Tennessee 64% Chance of Winning

[ncaafman]

According to StatShark.com - the Vols have a 64% chance of winning the bowl game.

StatShark uses the same forecasting technology used on ESPN and CBS sportsline.

Here's their game summary:

Tennessee is forecasted to play a good balanced offensive game. Erik Ainge is forecasted for 230 yds and over 1 TD while LaMarcus Coker and the rest of the Tennessee RBs are combining for over 110 yds rushing. These are impressive numbers vs the Penn St defense. Anthony Morelli is playing OK with 170 yds passing, but he is averaging just 0.7 TDs per sim. Tony Hunt is rushing for 71 yds and the advantage Tennessee has rushing the ball and passing the ball give them the clear edge on the scoreboard. They are winning 67% of simulations.

Check out numbers and previews for other games also:
StatShark.com - Penn State vs Tennessee

 

[orange+white=heaven]

This forecast any more reliable than the weather guy's?

 

[Fine Vol]

Very interesting post but I personally would not put any faith in a computer outcome because it cannot predict injuries, turnovers, or really bad coaching decisions.

 

[All Vol!]

Very interesting post but I personally would not put any faith in a computer outcome because it cannot predict injuries, turnovers, or really bad coaching decisions.

...or player arrests :banghead2:

 

[ncaafman]

True, anything can happen during the game, but the simulations are updated reguarly so the percentages may change. I'm not sure how often they will update during the bowl season, but during the reuglar season they updated the sims 3 times a week.

StatShark - Simulation Schedule

They were 10-2 on game winners for the Vols during the regular season.

 

[Buckethead556]

I must say I like those odds.

 

[kptvol]

64% of the time, we win everytime.

 

[FenianVol]

whats stat sharks record like?

 

[NCGatorBait]

100%

 

[FenianVol]

100%

Im guessing you are hoping its wrong in the BCS game

 

[NCGatorBait]

Im guessing you are hoping its wrong in the BCS game

I like UF's chances

 

[FenianVol]

I like UF's chances

me too unfortunately! OSU and ESBIGTEN are taking the Gators too lightly, although would be interested to see how OSU's line and secondary handle the spread option

 

[VolinArizona]

Very interesting post but I personally would not put any faith in a computer outcome because it cannot predict injuries, turnovers, or really bad coaching decisions.

It can predict turnovers.

 

[ncaafman]

Download the attached document and checkout page 4. It doesn't break them down by individual team record in this report. But I bought a 1 week subscription and it breaks down the sim performances of each individual team. It's pretty good stuff.

I've been using the reports and online tools for different pickem' games and an office pool I'm in. I also entered StatShark's pickem' game.

Hopefully I can come out on top one of them...

 

[KSVOL]

So why are we playing the game. The computer thinks we will likely win. Lets chalk up the W and move on to spring practice.

 

[jkll]

STATE in awe of VOLS speed. JOEPA could actually outrun most of the STATE players before he broke his leg. Now statshark intimidates them even more. I wouldn't blame them if they didn't show up for the game.

 

[hohenfelsvol]

STATE in awe of VOLS speed. JOEPA could actually outrun most of the STATE players before he broke his leg. Now statshark intimidates them even more. I wouldn't blame them if they didn't show up for the game.

Now he's even with them?