People keep talking about a guy like Rick Byrd as a safe choice, and I think that's grossly wrong-headed.
I get what they mean: he's not flashy, he's not exciting, he's not the flavor of the month, but he's been doing basketball a long time and has a proven record of winning games, and he won't break any rules or embarrass the university.
But is that really "safe" for Tennessee right now?
What happens if you hire someone like Rick Byrd? He has no NBA connections or experience whatsoever, so Tobias and Scotty leave. He has no record of being a great recruiter, so probably one or both of Jones and Ware leave.
That leaves you with hardly any depth or talent next year, so we wouldn't win many games. In addition, the hire would have no flash or spice, wouldn't get ESPN or recruits talking, and would be boring.
So we have absolutely nothing left on the roster, and we've hired an aging coach with no recruiting connections, recruiting experience, or recruiting ability.
How, exactly, does he get talent to Tennessee, with a crap roster and a losing season, and no buzz about the program?
Now, maybe these guesses are wrong, granted. Perhaps he would have the charisma to keep Scotty and Jones and Ware. Perhaps he CAN recruit to a Tennessee.
But IMO it's not a safe choice at all, it's a HUGE risk.
"Safe choice," to me, is someone more like Anthony Grant. Yeah, we're not sure he's all that, hasn't done it long enough yet. But what's pretty certain is that the man can recruit. So even if he fails as a coach, chances are we'd end up with more talent along the way, and the program doesn't dive into utter obscurity.
I think you either swing for the fences (the risk), or else take a proven recruiter whose coaching ability is maybe uncertain (the safe choice). We can afford losing seasons with good recruiting. We CAN'T afford to miss on the coaching part, and still not have recruits.
JMO.