Coach Jumper
"the right words"
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Much has been discussed re non-use of timeouts to stop runs
The following article is so far the basis for not calling one:
This is 3 independent researchers from Cornell
The causal effect of a timeout at stopping an opposing run in the NBA (article below,,,note the last line)
In the summer of 2017, the National Basketball Association reduced the number of total timeouts, along with other rule changes, to regulate the flow of the game. With these rule changes, it becomes increasingly important for coaches to effectively manage their timeouts. Understanding the utility of a timeout under various game scenarios, e.g., during an opposing team's run, is of the utmost importance. There are two schools of thought when the opposition is on a run: (1) call a timeout and allow your team to rest and regroup, or (2) save a timeout and hope your team can make corrections during play. This paper investigates the credence of these tenets using the Rubin causal model framework to quantify the causal effect of a timeout in the presence of an opposing team's run. Too often overlooked, we carefully consider the stable unit-treatment-value assumption (SUTVA) in this context and use SUTVA to motivate our definition of units. To measure the effect of a timeout, we introduce a novel, interpretable outcome based on the score difference to describe broad changes in the scoring dynamics. This outcome is well-suited for situations where the quantity of interest fluctuates frequently, a commonality in many sports analytics applications. We conclude from our analysis that while comebacks frequently occur after a run, it is slightly disadvantageous to call a timeout during a run by the opposing team and further demonstrate that the magnitude of this effect varies by franchise.
the 3 writers of this paper:
Connor P Gibbs: has posted two studies;
1: ECoHeN: A Hypothesis Testing Framework for Extracting Communities from Heterogeneous Networks
2: The causal effect of a timeout at stopping an opposing run in the NBA
Ryan Elmore: has posted 6 studies;
1: Simulation-Based Decision Making in the NFL using NFLSimulatoR
2: The causal effect of a timeout at stopping an opposing run in the NBA
3: Bang the Can Slowly: An Investigation into the 2017 Houston Astros
4: Modeling Sums of Exchangeable Binary Variables
5: Prioritized Data Compression using Wavelets
6: Keeping greed good: sparse regression under design uncertainty with application to biomass characterization
Bailey Fosdick: 18 studies;
This is an article form the website: "Basketball for Coaches"
The 5 Moments Throughout a Game You Must Call a Timeout
The 5 Moments Throughout a Game You Must Call a Timeout
Timeouts are a crucial part of a basketball game and can be the difference between going home with a win or a loss. Yes… they’re that important.
Every coach must learn at what stage of the game their timeouts will have the best impact on your teams success.
I received an e-mail a couple of days ago requesting advice on when the best times are throughout a game to call a timeout. Obviously, this differ from game to game, but there some hard-and-fast rules that every coach seem’s to stick by that I want to share with you.
Here are five times throughout a game when you should call a timeout.
The 5 Moments You Must Call A Timeout
1. To stop the momentum of the other team (and the crowd)
Just as your team will undoubtedly get hot during certain stretches games, there will be times when the opposition also goes on a run where they seem to make every shot they attempt. Once this starts to happen, their players build on their confidence and your players will start to doubt themselves. If nothing is changed this can quickly turn into a disaster and the next time you look up at the scoreboard the opposition has put on a quick 10 points. Which will possibly be the difference in the game.
Having said that, you should always call a timeout in this situation. Especially if you’re playing on the road. It calm’s down the crowd, re-focuses your players, and cools down the opposition players.
It’s all about momentum. You don’t want to let the other team get their confidence up.
2. To change your game strategy
Another reason to call a timeout is when you want to make a big change in your strategy.
For example, if you’re in a zone-press and it’s just not working and you want to bring your players back into a man-to-man defense. Or you’re getting killed in the post and need to explain to your players who you want to double the post.
Sometimes it can be hard to call out the changes that you want to be made, especially with younger players. You need to call a timeout so that you can talk to them and explain the changes without distractions.
3. To draw up a specific play
This is most often used towards the end of a game. Ever wondered why the last 3 minutes of a basketball game seem to go for 10 minutes? Timeouts are the reason. In a close game that goes down to the wire it’s not uncommon to see 3 or 4 timeouts called in the last couple of minutes.
Down the stretch is when a coach can start to be the crucial difference in a game. Calling a timeout gives you the opportunity to diagram a new play to give you an open look. Whereas if you didn’t call a timeout, your players may be forced to run a play that the other team may have learned how to defend during the game and your players may not get an open look.
4. To give your players a rest without substituting
3 minutes to go, the scores are tied, but unfortunately, your best player is running out of gas. Do you really want to sub them out of the game for a chance to rest? I doubt it.
That’s where timeouts come in handy. They allow you to give your players a break without being forced to substitute them out of the game.
5. To fire up your team
I was on the ledge as to whether to include this one as some might think ‘to fire up your team’ also falls under the ‘momentum’ point. But I don’t think it does.
We’ve all coached games where our players start off the game sluggish and seem mentally out of it regardless of what the score is.
This is a time you should call a timeout to give them a good ol’ kick up the backside to get them focused on the game at hand.
Personally I will take advice from a coaching site...Your input and opinions?
