Taking a look to next year (long)

#27
#27
tvols75 said:
Which is why I am confident. Georgia loses 3 seniors on an offensive line that has zero depth. They are going to be in the position we are with having to patchwork it with younger players next year. Orson Charles is gone. Huge blow to that offense.

On Defense they lose Tyson and Boykins.


Their defense will be stout but if I'm UGA, I'm extremely worried about the O-line.
Click to expand...

Orson Charles isn't going anywhere next year...
 
#29
#29
smokey79 said:
I can probaly give ya 5, Alabama,Florida,Arkansas,Georgia,South Carolina okay we should go 7-5 next year at worst.
Click to expand...

Alabama- I give you that

Florida- Losing Brantley, Rainey, and Demps. Good luck with that prediction.

Arkansas- Top 3 WRs gone, 2 OL gone, 1 DL gone, 2 LBs gone, 2 DBs gone. Good luck with that.

Georgia- toss up game. That OL should be in shambles. Love their defense next year.

USCe- Has an awful passing attack right now and loses the best WR in the SEC. 2 OL gone. 2 DL gone. 2 DBs gone. Good luck with that.
 
#30
#30
Incipient said:
We might not even play Arkansas anyways.
Click to expand...

Where is this rumor coming from? This thread is the first time I have seen that we might play both SEC newcomers next year. I'm not sure that there will be much difference in playing Arkansas and aTm next year with all that Ark is losing. I assume either way it will still be a home game?
 
#32
#32
Incipient said:
*NC State
*Georgia State
*Troy
*Akron
*Vandy
*Kentucky

*three of: Missouri, Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, Texas A&M(?), Alabama

Sounds reasonable to me.
Click to expand...

I agree.

Missouri is losing 5 Srs on defense and 6 on offense. They have Frankin coming back who can beat you with his legs but that game should be very winnable. For the sake of this post I'll go ahead and call it a win.


Florida has shown that they aren't very good without Brantley but I think Weiss will develop at least one of their 2 Fr QBs into a reliable QB by next year. They lose Demps and Rainey so that's great but other than that, they don't lose much. They'll return 4 OL, Jordan Reed, and 10 starters on defense unless Bostic goes to the NFL. Even if he leaves, they will be LOADED on defense. Their offense should be stoppable so with a healthy Justin Hunter and home-field advantage, I think we could win a low-scoring game if we limit turnovers. I'll call this one a swing game.


Georgia is going to have a GREAT team next year. They have to replace 3 OL but they'll be doing it with 2 Jrs and Watts Danzler who's listed at 6-7/310 right now and could be 6-7/325 next year. He'll be a true So. They only lose 2 Srs on defense and the game is in Athens. This will most likely be a loss.

South Carolina.. Connor Shaw will be better but he's not very good. Alshon will be in the NFL.. Lattimore will be coming off a torn ACL but Wilds was very effective against us. They do have Ace Saunders and Bruce Ellington returning at WR so it'd still be risky to load the box. They will be replacing their best two OL so that's a positive.. They return 7 starters on defense assuming Swearinger and Gilmore don't to pro but one of their losses is Melvin Ingram. The game is in Columbia but I don't think Shaw can beat us if we load the box so I'm close to calling this a win but I'll say it's a swing game.

Texas A&M or Mississippi State.. A&M loses Tannehill, Gray, AND Fuller next year but 5 returning OL should help minimize the impact of losing those guys. Still though, I think they take a big step back on offense. Defensively, they lose 5 players: 3 in the secondary and 2 of their 3-man DL. They will have 5 Srs on D next year if none of their Jrs leave for the NFL but hey are awful on D this year and shouldn't improve much (if any) considering their loses. I think this would be a win for Tennessee. MSU is suffering through some injuries on their OL this season but their inability to replace those guys shows that they don't have the depth to replace 3 Sr starters without taking a step back from where they were at the beginning of the season. Their QB play will be better, Perkins is a playmaker, Bumphis and Smith are good WR but I don't see them being able to run the ball and Russell isn't the kind of QB that will pick you apart. They lose 4 players on defense and possible 6 if Banks and Cox go pro and I think Banks definitely will. If so, they'll be replacing 3 starters in their secondary. I think this would also be a win for Tennessee.

Alabama, that's probably a loss.

