nicksjuzunk
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This week, the Vols head out west to Eugene Oregon to test the #2 Ducks. Two things we know for sure:
1. Oregon is sure to feature some bizarre combination of chrome, green, and possibly, Nickelodeon "Gak" yellow in their uniforms.
2. They fast.
How Tennessee matches up against that speed is going to be the story of this ballgame. Let's take a look at some of the keys to victory:
1. Turnovers: I prefer cherry turnovers, but the TN defense prefers interceptions, with an occasional fumble. The Vols lead the nation with 9 turnovers, but Oregon leads the nation in not turning the ball over (0). Tennessee cannot afford to play a game in which the turnover battle is =. The defense must play a game in which they FORCE turnovers, and the offense cannot let the ball get away.
2. Tale of two QB's: Marcus Mariota was 1st team PAC12 as a freshman last year. He is mobile, accurate, and doesn't throw many interceptions (only 1.5% of his throws). Just swell. Let's look a little bit at his stats last year, since the first two opponents this year have not provided any real test.
2012
Rushing: 752 yards, 7.1 YPC
Passing: 2,677 yards, 68.5 Com. %, 32 TD, 6 INT
QBR: 163.2
2013
Rushing: 26.1 YPC
Passing: 53.1 Com. %
QBR: 147.5
Though the sample size is small, his completion % has dropped over 15%. Hopefully, our newly improved secondary will be able to take advantage.
Regarding Justin Worley, he cannot continue to throw some of the same passes he has been getting away with. Against a quality opponent, he would likely have at least 4 picks so far. When he is flustered in the pocket, and throws off of his back foot, it is a disaster. Worley needs to get in a rhythm, and the coaches can help him by dialing up the short passing game. Dink and dunk may be enough to put enough points on the board to keep TN in it.
3. Running Game: Oregon has a dynamic running game based on smaller, quick offensive linemen and explosive running backs, not to mention QB Mairotta, who takes off about 9 times per game. In 2013, they are rushing for 425 yards... yes, 425 yards per game. That is 2nd in the nation. De-Anthony "Black Mamba" Thomas gets 8.7 a pop, and as a team, the average an unbelievable 10 YPC. Tennessee needs it's front 7 to play out of their minds on Saturday. It is time for McCullers size to not be the only thing that is talked about. The ends must set the edge and contain, and the linebackers must play fast and hit hard. These are a lot of things what we have not seen in the first 2 games, so get ready for fireworks... of the Green variety.
Expect Tennessee to make the running game their bread and butter, and have moderate success with it. Three years ago, the Vols rushed for 182 yards against Oregon... with almost our entire current offensive line, three years younger! Marlin Lane has been showing signs of a player not thinking about his knee, and Neal has been pretty good. The OL will need to play with a nasty streak and punish the smaller Oregon DL and LB's. The Vols will need to rush for over 300 yards to be in the game.
4. Pace: Though TN and OR both run fast paced offenses, look for TN to slow down their approach. This is the Vol's first attempt at such an approach, and Oregon has been running it for years. Add to that, the fact that TN does not have the playmakers at QB and WR... they will not be wanting to sprint to 3 and outs, wearing out our own defense within the first half.
TN can keep the Oregon offense from finding a rhythm, by finding their own, namely, controlling the running game, and letting Worley get to work with the short passing game.
5. Headlines: Each team wants to win this game... badly. For Tennessee, the reason is obvious. Win against a top 2 team, shock the world. For Oregon, they still have to live under that banner of "not the SEC." Thrashing an SEC opponent, no matter how bad they are, would be a boost to their image and make a statement.
Prediction: In the end, I think the perfect scenarios that TN needs to see fall into place just don't happen enough. TN is able to stick around in the game, but not really long enough to be a threat. I think Worley throws 2 interceptions and though the team plays hard...
TN 24
OR 42
Fire Away...
1. Oregon is sure to feature some bizarre combination of chrome, green, and possibly, Nickelodeon "Gak" yellow in their uniforms.
2. They fast.
How Tennessee matches up against that speed is going to be the story of this ballgame. Let's take a look at some of the keys to victory:
1. Turnovers: I prefer cherry turnovers, but the TN defense prefers interceptions, with an occasional fumble. The Vols lead the nation with 9 turnovers, but Oregon leads the nation in not turning the ball over (0). Tennessee cannot afford to play a game in which the turnover battle is =. The defense must play a game in which they FORCE turnovers, and the offense cannot let the ball get away.
2. Tale of two QB's: Marcus Mariota was 1st team PAC12 as a freshman last year. He is mobile, accurate, and doesn't throw many interceptions (only 1.5% of his throws). Just swell. Let's look a little bit at his stats last year, since the first two opponents this year have not provided any real test.
2012
Rushing: 752 yards, 7.1 YPC
Passing: 2,677 yards, 68.5 Com. %, 32 TD, 6 INT
QBR: 163.2
2013
Rushing: 26.1 YPC
Passing: 53.1 Com. %
QBR: 147.5
Though the sample size is small, his completion % has dropped over 15%. Hopefully, our newly improved secondary will be able to take advantage.
Regarding Justin Worley, he cannot continue to throw some of the same passes he has been getting away with. Against a quality opponent, he would likely have at least 4 picks so far. When he is flustered in the pocket, and throws off of his back foot, it is a disaster. Worley needs to get in a rhythm, and the coaches can help him by dialing up the short passing game. Dink and dunk may be enough to put enough points on the board to keep TN in it.
3. Running Game: Oregon has a dynamic running game based on smaller, quick offensive linemen and explosive running backs, not to mention QB Mairotta, who takes off about 9 times per game. In 2013, they are rushing for 425 yards... yes, 425 yards per game. That is 2nd in the nation. De-Anthony "Black Mamba" Thomas gets 8.7 a pop, and as a team, the average an unbelievable 10 YPC. Tennessee needs it's front 7 to play out of their minds on Saturday. It is time for McCullers size to not be the only thing that is talked about. The ends must set the edge and contain, and the linebackers must play fast and hit hard. These are a lot of things what we have not seen in the first 2 games, so get ready for fireworks... of the Green variety.
Expect Tennessee to make the running game their bread and butter, and have moderate success with it. Three years ago, the Vols rushed for 182 yards against Oregon... with almost our entire current offensive line, three years younger! Marlin Lane has been showing signs of a player not thinking about his knee, and Neal has been pretty good. The OL will need to play with a nasty streak and punish the smaller Oregon DL and LB's. The Vols will need to rush for over 300 yards to be in the game.
4. Pace: Though TN and OR both run fast paced offenses, look for TN to slow down their approach. This is the Vol's first attempt at such an approach, and Oregon has been running it for years. Add to that, the fact that TN does not have the playmakers at QB and WR... they will not be wanting to sprint to 3 and outs, wearing out our own defense within the first half.
TN can keep the Oregon offense from finding a rhythm, by finding their own, namely, controlling the running game, and letting Worley get to work with the short passing game.
5. Headlines: Each team wants to win this game... badly. For Tennessee, the reason is obvious. Win against a top 2 team, shock the world. For Oregon, they still have to live under that banner of "not the SEC." Thrashing an SEC opponent, no matter how bad they are, would be a boost to their image and make a statement.
Prediction: In the end, I think the perfect scenarios that TN needs to see fall into place just don't happen enough. TN is able to stick around in the game, but not really long enough to be a threat. I think Worley throws 2 interceptions and though the team plays hard...
TN 24
OR 42
Fire Away...