. UVA
2. Villanova
3. Purdue
4. Duke
5. Kansas
6. Cincinnati
7. Xavier
8. Auburn
9. Tennessee
 
Latest is TN/ETSU in Boise. Would love to see that but of course it's early. ETSU has to win the conference tourney.
 
Boise... good lord, how did that become a site? Hard to get to and expensive to fly into. It’s the only site which I wouldn’t even entertain going to
 
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Boise... good lord, how did that become a site? Hard to get to and expensive to fly into. It’s the only site which I wouldn’t even entertain going to

That's exactly what I was thinking. Hopefully won't happen for either the Vols or Bucs. ETSU has been fun to watch, watching their game tonight. And Mercer has definitely been a surprise to me too.
 
They have an outside shot of an at large if they win out until Socon championship.

Even if ETSU were to win out and lose in the championship game of the SoCon tourney, we would go to the NIT. SoCon is still a one bid league. Maybe if we had held on at Xavier, maybe an at large chance, but most likely not. As Bruce Hornsby once sang, "that's just the way it is."
 
Even if ETSU were to win out and lose in the championship game of the SoCon tourney, we would go to the NIT. SoCon is still a one bid league. Maybe if we had held on at Xavier, maybe an at large chance, but most likely not. As Bruce Hornsby once sang, "that's just the way it is."

They where up by 20 at Xavier in the 2nd half and blew it. Had they held on, they would be 21-3 with a great win. They would have gotten a bid even if they lost the championship game. That would have put them around 27-4 or so. Tennessee does not want to see them in round 1. Not many teams do.
 
Updated matrix...

The Bracket Project's Bracket Matrix - 2018

2- Auburn
4- Tennessee
5- Kentucky
5- Florida
9- Arkansas
9- Alabama
10- Texas A&M
11- Missouri

Next 4 Out- South Carolina, Georgia

Top 16:
Villanova
Virginia
Purdue
Kansas
Duke
Xavier
Auburn
Oklahoma
Michigan State
Clemson
Arizona
Cincinnati
Texas Tech
North Carolina
Tennessee
West Virginia
 
We're now tied for 11th with Texas Tech in the NCAA team sheet super-average. (TT goes to TCU this weekend)

It will be interesting to see how much they weigh the quadrants vs the super rank, and how much value they place on q1 vs q2, and whether it's the number of wins that's important or winning %, or both. In any case, based on all the data in the team sheets, I have a hard time seeing how Tennessee wouldn't be a 3 seed if they were selected today.
 
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Texas A&M and GT are barely hanging in their current quadrant spot. If they lose 1 spot in the RPI they will be bumped down to the next quadrant. Also LSU is just below the level to get bumped to a Q2 game. Hopefully LSU can pull out a W this weekend against Arkansas. TAMU should take care of business at home vs USC, but GT will have a tough one at BC. They just aren't very good
 
My S-curve looks like this:
1. Villanova
2. UVA
3. Purdue
4. Kansas
5. Xavier
6. Duke
7. Auburn
8. Cincinnati
9. Clemson
10. Tennessee
11. Texas Tech
12. Kentucky
13. UNC
14. Oklahoma
15. Michigan St.
16. Arizona
 
I don’t know how this really works, do the people who do some of these bracketology’s also do preseason poll/rankings? If so, I bet a bunch of them feel awful stupid.
 
I don’t know how this really works, do the people who do some of these bracketology’s also do preseason poll/rankings? If so, I bet a bunch of them feel awful stupid.

No...the SEC media poll that projected us 13th was the media that covers the SEC teams, those same people aren’t doing mock brackets.
 
Wichita State is a team that will have a lot riding on how the committee rates the super-average and the quadrants. The average has them ranked 19th - or a 5 seed. But they're 0-3 vs Q1, and have 2 losses to Q2 teams. That's something when compared to a team like Bama, who is ranked 45 in the super average, but is 4-2 against Q1 teams. Last year the committee seemed to value quality wins more than they penalized bad losses, so if that were to hold true this year, could see how Bama might actually be seeded higher than them. Of course most bracketologists don't see it happening, I think this year might be harder to predict with the new way the committee looks at teams.
 
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SAT seed list (CAPS=AQ): 01-NOVA, 02-UVA, 03-PURD, 04-KU; 05-Duke, 06-MichSt, 07-Xav, 08-AUB; 09-CINCY, 10-Clem, 11-Okla, 12-ZONA; 13-TTech, 14-OhioSt, 15-Unc, 16-Tenn; 17-Uk, 18-WichSt, 19-Wvu, 20-SHall; 21-Lville, 22-SMC, 23-Miami, 24-Flor; 25-Zaga, 26-URI, 27-NEV, 28-Tcu, 29-Creigh, 30-But, 31-Mich, 32-Texas; 33-FlaSt, 34-Ark, 35-Usc, 36-Bama; 37-KanSt, 38-TexA&M, 39-Asu, 40-MTSU; 41-Hou, 42-Prov, 43-NCSt, 44-Wash; 45-NMST, 46-Mizzo, 47-VaTech, 48-Marq, 49-ULL, 50-LOYCHI, ...51-BUFF, 52-VERM, 53-ETSU, 54-SODAKST; 55-BELM, 56-MONT, 57-BICK, 58-UCSB; 59-COFC, 60-RIDER, 61-WRIGHT, 62-PENN; 63-FGCU, 64-WAGNER, 65-RAD, 66-NOLA, 67-SAVST, 68-ARKPB.

FIRST OUT: Boise, UGa, WKU, Nebraska.
NEXT OUT: SMU, SoCar, Cuse, Md.
FOUR MORE: ND, UCLA, Bona, Utah.
 
Up to #7 in the KenPom ratings after Kansas loss. Not sure Duke's loss has been factored in yet.
 
7th in KenPom
12th in BPI - up 2 spots
16th in Sagarin - up 6 spots I think.

RPI/SOR/KPI will probably be mostly unchanged?
 

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