The "Experts"

#1
W

WiseOlVol

Well-Known Member
Joined
Jan 15, 2010
Messages
3,996
Likes
3,455
#1
,,,would be out here in Las Vegas with me if they thought they were doing more than guessing.

The fundamental mistake they make is assuming college football is linear. It isn't, particlualry with teams ranked between 20 and 50.

In addition to ignoring that NCSU has 1 5* (OL) and 4 4*s ON THE WHOLE TEAM, they incorrectly (stupidly) assume:

1. Hunter + CP < DRogers + no one
2. UT will have another UNPRECEDENTED bad running game, although the OLine returns 105 starts (#3 in FBS) and (quintessential) 3* Poole is replaced by 3 MUCH better and now more experienced athletes
3. Bray being 100% and a year older is irrelevant (although he's still projected the #1 or #2 QB in the 2014 NFL draft -- what do NFL scouts know compared to these "Experts"?)
4. Sal Sunseri's 2 shiny NC rings and a mostly upperclassmen Defense will have no effect

But I'm glad they continue to pile on -- the line has moved down 4 points (to 3.5) and I hope it keeps going. Maybe CDD can announce that the team bus has a flat tire and move it down another point or 2.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 2 people
#2
#2
2: It's not all about starts. Hopefully we have the talent, too. And I think the bad run game was on the poor OL play as much as Poole last year.
 
#8
#8
I think that they also miss the fact that we've sold about 30,000 more tickets and they probably won't be able to hear a damn thing on offense.
 
#10
#10
I don't care what the experts or line says, alot of pressure is on UT to win this game. That alone works in NCSU's favor.
 
#15
#15
is it sad that i keep forgetting we even had poole last year? I remember runs by devrin and lane more than i do Poole.
 
#17
#17
deezvols said:
is it sad that i keep forgetting we even had poole last year? I remember runs by devrin and lane more than i do Poole.
Click to expand...

As someone very humorously posted the other day "The Invisible Turf Monster tripped Poole up at least 15 times a game." Hopefully Graham has sufficiently slayed the evil turf monster and we only have to worry about our opponents making "tackles" this season.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 person
#18
#18
Preds&Vols said:
As someone very humorously posted the other day "The Invisible Turf Monster tripped Poole up at least 15 times a game." Hopefully Graham has sufficiently slayed the evil turf monster and we only have to worry about our opponents making "tackles" this season.
Click to expand...

Remember JG's 80 yd run vs. Alabama in the rain in the 96 game to ice the comeback?

Neal would have gotten to the end zone a second faster.
 
#20
#20
WiseOlVol said:
I'm more suprised by O/U at 52

With NCSU's weak run defense, Bray will get at least 10sets of downs inside the redzone. All he has to do it throw it up into the corner to Hunter and it's 6.
Click to expand...

Yeah, it's always that easy. It amazes me how a fan base coming of two straight losing seasons (and three out of the last four) can be so overconfident going into a game.

Do I think we will win the game? Yes, I think we will find a way. But we are not going to win by merely showing up. We are going to have to play well.
 
#21
#21
It's also not linear between conferences, which you would think everyone would understand by now...yes we lost to KY, but we also lost to 3 teams ranked in the top 5 at one point and 6 teams ranked in the top 15 at some point last year. The NC State wins against Clem(p)son and Louisville are nice wins, but with the same schedule it is highly logical to think the Vols would have had the same amount of wins (would not have been beaten down by superior teams all season). Vegas gets it.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 2 people
#22
#22
EZE said:
Yeah, it's always that easy. It amazes me how a fan base coming of two straight losing seasons (and three out of the last four) can be so overconfident going into a game.

Do I think we will win the game? Yes, I think we will find a way. But we are not going to win by merely showing up. We are going to have to play well.
Click to expand...

Hunter averaged 22 ypc as a Freshman -- with Simms and Freshman Bray throwing. And he has consistently been projected a higher draft (#2 behind Woods) than DRogers in the 2014 draft. He's also a high jumper. Had he played all year, 2011 would have been a winning season.

No one says we win by showing up. I just don't think the total points will be under 52. And I give Hunter 3 TDs for openers.
 
#23
#23
WiseOlVol said:
,,,would be out here in Las Vegas with me if they thought they were doing more than guessing.

The fundamental mistake they make is assuming college football is linear. It isn't, particlualry with teams ranked between 20 and 50.

In addition to ignoring that NCSU has 1 5* (OL) and 4 4*s ON THE WHOLE TEAM, they incorrectly (stupidly) assume:

1. Hunter + CP < DRogers + no one
2. UT will have another UNPRECEDENTED bad running game, although the OLine returns 105 starts (#3 in FBS) and (quintessential) 3* Poole is replaced by 3 MUCH better and now more experienced athletes
3. Bray being 100% and a year older is irrelevant (although he's still projected the #1 or #2 QB in the 2014 NFL draft -- what do NFL scouts know compared to these "Experts"?)
4. Sal Sunseri's 2 shiny NC rings and a mostly upperclassmen Defense will have no effect

But I'm glad they continue to pile on -- the line has moved down 4 points (to 3.5) and I hope it keeps going. Maybe CDD can announce that the team bus has a flat tire and move it down another point or 2.
Click to expand...





^ Touche, touche!
 
#24
#24
nashvol1 said:
It's also not linear between conferences, which you would think everyone would understand by now...yes we lost to KY, but we also lost to 3 teams ranked in the top 5 at one point and 6 teams ranked in the top 15 at some point last year. The NC State wins against Clem(p)son and Louisville are nice wins, but with the same schedule it is highly logical to think the Vols would have had the same amount of wins (would not have been beaten down by superior teams all season). Vegas gets it.
Click to expand...

People make more educated decisions when money is on the line. The "Experts" are not paid to be correct...they're paid to get page views.
 
#25
#25
hunter best watch is other knee as you know opposing players will go for it trying to take him out of the game or our season.
 
New posts
You must log in or register to reply here.

VN Store



Back
Top