I've been telling people all summer that no way UF runs it up on us nearly as far as people think they will, but last Saturday just about changed my mind. The key to keeping it close is to run the ball and control the clock, but I no longer think we're going to have any kind of a credible enough passing threat to keep them from stacking the line and crushing our running game. Which means short possessions by us, which means that our defense will get completely worn down. Plus you have to figure that we'll give them a short field at least a couple of times too. Call me a negative nancy if you want, but four TDs no longer seems a laughable spread like it did all summer.