cbbowlingmd
Doctor of Orange
- Joined
- Sep 8, 2009
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Tennessee has to hold the record for playing the most games against teams who have the hero, last game, we are going to win it for him or whatever sentimental thing that fires them up.
The public is all over Mizzou for the perceived emotional factor around Pinkel's last game. It wasn't even sharp money coming in, just a week's worth of public dumping money on Mizzou.It takes a lot of early money coming in on Missouri to move a betting line 2 1/2 points. It'll be interesting to see what the line is at kick-off. Frankly, I like our Vols at -6 1/2. If it drops another point/point and a half, I'm all in....
I think they've lost a couple of DTsMizzou has a strong interior line, but if we use the edge properly, we should score 24 to 30 points.
It opened at -9, that's where they thought they'd get the most action on both sides. It's down to -6.5/-7 now because people pounded the other sideThey're looking for action on both sides. 6 1/2 is a good line for that, they'll get it.
You are correct on steering clear, which is the best play, but some people like to bet on Vols, and if there was a time to do it, it was at -6.5 when Vegas thought -9 was a fair price.I would steer clear of this one. FWIW my prediction has us winning by 8, but I could see a 3 TD win or an outright loss.
2014 Florida was an ouch for me at every level.Don't bet on your favorite team folks. It's a set-up for disaster.
You're welcome :hi: