I've seen this excuse thrown around religiously.
First of all nobody is in the living room of recruits so no, we don't know what other teams are saying. We're not some juggernaut that other schools are afraid of. You think Saban and Kirby are trying to persuade a recruit from coming here because of sanctions? Saban can show both hands with rings and they both can whip out a chart with all the players they've sent to the NFL. Nevermind our record against them
2. What sanctions are even possible to put off a recruit? We're nowhere near fighting for the east so it's not like we're going to be in the hunt for an sec championship much less a national title. A bowl ban? Not a big deal really. Scholly reductions? Hurts some but not as much as people think if they believe the portal is a savior.
3. You're not building a roster from the portal. It's to fill a few gaps not to use for an entire 2nd team. And again, the top guys in the portal will still get cherry picked by the top teams if it's a position of need.
4. Blows my mind people can't see the top teams are the ones with the highest recruiting classes. So yes I'm worried about recruiting in the 30s. Hell I'm worried about being outside the top 10 cause even then your in the middle of the pack in the sec. Problem is you don't get top classes without playing for championships and putting a lot of guys in the NFL so it's a double edge sword. We need 2 of bama, Georgia or Florida to collapse to make up ground. Clemson would be nice to
To address the points, in the best way that I can:
1. I doubt that Kirby or Saban are hitting us with negative recruiting, but you can reasonably assume that Mark Stoops is for mid-state kids. And, I would anticipate that any other school's coaches will use the spectre of NCAA punishment to their advantage when recruiting against Tennessee for a player. Now, we're not in the rooms, but Price and Hubbs have definitively stated that recruits (and their families) have told them that the threat of NCAA issues is being used against UT on the recruiting trail.
2. Bowl bans are the big issue with the recruits. Price has stated anecdotaly that kids have been told that UT is going to get a 4 year bowl ban. While that is ludicrous, a lot of these kids don't necessarily know that, and whether we older fans believe bowls to be meaningless or not, a lot of high school kids see playing in the post season as some sort of accomplishment. Bigger than that, though, is that coaches recruiting players can make the NCAA into a boogeyman where the perception of the possible penalties are worse than the penalty itself. Just the idea that a school is going to "get hammered" becomes a perception issue that could scare families away.
3. Fully agree that you have to continue to recruit high school talent and develop it. Otherwise the portal players are just stop-gap measures for holes that will continue to open up every season.
4. I don't disagree with this, but I also don't think that worrying about the 2022 class is a great use of our time. This class isn't going to be great. It'll likely be top 20's, maybe even inside the top 20, but the staff just had too much ground to make up. Recruiting is the relationship business, and they haven't had a ton of time to build relationships in UT's recruiting footprint, nor were they recruiting the caliber players at UCF that are needed here to succeed. I think future classes will be better, but I agree that they need to be a lot better for us to get back to winning championships.