UGA by the numbers

#26
#26
Hawkeye4588 said:
Circa Sports released its odds on next Saturday's road matchup against Tennessee, and the Bulldogs began as 22.5-point favorites over the Volunteers. The line has since moved to Georgia being a 25-point favorite. ESPN's FPI gives Georgia a 91.3 percent chance to win, which is up from 88.3 last week and is the third-highest win percentage for the Bulldogs in the eight remaining games, lower than only Kentucky (94 percent) and Georgia Tech (98.4 percent). The Bulldogs are 23-23-2 all-time against Tennessee. Georgia has won the last two in the series, with a 38-12 home win in 2018 against then first-year head coach Jeremy Pruitt and a 41-0 road win in 2017 that handed Tennessee its first shut out since Florida (31-0) in 1993. The numbers are all kind of bleak.

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These numbers bleak too, though UT D not bad either...then I look at SEC offense stats, and we're last in yards/game and last in passing yards/game. UGA game plan pretty simple. Run the ball heavily, pass when necessary, stack the box on D.
Yds per Game Allowed
3. Missouri - 231.3
9. Georgia - 262.5
16. Florida - 277.8
26. Texas A&M - 299.8
32. LSU - 320.0
33. Auburn - 320.2
38. Alabama - 325.4
42. Tennessee - 339.8
67. South Carolina - 390.8
75. Kentucky - 395.8
76. Arkansas - 396.2
77. Mississippi St - 401.4
97. Ole Miss - 421.2
125. Vanderbilt - 501.5

Rushing YPG Allowed
5. Georgia - 57
16. Florida - 86.8
21. Auburn - 95.2
23. Missouri - 95.8
24. LSU - 96.5
32. Ole Miss - 106.8
33. Texas A&M - 108.4
48. Alabama - 134.8
54. South Carolina - 139.0
58. Arkansas - 144.4
66. Tennessee - 149.8
74. Mississippi St - 158
79. Vanderbilt - 160.8
90. Kentucky - 171.2

Passing YPG Allowed
4. Missouri - 135.5
28. Tennessee - 190
29. Alabama - 190.6
30. Florida - 191
32. Texas A&M -191.4
46. Georgia - 205.5
69. LSU - 223.5
71. Kentucky - 224.6
72. Auburn - 225.0
85. Mississippi St - 243.4
93. South Carolina - 251.8
93. Arkansas - 251.8
123. Ole Miss - 314.4
128. Vanderbilt - 340.8
 
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#27
#27
Fellas, this will not be a weird game. It will not be a close game. It will not be a fun game.

I know we always say any team has a chance and that is why you play the game...but this one is about as close to "no need to even play" as you can get. It's going to be a boat race. Do stuff around the house, take the wife out to dinner, take a trip, something. If you go into this game with any expectation other than a one-sided slaughter you will be disappointed.
 
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#29
#29
njvols said:
These numbers bleak too, though UT D not bad either...then I look at SEC offense stats, and we're last in yards/game and last in passing yards/game. UGA game plan pretty simple. Run the ball heavily, pass when necessary, stack the box on D.
Yds per Game Allowed
3. Missouri - 231.3
9. Georgia - 262.5
16. Florida - 277.8
26. Texas A&M - 299.8
32. LSU - 320.0
33. Auburn - 320.2
38. Alabama - 325.4
42. Tennessee - 339.8
67. South Carolina - 390.8
75. Kentucky - 395.8
76. Arkansas - 396.2
77. Mississippi St - 401.4
97. Ole Miss - 421.2
125. Vanderbilt - 501.5

Rushing YPG Allowed
5. Georgia - 57
16. Florida - 86.8
21. Auburn - 95.2
23. Missouri - 95.8
24. LSU - 96.5
32. Ole Miss - 106.8
33. Texas A&M - 108.4
48. Alabama - 134.8
54. South Carolina - 139.0
58. Arkansas - 144.4
66. Tennessee - 149.8
74. Mississippi St - 158
79. Vanderbilt - 160.8
90. Kentucky - 171.2

Passing YPG Allowed
4. Missouri - 135.5
28. Tennessee - 190
29. Alabama - 190.6
30. Florida - 191
32. Texas A&M -191.4
46. Georgia - 205.5
69. LSU - 223.5
71. Kentucky - 224.6
72. Auburn - 225.0
85. Mississippi St - 243.4
93. South Carolina - 251.8
93. Arkansas - 251.8
123. Ole Miss - 314.4
128. Vanderbilt - 340.8
Click to expand...

