VFL-82-JP
Bleedin' Orange...
- Joined
- Jan 17, 2015
- Messages
- 20,445
- Likes
- 56,121
The 14 Plays that Decided the Oklahoma Game
I'm writing this to close a chapter in the 2015 season, to put Oklahoma behind us, or at least behind me. I started really studying the game tape to figure out why we lost, see what we could learn from it.
And what I found was 14 plays that stood out in deciding the OK game. All decisions or actions by our players and coaches that could very realistically have been done differently, and which would likely or certainly have changed the game's outcome from a loss to a win. Any ONE of these plays could have done that.
But before I lay out the 14 plays I found, a bit on what's not included here:
What that means: this was a winnable game! That should give every Vols player and fan hope for the rest of the season; we very nearly beat a very good Oklahoma team. And the fact that we didn't isn't Butch's fault, it's not DeBord's, it's not Josh's, or Colton's, or Moseley's, or Foreman's, or any one person's. This is a team game, and the whole team contributed to the outcome with good plays and not-so-good plays. We accept it as a team, as a family, we learn from it, and we move forward.
That's it for me; Oklahoma 2015 chapter is closed. I'm not looking back any more.
Go Vols!
* this is the opportunity cost -- from a likely TD down to a likely FG; net cost is 4 points ... on one of these, Medley's missed FG two plays later would cost the team the other 3 points of the drive.
I'm writing this to close a chapter in the 2015 season, to put Oklahoma behind us, or at least behind me. I started really studying the game tape to figure out why we lost, see what we could learn from it.
And what I found was 14 plays that stood out in deciding the OK game. All decisions or actions by our players and coaches that could very realistically have been done differently, and which would likely or certainly have changed the game's outcome from a loss to a win. Any ONE of these plays could have done that.
But before I lay out the 14 plays I found, a bit on what's not included here:
- No plays that could have gone differently to OK's benefit. There were plenty of these, too. But we're looking for game-changing differences. Since OK already won, we're only looking for the plays that could flip the game to a Vols win.
- No counting drives that never got going. We punted 9 times; any of those drives could have produced points. But most of them did not have promise; they were never close to scoring. So, I'm not including any plays from drives that didn't approach the red zone.
- No "X should have been playing instead of Y." We know maybe 5% of what the coaches know about these players and their skillsets. We simply don't have enough info to second guess them (though some of us try). Also, even if player X is better than player Y, that doesn't mean Y wouldn't be in as a substitute during a particular play. Which means there is potentially no change to the outcome anyway. For those two reasons, not getting into any of this kind of complaining and second-guessing; it serves no purpose.
- No vague "adjustment of scheme" complaints. Any neophyte can say that OK's coaches adjusted their scheme during the game better than the Vols' coaches. But to make this claim, you gotta find the place on the tape where they actually did something different, clear evidence of a scheme change or adjustment that TN did not respond to. Otherwise, this is just blabbing, just mist and clouds.
- No missed calls or bad calls by the refs (with one exception). Don't get me wrong; there were plenty of these in the game. But they cut both ways. We could have won if some had gone our way. But we could have lost in regulation if others had not. The refs did not cost us this game, we did that ourselves (as you will see below).
- No depth concerns. Watched the game again looking specifically for guys getting gassed. And saw it equally on both sides. Both sides slowed down. Blocking by both OLines deteriorated over the 2nd half. Both DLines got sloppier. The only discernable difference between OK's team and ours as the game got late was in tackling: our arm tackles got weaker, whlie theirs did not. Something to work on.
- PLAY #1 -- 1st Qtr -- settled for FG on 4th & Goal from 1/2 yd line -- cost: 4 points -- error: Butch
- PLAY #2 -- 3rd Qtr -- Alex Ellis dropped pass at OK 12 yard line -- cost: 4 points* -- error: Ellis
- PLAY #3 -- 3rd Qtr -- Aaron Medley missed 48 yd FG -- cost: 3 points -- error: Medley
- PLAY #4 -- 3rd Qtr -- Hurd fumble on 1st & 10 at OK 29 ... recovered, but loss of 12 yds, destroyed momentum of TKJr Int -- cost: 7 points -- error: Hurd
- PLAY #5 -- 4th Qtr -- Jumper holding penalty cost an OK 4th & 8; drive ended in TD -- cost: 7 points -- error: Jumper
- PLAY #6 -- 4th Qtr -- 2nd & 14, holding penalty against OK declined by coaches; would've put OK back at 18, 1st & 24 -- questionable call, no sure cost, listing here because it has been mentioned by many; coaches gambled and won with a very similar declined penalty in 1st Half that led to an OK punt -- cost: unknown
- PLAY #7 -- 4th Qtr -- 3rd & 8, Jumper holding penalty #2 of the drive; but he shares blame with four different defenders who each could have sacked a scrambling Mayfield before he ever got the chance to throw; all four whiffed on their tackles -- cost: 7 points -- error: Vereen, Williams, Weatherd, JRM, and Jumper
- PLAY #8 -- 4th Qtr -- 3rd & 4 @ TN 33, Moseley slips and falls, leaving Westbrook free to catch pass for 1st down -- cost: 4th down and possible punt or FG att on TD drive: 4 points* -- error: Moseley
- PLAY #9 -- 4th Qtr -- 3rd & G from TN 3, JRM has responsibility for Perine, but bites on QB, leaving RB free to catch pass for TD -- cost: 4 points* -- error: JRM
- PLAY #10 -- 4th Qtr -- 3rd & 4 @ TN 40, Barnett and Williams whiff tackles for sack; QB then completes pass for 1st down on TD drive -- cost: 7 points -- error: Barnett, Williams
- PLAY #11 -- 4th Qtr -- 2nd & 14 @ TN 31, Foreman bowls over WR in end zone, pass interference -- cost: 4 points* -- error: Foreman
- PLAY #12 -- 4th Qtr -- Kickoff return called back for holding by Bynum; starting drive @ 20 instead of 45, no chance for score before end of regulation -- cost: 3 points -- error: Bynum
- PLAY #13 -- 2nd OT -- Foreman falls while covering Shepard, who catches pass for TD -- cost: 7 points -- error: Foreman
- PLAY #14 -- 2nd OT -- Dobbs throws int -- cost: 7 points -- error: Dobbs
What that means: this was a winnable game! That should give every Vols player and fan hope for the rest of the season; we very nearly beat a very good Oklahoma team. And the fact that we didn't isn't Butch's fault, it's not DeBord's, it's not Josh's, or Colton's, or Moseley's, or Foreman's, or any one person's. This is a team game, and the whole team contributed to the outcome with good plays and not-so-good plays. We accept it as a team, as a family, we learn from it, and we move forward.
That's it for me; Oklahoma 2015 chapter is closed. I'm not looking back any more.
Go Vols!
* this is the opportunity cost -- from a likely TD down to a likely FG; net cost is 4 points ... on one of these, Medley's missed FG two plays later would cost the team the other 3 points of the drive.
Last edited: