It's hard to argue against the fact that many of our top recruits either do not develop in any meaningful way or take years to do it. It is frankly why I believe we haven't seen the success come yet.
Butch Jones and Tennessee have an alarming deficiency developing talent
"Since Butch Jones took over at Tennessee in December of 2012, he's gotten his fair share of those Top100-caliber recruits. In the classes of 2013, 2014 and 2015, Jones has brought in 10 players out of the high school ranks that fell into the Top100 according to the recruiting industry generated 247Sports Composite.
Those players were:
DT, Kahlil McKenzie (No. 6, class of 2015)
WR, Josh Malone (No. 36, class of 2014)
DE, Kyle Phillips (No. 36, class of 2015)
RB, Jalen Hurd (No. 40, class of 2014)
WR, Preston Williams (No. 48, class of 2015)
DT, Shy Tuttle (No. 53, class of 2015)
OT, Drew Richmond (No. 54, class of 2015)
S, Todd Kelly Jr. (No. 61, class of 2014)
WR, Marquez North (No. 90, class of 2013)
LB, Dillon Bates (No. 95, class of 2014)
Since arriving on campus, that group has been a collective bust. If we say that a Top100 player should correlate in talent to a NFL draft pick in the first three rounds (which is the way 247Sports projects our rankings), then Tennessee has hit on three of 10 if we're being generous.
Two of those hits would be Shy Tuttle and Jalen Hurd. While Tuttle has been very good when he's on the field, injury issues have rendered him ineffective this fall. Meanwhile Hurd has voluntarily left the team just a few yards shy of Tennessee's all-time rushing record. NFL sources have indicated to me that despite his red flags, he's still very much in the picture as a high draft pick.
After a slow start to his career, Josh Malone is having a breakout junior season at wide receiver and still has time to "make it," so we included him in the three-out-of-10 tally. McKenzie, Richmond and Phillips still have time to develop, too, even if it looks unlikely that they fulfill their lofty expectations. Preston Williams flashed early in his career but if he matches his ranking it will be at Colorado State, where he's transferred.
So that puts Tennessee in a best-case scenario of a 30 percent hit rate on franchise players. Of course maybe it's not Tennessee's fault that its players are overrated. But when you compare similarly ranked players at some of Tennessee's rivals, there's a huge discrepancy in that hit rate."