VFL-82-JP
Bleedin' Orange...
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Their advantage will linger, I think, but only because "success begets success." They have played for national titles a lot recently, so players will continue to be attracted to them in the short term in hopes of a repeat.Maybe you missed my central point. Both Saban and Kirby are going to be successful with the NIL just like they are now. It's wishful thinking that they all of a sudden are going to drop off with regard to talent and winning but they will not. Just mark my words they will thrive in the area of the NIL
But--if you believe Alabama cheated in recruiting like few other programs in the nation, over a period of many decades and in a way that is ultra-fine-tuned as a result of all that experience--their core advantage is disappearing, thanks to NIL. In fact, as @kcvols1 points out, Bama's long-standing advantage now turns into a financial disadvantage.
And as NIL levels the playing field, or at least shifts it in favor of programs like ours who thrive in the new environment, Bama and UGa will have less and less of a monopoly on SEC titles and CFP berths. And that will spell an end to even their reputational advantage.
I see all of this playing out over the next five years. It shouldn't take any longer than that. Which is why I firmly believe, (a) the Vols are going to start beating Bama on the field soon, and (b) Saban is going to retire in not too many years. I'm hoping that (a) causes (b), in fact.
Go Vols!