Summary:

NC State - W
Georgia State - W
Troy - W
Akron - W
Vandy - W
Kentucky - W
Missouri - W
Florida - ?
Georgia - L
South Carolina - ?
Texas A&M/MSU - W
Alabama - L

That's 8 wins for those that can't count. We get to 9 if we can beat Florida in Knoxville or South Carolina in Columbia. I think we'll beat one of those two but we'll lose a game we shouldn't and finish with 8 wins. 7 would be a minor let down but Dooley would keep his job. 6 would be bad but 10 is as likely as 6 IMO.


Edit: I did not account for the possibility of playing Arkansas. Obviously, they lose their best WRs but they return Wilson and what should be a 3-headed monster at RB and 3 starting OL. Their defense returns 7 starters. The game would be in Neyland and could turn into a QB dual of epic proportions. If Arkansas is on the schedule, my prediction (8 wins) would most likely stay the same but 9 wins would be less likely.
 
Last edited:
#33
#33
Slobber Knocker said:
Where is this rumor coming from? This thread is the first time I have seen that we might play both SEC newcomers next year. I'm not sure that there will be much difference in playing Arkansas and aTm next year with all that Ark is losing. I assume either way it will still be a home game?
Click to expand...

I'm pretty sure it came from a RexVol thread somewhere, but it's simple logic that the SECW rotation will have to be interrupted at some point so that Texas A&M can jump in. If nothing's been discussed yet (contra rumors) and we're still playing eight games (as rumors say), we should have a 1/6 chance of dropping Arkansas for A&M. Whether or not it's a home game depends on whether or not Missouri is a home game.
 
#34
#34
tvols75 said:
Assuming the rumor is right, and we are playing both TX. A&M and Missouri next year, here is how I see it shaping out.

3-0 vs. OOC opponents.
2-0 vs. Vandy and Kentucky
We win 4 of the other 7 SEC games.

I personally think we go 10-2 because Florida, UGA, and USCe are losing a lot of key players. I didn't want to be called a homer though :)
Click to expand...

I agree. No excuse losing to either USCjr or Florida next year. With that...11-1?
 
#35
#35
tvols75 said:
Alabama- I give you that

Florida- Losing Brantley, Rainey, and Demps. Good luck with that prediction.

Arkansas- Top 3 WRs gone, 2 OL gone, 1 DL gone, 2 LBs gone, 2 DBs gone. Good luck with that.

Georgia- toss up game. That OL should be in shambles. Love their defense next year.

USCe- Has an awful passing attack right now and loses the best WR in the SEC. 2 OL gone. 2 DL gone. 2 DBs gone. Good luck with that.
Click to expand...
I don't think Georgia is a toss up game at this point. They will have the best offense and defense in the SECE, and it's in Athens.

I think we have a better shot against Alabama without Richardson, than we do against Georgia in Athens. JMO.
 
#36
#36
Here is my take:

NC State - W
Georgia State - W
Troy - W
Akron - W
Vandy - W
Kentucky - W
Missouri - W
Florida - Tossup
Georgia - Tossup
South Carolina - Tossup
Texas A&M/MSU - Tossup
Alabama - L

so to me we are 7-1 and then the season will be decided by the tossup games - if we split those we get to 9 wins - i think all of those will be within a 7 point spread - if Texas A&M/MSU gets swapped for LSU or Arky then we have a different story but i dont see that happening so 9 wins seems pretty getable to me
 
#39
#39
SCvol333 said:
Here is my take:

NC State - W
Georgia State - W
Troy - W
Akron - W
Vandy - W
Kentucky - W
Missouri - W
Florida - Tossup
Georgia - Tossup
South Carolina - Tossup
Texas A&M/MSU - Tossup
Alabama - L

so to me we are 7-1 and then the season will be decided by the tossup games - if we split those we get to 9 wins - i think all of those will be within a 7 point spread - if Texas A&M/MSU gets swapped for LSU or Arky then we have a different story but i dont see that happening so 9 wins seems pretty getable to me
Click to expand...

I though we were definitely playing Arky next year in Neyland?
 
#41
#41
smokey79 said:
8-4 next year at best, more than likely 7-5 or 6-6 and goodbye Dooley.
Click to expand...

You know if you are so freaking miserable being a TN fan, then go on somewhere. Its amazing how you constantly show up and ruin the entire thread. :finger3:
 
#44
#44
SGMVols said:
If UT goes 6-6 next year, Dooley absolutely should be fired. There won't be an excuse for that.
Click to expand...

I really believe DD can turn it around starting next year, but as bad as I hate to say it, if we go 6-6 again barring losing 6 starters to injury, I agree with you.
 
#45
#45
Nice write up. Not willing to give PWag a shutdown corner yet. I will give him ball hawk if we have a good safety over the top for him. I see us getting at minimum 8 wins. Disappointing season if we cant pull that off with all our main guys healthy.
 