Since JG will probably be starting, we won't be able to pass. So we will be forced to run against the best rush d in the sec?

That sounds pleasant. Lol
 
#31
#31
I hate this time of year lately. My mother in law is a Georgia fan. Wish me luck.

Bright side: she pulls for TN when we don't play now at least so... she isn't mean about it lol
 
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#32
#32
'Boro-vol said:
I know you do, and you are entitled to your misguided opinion.

Keep smokin’ that hope-ium.
Click to expand...

well, when you're a long-time fan that bleeds orange...what else is there...:D

PS. this series has seen some strange things in it's history...HOPE we see some more...;)

GO BIG ORANGE...BEAT THE DAWGS!
 
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#37
#37
njVols, those are some pretty damning numbers. Not a lot of hope there. I guess the next question to ask is how well did Pruitt and Smart get along. It seems like I have heard rumors they do not like each other. Will Smart pull back on the reigns or is he going to wear us out?
 
#39
#39
njvols said:
These numbers bleak too, though UT D not bad either...then I look at SEC offense stats, and we're last in yards/game and last in passing yards/game. UGA game plan pretty simple. Run the ball heavily, pass when necessary, stack the box on D.
Yds per Game Allowed
3. Missouri - 231.3
9. Georgia - 262.5
16. Florida - 277.8
26. Texas A&M - 299.8
32. LSU - 320.0
33. Auburn - 320.2
38. Alabama - 325.4
42. Tennessee - 339.8
67. South Carolina - 390.8
75. Kentucky - 395.8
76. Arkansas - 396.2
77. Mississippi St - 401.4
97. Ole Miss - 421.2
125. Vanderbilt - 501.5

Rushing YPG Allowed
5. Georgia - 57
16. Florida - 86.8
21. Auburn - 95.2
23. Missouri - 95.8
24. LSU - 96.5
32. Ole Miss - 106.8
33. Texas A&M - 108.4
48. Alabama - 134.8
54. South Carolina - 139.0
58. Arkansas - 144.4
66. Tennessee - 149.8
74. Mississippi St - 158
79. Vanderbilt - 160.8
90. Kentucky - 171.2

Passing YPG Allowed
4. Missouri - 135.5
28. Tennessee - 190
29. Alabama - 190.6
30. Florida - 191
32. Texas A&M -191.4
46. Georgia - 205.5
69. LSU - 223.5
71. Kentucky - 224.6
72. Auburn - 225.0
85. Mississippi St - 243.4
93. South Carolina - 251.8
93. Arkansas - 251.8
123. Ole Miss - 314.4
128. Vanderbilt - 340.8
Click to expand...

This is why I see Georgia as the most difficult team to upset. They have a strong O-line and they are absolutely loaded at RB. While people on VN have bitched and moaned about how our pass defense is horrible, the stats don't support that claim at all. Our pass D is reasonably good. Run D is still where our bigger problems lie; and it's mostly an issue of depth on D-line. We've done better this year than I expected, but Georgia will have our front 7 worn out by the 4th Quarter.

The only way to win is for us to just put up a bunch of points and keep the D off the field ... which we've shown no capacity to do thus far this season.

I'll watch the game for awhile, but if it's anything like 2017, I'm turning it off.
 
#41
#41
DiderotsGhost said:
This is why I see Georgia as the most difficult team to upset. They have a strong O-line and they are absolutely loaded at RB. While people on VN have bitched and moaned about how our pass defense is horrible, the stats don't support that claim at all. Our pass D is reasonably good. Run D is still where our bigger problems lie; and it's mostly an issue of depth on D-line. We've done better this year than I expected, but Georgia will have our front 7 worn out by the 4th Quarter.

The only way to win is for us to just put up a bunch of points and keep the D off the field ... which we've shown no capacity to do thus far this season.

I'll watch the game for awhile, but if it's anything like 2017, I'm turning it off.
Click to expand...

Take the smart approach, friend. Casually follow along on your phone while watching a team with a real QB play, then if we magically are in it late in the game, turn it on.

Kidding. Sort of.

I'll be with people. One of whom loves to give me s*** when UT does bad, even though he isn't a football fan. I'll only turn it on if we're doing well.
 
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