Strength of Schedule

#1
golfballs

golfballs

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#1
Per ESPN FPI, teams ranked based on SOS.

1. Arkansas
2. Miss St
3. S Carolina
4. Ole Miss
5. Tennessee
6. Mizzou
7. Auburn
8. Kentucky
9. Texas A&M
10. Alabama
11. Vandy
12. LSU
13. Georgia
14. Baylor
15. Kansas
16. Florida
17. Kansas St
18. Pitt
19. W Virginia
20. Oklahoma St
21. Florida St
22. Texas Tech
23. Iowa St
24. Georgia Tech
25. Wake Forest
 
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#3
#3
Holy carp, 13 of the 14 SEC teams are the 13 most difficult schedules.

Only Florida. They're the only SEC team whose schedule isn't harder than every other team in every other conference that will play this fall.

That's pretty impressive. For everyone but Florida.


EDIT: and before 99gator comes in here and starts 'splaining about how Florida and Georgia only get to play one Top 10 team each from the East, and that's why they can't have a harder SoS, let's be clear: not only did Georgia find a way to get above Baylor and Kansas, but there's not much difference at all between the SoS for Vandy (#11), the weakest team in the East, and Georgia (#13), the strongest. Being one of the stronger teams doesn't correlate here. To put it another way: all it would have taken for Florida to have an SoS less far out on the fringe of the SEC would be to replace EITHER the Arkansas OR the Ole Miss game with EITHER Auburn OR Bama. Peddle your excuses elsewhere, reptile. Heh.
 
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#4
#4
I'm pretty sure South Carolina had a very brutal schedule last year too. Muschamp having a hard time building that job keeping resume.
 
#5
#5
To make this point for the 100th time, LSU and UGA were both supposed to have difficult schedules before the SEC "equalized" them....

Now, they have 2 of the 3 easiest schedules in the SEC
 
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#7
#7
BigOrangeMojo said:
To make this point for the 100th time, LSU and UGA were both supposed to have difficult schedules before the SEC "equalized" them....

Now, they have 2 of the 3 easiest schedules in the SEC
Click to expand...

The problem is this is a straight ranking with no context around how close together the hardest schedule in the SEC and the easiest schedule in the SEC really are. When you play a 10 game all-SEC schedule there really is no easy schedule. The difference between being #14 and being #1 or #2 could be just 1 game.
 
#8
#8
VFL-82-JP said:
Holy carp, 13 of the 14 SEC teams are the 13 most difficult schedules.

Only Florida. They're the only SEC team whose schedule isn't harder than every other team in every other conference that will play this fall.

That's pretty impressive. For everyone but Florida.


EDIT: and before 99gator comes in here and starts 'splaining about how Florida and Georgia only get to play one Top 10 team each from the East, and that's why they can't have a harder SoS, let's be clear: not only did Georgia find a way to get above Baylor and Kansas, but there's not much difference at all between the SoS for Vandy (#11), the weakest team in the East, and Georgia (#13), the strongest. Being one of the stronger teams doesn't correlate here. To put it another way: all it would have taken for Florida to have an SoS less far out on the fringe of the SEC would be to replace EITHER the Arkansas OR the Ole Miss game with EITHER Auburn OR Bama. Peddle your excuses elsewhere, reptile. Heh.
Click to expand...

The only reason why UGA is ahead of UF this year is because UGA's cross-rotational team was Bama and UF's was Ole Miss.

To play devil's advocate for UF - If you inserted Bama instead of Arky, then Bama would play the Top 4 teams in the East. If you inserted Auburn, then Auburn would play the Top 4 teams in the East. UF was going to catch a break this year because their rotational opponent was Ole Miss. They "earned" that break since they played harder teams in prior years in their rotational game. I'm sure the SEC probably could have made a way for UF to play Auburn and MSU instead of AM and Arky but not sure that would have been a huge difference.

Much like UF, we "earned" our easier rotational game. UF got 1 easier extra game and 1 harder, which was a fair result. We got 2 harder games because the SEC bowed down to the wishes of UGA who got 2 cakewalks with their 2 extra games.
 
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#10
#10
MWAVolfan said:
The problem is this is a straight ranking with no context around how close together the hardest schedule in the SEC and the easiest schedule in the SEC really are. When you play a 10 game all-SEC schedule there really is no easy schedule. The difference between being #14 and being #1 or #2 could be just 1 game.
Click to expand...

There's no easy schedue; however, the SEC office shouldn't be picking winners and losers. The SEC office bowed down to the gripes of LSU and UGA and let them play the two weakest teams from the other division as Games 9 and 10.
 
