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That's a good comparison. Like you, I don't know all the contextual specifics of that situation, but it certainly may provide a useful analog.
Honestly, if Russia moves in, I don't think anyone does anything. Their forces will clash with some protesters, but that's probably all that happens. Rest of the world will just watch. It will set a very bad precedent for Putin's international rapport however.
I don't think Putin cares about his international rapport.