#46
#46
volfan_28 said:
I agree.

Missouri is losing 5 Srs on defense and 6 on offense. They have Frankin coming back who can beat you with his legs but that game should be very winnable. For the sake of this post I'll go ahead and call it a win.


Florida has shown that they aren't very good without Brantley but I think Weiss will develop at least one of their 2 Fr QBs into a reliable QB by next year. They lose Demps and Rainey so that's great but other than that, they don't lose much. They'll return 4 OL, Jordan Reed, and 10 starters on defense unless Bostic goes to the NFL. Even if he leaves, they will be LOADED on defense. Their offense should be stoppable so with a healthy Justin Hunter and home-field advantage, I think we could win a low-scoring game if we limit turnovers. I'll call this one a swing game.


Georgia is going to have a GREAT team next year. They have to replace 3 OL but they'll be doing it with 2 Jrs and Watts Danzler who's listed at 6-7/310 right now and could be 6-7/325 next year. He'll be a true So. They only lose 2 Srs on defense and the game is in Athens. This will most likely be a loss.

South Carolina.. Connor Shaw will be better but he's not very good. Alshon will be in the NFL.. Lattimore will be coming off a torn ACL but Wilds was very effective against us. They do have Ace Saunders and Bruce Ellington returning at WR so it'd still be risky to load the box. They will be replacing their best two OL so that's a positive.. They return 7 starters on defense assuming Swearinger and Gilmore don't to pro but one of their losses is Melvin Ingram. The game is in Columbia but I don't think Shaw can beat us if we load the box so I'm close to calling this a win but I'll say it's a swing game.

Texas A&M or Mississippi State.. A&M loses Tannehill, Gray, AND Fuller next year but 5 returning OL should help minimize the impact of losing those guys. Still though, I think they take a big step back on offense. Defensively, they lose 5 players: 3 in the secondary and 2 of their 3-man DL. They will have 5 Srs on D next year if none of their Jrs leave for the NFL but hey are awful on D this year and shouldn't improve much (if any) considering their loses. I think this would be a win for Tennessee. MSU is suffering through some injuries on their OL this season but their inability to replace those guys shows that they don't have the depth to replace 3 Sr starters without taking a step back from where they were at the beginning of the season. Their QB play will be better, Perkins is a playmaker, Bumphis and Smith are good WR but I don't see them being able to run the ball and Russell isn't the kind of QB that will pick you apart. They lose 4 players on defense and possible 6 if Banks and Cox go pro and I think Banks definitely will. If so, they'll be replacing 3 starters in their secondary. I think this would also be a win for Tennessee.

Alabama, that's probably a loss.

Summary:

NC State - W
Georgia State - W
Troy - W
Akron - W
Vandy - W
Kentucky - W
Missouri - W
Florida - ?
Georgia - L
South Carolina - ?
Texas A&M/MSU - W
Alabama - L

That's 8 wins for those that can't count. We get to 9 if we can beat Florida in Knoxville or South Carolina in Columbia. I think we'll beat one of those two but we'll lose a game we shouldn't and finish with 8 wins. 7 would be a minor let down but Dooley would keep his job. 6 would be bad but 10 is as likely as 6 IMO.


Edit: I did not account for the possibility of playing Arkansas. Obviously, they lose their best WRs but they return Wilson and what should be a 3-headed monster at RB and 3 starting OL. Their defense returns 7 starters. The game would be in Neyland and could turn into a QB dual of epic proportions. If Arkansas is on the schedule, my prediction (8 wins) would most likely stay the same but 9 wins would be less likely.
Click to expand...

Lengthy but all great points and I'd agree with one caveat; injuries.

If we lose JH or TB for games next year then either of those 2 could cost us swing games or worse IMO. Assuming Neal, or Smith or a true freshman doesn't step up losing Lane could be the same
 
#47
#47
With the addition of Mizzou, I'm guessing that either Arkansas or state will be dropped from the schedule to make room. Or perhaps we'll be going to 9 conference games. I'm just waiting to see the revised schedule.
 
#50
#50
I've seen lots of talk about keeping 8 conference games, and only one reference to playing 9 (from the South Carolina AD).

If we keep to 8 games, we must drop Arkansas, Mississippi St, or both (if A&M rotates in).

My personal choice would be to play Mississippi St. (we could use a break), but really any of them could be won if we are as good as expected.
 
New posts
You must log in or register to reply here.
Advertisement



Back
Top