Hey guys, posted this in FF but wanted to get your thoughts. I like Butch on a personal level, but he very well may not be the guy. We've looked like a poorly coached team this year. However, there are two things I genuinely don't understand that I hear all the time from CBJ critics:
1) "This is year 5! How can we be this bad in year 5?"
Why is this surprising to you? It's college football. Players are here for a period of 4 years. When you replace your 3.5-year starter at QB, one of the best in college football, a drop-off is to be expected. Look at Florida the season after Tebow (lost 5 games) or Texas after Vince (lost 3 games) [disclaimer: not saying Dobbs was on their level]. So, while many are saying, "It's year 5; this regression is unacceptable," maybe a more accurate view would be, "It's year 5 (first year post-Dobbs), this regression is expected."
It's as if the critics are ignoring the cyclical nature of college football and expecting a linear progression where every season is better than the previous one. That's not how any of this works. Heck, everyone said last year was THE year for a reason. And it actually was, before the 11th plague of Moses hit the locker room.
2) "We can keep Butch if and only if we finish 9-3."
Besides this being incredibly unlikely, it's a classic case of moving the goalposts. What's more, you're moving the goalposts further away from someone who's coming up short of the already established goalposts. Before the season, almost everyone agreed 8-4 was the "par" expectation. Now that we've had a terrible start, why change that expectation?
It's like your boss telling you you must sell 1,000 widgets this year or you're fired. Then, when half the year is over and you've only sold 200, he informs you that you actually need to sell 1,500. Why? I may not reach the expectation, based on my terrible start, but let me fail or succeed fairly and honestly.
If Butch goes 8-4, that means he will have won 5 of the last 7 (with one loss @ Bama), and given us a chance to win a bowl game and reach 9 wins for the third straight year. Holding him to a more stringent standard than generally agreed upon before the season reveals in critics either mid-season emotionalism (those who didn't consider what 4 losses actually feel like), personal animus (those who let press-conference Butchisms ruin their day), or prioritization of aesthetics (those who reject every moral victory and accept every moral defeat).
I understand we've looked awful, but these two commonly held views on VN really don't seem reasonable to me.