Memphis Grizzlies: C-minus
20-20, No. 9 in West
This has been a dizzying free fall for the Grizzlies, who have plummeted from a franchise-best 56 wins last year to .500 this year, and from a dazzling trip to the conference finals to fourth place in the Southwest Division. The major extenuating factor, of course, is a knee injury that sidelined Marc Gasol for nearly two months. The Spanish big man is the Grizzlies centerpiece on both sides of the ball, and his absence made for a Memphis team that bears little resemblance to last years group. In 2012-13, the Grizzlies grit-and-grind defense ranked second. This season, Memphis is 17th in points allowed per possession, buried near the unimpressive likes of Cleveland and Orlando. Gasol, the reigning Defensive Player of the Year, will surely help pick things up on that end now that he has returned, but he is tasked with a major excavation effort.
The good news: Memphis sits just three games out of the playoff picture and could well replace Phoenix or Dallas by seasons end, thanks in large part to All-Star-caliber play from point guard Mike Conley (18.1 points, 6.3 assists, 20.8 PER) in Gasols absence. The bad news: The clock was already ticking on the Grizzlies veteran-dominated core group, and just squeaking into the playoffs wont be enough to consider this season a success.
Indeed, the rough start to the season has been a reminder that contention windows can open and close with incredible quickness in the uber-competitive West. Falling out of the conferences top tier for any reason, injuries included forces the Grizzlies to ask some tough questions. Can first-year coach Dave Joerger resurrect the teams elite defense, or did their premier play on that end depart with former coach Lionel Hollins? Is a roster whose perimeter corps features the recently acquired Courtney Lee, the dilapidated Tayshaun Prince and the injured Quincy Pondexter capable of keeping up with the Wests premier offenses? Is it worth maintaining a payroll thats nearly in the luxury-tax territory for a team thats looking at an uphill battle to win a single playoff series? Is it time to start imagining a life without Zach Randolph, who is making $17.8 million this season and can become a free agent in the summer? Have we reached the point where this teams core should really only consist of the Gasol/Conley pairing?
These arent questions that Memphis thought it would be facing so quickly after its 2013 joy ride, but they will all loom large unless Gasol can lead a major turnaround by April.