So, who do you want now?

Who should lead UT in 2018?

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#89
#89
Steal Venables away from Clemson.

He's a seriously passionate coach that loves to WIN.

He's learned well from Dabo and his D kicks butts.

Great D will WIN Championships.

VFL...GBO!!!
 
#96
#96
Petersen is still the best choice. Plus we have couple of things in common with Petersen. We're both hated by ESPN and Herbie bad mouthing us.
 
#97
#97
theknox said:
I did some quick and dirty analysis of how most of the candidates people have talked about performed vs recruiting rankings. The results were interesting enough that I wanted to share them here.

I used the Rivals Recruiting rankings to compare the total number of stars per school and weighted them by class (Sr-40%, Jr-30%, So-20%, Fr-10%) to compare approximate roster strengths of each team. I did not factor in attrition in this analysis.

I pulled the 4 most relevant full years from each coach in the list (except Chad Morris who I pulled 3 years for) and calculated the difference between expected wins based on talent vs. actual wins.

The quick results are as follows in alphabetical order:

Brohm +4.0
Cutcliffe +3.25
Fuente +1.75
Franklin +0.25
Gundy -0.5
Jones -2.5
Kiffin -2.75
Leach +4.0
Miles -2.25
Morris -0.25
Mullen +2.5
Patterson +3.5
Petersen@Boise +2.75
Petersen@UW -1.25
Petrino +1.25
Schiano -1.25
Shaw +2.0

A more detailed set of results is listed below:
Code: 
Brohm		2017	2016	2015	2014
+4	Exp	1	6	4	10
	Act	6	11	12	8
	Diff	5	5	8	-2
					
Cutcliffe	2017	2016	2015	2014
+3.25	Exp	5	2	4	3
	Act	6	4	8	9
	Diff	1	2	4	6
					
Fuente		2017	2016	2015	2014
+1.75	Exp	10	10	4	7
	Act	9	10	9	10
	Diff	-1	0	5	3
					
Franklin	2017	2016	2015	2014
0.25	Exp	11	11	7	5
	Act	10	11	7	7
	Diff	-1	0	0	2

Gundy		2017	2016	2015	2014
-0.5	Exp	10	10	9	9
	Act	9	10	10	7
	Diff	-1	0	1	-2
					
Jones		2016	2015	2014	2013
-2.5	Exp	11	10	10	9
	Act	9	9	7	5
	Diff	-2	-1	-3	-4
					
Kiffin		2017	2013	2012	2011
-2.75	Exp	11	14	13	10
	Act	10	10	7	10
	Diff	-1	-4	-6	0
					
Leach		2017	2016	2015	2014
+4	Exp	4	5	2	2
	Act	9	8	9	3
	Diff	5	3	7	1
					
Miles		2015	2014	2013	2012
-2.25	Exp	11	12	11	12
	Act	9	8	10	10
	Diff	-2	-4	-1	-2
					
Morris		2017	2016	2015	
-0.25	Exp	5	4	6	
	Act	7	5	2	
	Diff	2	1	-4	
					
Mullen		2017	2016	2015	2014
+2.5	Exp	4	6	7	6
	Act	8	6	9	10
	Diff	4	0	2	4
					
Patterson	2017	2016	2015	2014
+3.5	Exp	5	6	6	8
	Act	10	6	11	12
	Diff	5	0	5	4
					
Petersen@Boise	2013	2012	2011	2010
+2.75	Exp	8	8	8	8
	Act	8	11	12	12
	Diff	0	3	4	4
					
Petersen	2017	2016	2015	2014
-1.25	Exp	8	10	12	12
	Act	10	12	7	8
	Diff	2	2	-5	-4
					
Petrino		2017	2016	2015	2014
+1.25	Exp	8	8	7	6
	Act	8	9	8	9
	Diff	0	1	1	3
					
Schiano		2011	2010	2009	2008
-1.25	Exp	9	9	9	8
	Act	9	4	9	8
	Diff	0	-5	0	0
					
Shaw		2017	2016	2015	2014
+2	Exp	8	5	11	7
	Act	9	10	12	8
	Diff	1	5	1	1
Click to expand...
What about strength of schedule? Got to factor that
 
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#98
#98
Take the top 5 and do another pole! Then the top 2 … you have to have run-offs to get to the guy!
 
#99
#99
VolForLife83 said:
What about strength of schedule? Got to factor that
Click to expand...

The question at hand is can these guys beat more talented teams on a regular basis. If the teams they are playing against are super talented (recruiting rankings wise) they will almost certainly have a harder strength of schedule.

Beating 3* players with 2* players isn't really more or less impressive than beating 4* players with 3* players. The important thing is "Can this guy coach", which is what I'm attempting to look at here.
 
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