#11
#11
golfballs said:
The Pac? They wouldn’t have a single team sniffing the top 25 on this list. The B1G would be mixed in, but the SEC would still be the top.
Click to expand...

Yeah but it looks a lot more dramatic when 28 teams aren't in the list and the Big10 is a harder conference than the ACC or Big12.
 
#12
#12
BigOrangeMojo said:
There's no easy schedue; however, the SEC office shouldn't be picking winners and losers. The SEC office bowed down to the gripes of LSU and UGA and let them play the two weakest teams from the other division as Games 9 and 10.
Click to expand...

Yeah but LSU was already playing Florida plus all the good teams in the west and UGA was already playing Bama and Auburn.

This kind of proves my point. If you make LSU play UGA then just that one game would give Georgia one of the hardest schedules because they would have to play the top 3 teams in the west plus UT and UF. Or you could make LSU play Tennessee and Tennessee's schedule gets even harder.

Also if the SEC is playing favorites then they forgot their most favorite team, Bama. You telling me they are going to favor UGA over Bama?
 
#13
#13
VFL-82-JP said:
Holy carp, 13 of the 14 SEC teams are the 13 most difficult schedules.

Only Florida. They're the only SEC team whose schedule isn't harder than every other team in every other conference that will play this fall.

That's pretty impressive. For everyone but Florida.


EDIT: and before 99gator comes in here and starts 'splaining about how Florida and Georgia only get to play one Top 10 team each from the East, and that's why they can't have a harder SoS, let's be clear: not only did Georgia find a way to get above Baylor and Kansas, but there's not much difference at all between the SoS for Vandy (#11), the weakest team in the East, and Georgia (#13), the strongest. Being one of the stronger teams doesn't correlate here. To put it another way: all it would have taken for Florida to have an SoS less far out on the fringe of the SEC would be to replace EITHER the Arkansas OR the Ole Miss game with EITHER Auburn OR Bama. Peddle your excuses elsewhere, reptile. Heh.
Click to expand...

I think this proves my point. Who have the weakest schedules according to this evaluator?

Florida and Georgia. Why? The Eastern division.
 
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#14
#14
MWAVolfan said:
Yeah but LSU was already playing Florida and UGA was already playing Bama and Auburn.

This kind of proves my point. If you make LSU play UGA then just that one game would give Georgia one of the hardest schedules. Or you could make LSU play Tennessee and Tennessee's schedule gets even harder.

Also if the SEC is playing favorites then they forgot their most favorite team, Bama. You telling me they are going to favor UGA over Bama?
Click to expand...

LSU isn't playing UGA this year first of all. I layed out a fairer schedule in another thread. That gives each of the Top 3 SEC East schools 1 easier and 1 harder extra game. It would have created more manageable schedules for AM, Mizzou, and Arky as well.

UGA would have played AM and MSU
UF would have played Auburn and Arky
UT would have played LSU and Ole Miss
 
#18
#18
Per ESPN FPI, ranking the SEC East SOS vs West teams. The number represents how many wins an average NCAA football team would have against the same 4 opponents.

1. South Carolina .5 win
2. Tennessee .6 win
3. Florida .9 win
4. Vanderbilt 1 win
5. Missouri 1 win
6. Kentucky 1 win
7. Georgia 1.1 win

South Carolina and Tennessee are the outliers here. Really got slighted vs the other teams in the division
 
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#19
#19
Of course all of this is probability based on assumptions. This season more than others, will have roster questions week to week. Star QBs, WRs, RBs, and defensive players missing important matchup games. Can happen any week. Will teams give 2 QBs even reps in early week practices?
 
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#20
#20
a vol n tears said:
Of course all of this is probability based on assumptions. This season more than others, will have roster questions week to week. Star QBs, WRs, RBs, and defensive players missing important matchup games. Can happen any week. Will teams give 2 QBs even reps in early week practices?
Click to expand...


By the time you get to week 3 of the schedule 20+ VOL players will be quarantined for 2 weeks and our third string middle linebacker is going to be our QB and no team will invite us to play road games.
 
#25
#25
2020 Tennessee Football Schedule
Sept. 26 at South Carolina (W)
Oct. 3 vs. Missouri (W)
Oct. 10 at Georgia (L)
Oct. 17 vs. Kentucky (W)
Oct. 24 vs. Alabama (L)
Nov. 7 at Arkansas (W)
Nov. 14 vs. Texas A&M (W)
Nov. 21 at Auburn (W)
Nov. 28 at Vanderbilt (W)
Dec. 5 vs. Florida (W)

8-2
 
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