The following article is so far the basis for not calling one:
This is 3 independent researchers from Cornell
The causal effect of a timeout at stopping an opposing run in the NBA (article below,,,note the last line)
In the summer of 2017, the National Basketball Association reduced the number of total timeouts, along with other rule changes, to regulate the flow of the game. With these rule changes, it becomes increasingly important for coaches to effectively manage their timeouts. Understanding the utility of a timeout under various game scenarios, e.g., during an opposing team's run, is of the utmost importance. There are two schools of thought when the opposition is on a run: (1) call a timeout and allow your team to rest and regroup, or (2) save a timeout and hope your team can make corrections during play. This paper investigates the credence of these tenets using the Rubin causal model framework to quantify the causal effect of a timeout in the presence of an opposing team's run. Too often overlooked, we carefully consider the stable unit-treatment-value assumption (SUTVA) in this context and use SUTVA to motivate our definition of units. To measure the effect of a timeout, we introduce a novel, interpretable outcome based on the score difference to describe broad changes in the scoring dynamics. This outcome is well-suited for situations where the quantity of interest fluctuates frequently, a commonality in many sports analytics applications. We conclude from our analysis that while comebacks frequently occur after a run, it is slightly disadvantageous to call a timeout during a run by the opposing team and further demonstrate that the magnitude of this effect varies by franchise.
the 3 writers of this paper:
Connor P Gibbs: has posted two studies;
1: ECoHeN: A Hypothesis Testing Framework for Extracting Communities from Heterogeneous Networks
2: The causal effect of a timeout at stopping an opposing run in the NBA
Ryan Elmore: has posted 6 studies;
1: Simulation-Based Decision Making in the NFL using NFLSimulatoR
2: The causal effect of a timeout at stopping an opposing run in the NBA
3: Bang the Can Slowly: An Investigation into the 2017 Houston Astros
4: Modeling Sums of Exchangeable Binary Variables
5: Prioritized Data Compression using Wavelets
6: Keeping greed good: sparse regression under design uncertainty with application to biomass characterization
Bailey Fosdick: 18 studies;
- ECoHeN: A Hypothesis Testing Framework for Extracting Communities from Heterogeneous Networks
- Inference for Network Regression Models with Community Structure
- Sampling random graphs with specified degree sequences
- The causal effect of a timeout at stopping an opposing run in the NBA
- Non-Uniform Sampling of Fixed Margin Binary Matrices
- Regression of binary network data with exchangeable latent errors
- Inferring Influence Networks from Longitudinal Bipartite Relational Data
- etc,,...If you wich to read more form Mr. Fosdick (no I didn't make that name up) link below
- Search | arXiv e-print repository
This is an article form the website: "Basketball for Coaches"
The 5 Moments Throughout a Game You Must Call a Timeout
The 5 Moments Throughout a Game You Must Call a Timeout
Timeouts are a crucial part of a basketball game and can be the difference between going home with a win or a loss. Yes… they’re that important.
Every coach must learn at what stage of the game their timeouts will have the best impact on your teams success.
I received an e-mail a couple of days ago requesting advice on when the best times are throughout a game to call a timeout. Obviously, this differ from game to game, but there some hard-and-fast rules that every coach seem’s to stick by that I want to share with you.
Here are five times throughout a game when you should call a timeout.
The 5 Moments You Must Call A Timeout
1. To stop the momentum of the other team (and the crowd)
Just as your team will undoubtedly get hot during certain stretches games, there will be times when the opposition also goes on a run where they seem to make every shot they attempt. Once this starts to happen, their players build on their confidence and your players will start to doubt themselves. If nothing is changed this can quickly turn into a disaster and the next time you look up at the scoreboard the opposition has put on a quick 10 points. Which will possibly be the difference in the game.
Having said that, you should always call a timeout in this situation. Especially if you’re playing on the road. It calm’s down the crowd, re-focuses your players, and cools down the opposition players.
It’s all about momentum. You don’t want to let the other team get their confidence up.
2. To change your game strategy
Another reason to call a timeout is when you want to make a big change in your strategy.
For example, if you’re in a zone-press and it’s just not working and you want to bring your players back into a man-to-man defense. Or you’re getting killed in the post and need to explain to your players who you want to double the post.
Sometimes it can be hard to call out the changes that you want to be made, especially with younger players. You need to call a timeout so that you can talk to them and explain the changes without distractions.
3. To draw up a specific play
This is most often used towards the end of a game. Ever wondered why the last 3 minutes of a basketball game seem to go for 10 minutes? Timeouts are the reason. In a close game that goes down to the wire it’s not uncommon to see 3 or 4 timeouts called in the last couple of minutes.
Down the stretch is when a coach can start to be the crucial difference in a game. Calling a timeout gives you the opportunity to diagram a new play to give you an open look. Whereas if you didn’t call a timeout, your players may be forced to run a play that the other team may have learned how to defend during the game and your players may not get an open look.
4. To give your players a rest without substituting
3 minutes to go, the scores are tied, but unfortunately, your best player is running out of gas. Do you really want to sub them out of the game for a chance to rest? I doubt it.
That’s where timeouts come in handy. They allow you to give your players a break without being forced to substitute them out of the game.
5. To fire up your team
I was on the ledge as to whether to include this one as some might think ‘to fire up your team’ also falls under the ‘momentum’ point. But I don’t think it does.
We’ve all coached games where our players start off the game sluggish and seem mentally out of it regardless of what the score is.
This is a time you should call a timeout to give them a good ol’ kick up the backside to get them focused on the game at hand.
Personally I will take advice from a coaching site...Your input and opinions?
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