Realistic expectations for JA this year

#26
#26
VolCalls said:
I have my doubts he throws for 2,500 yards based on his scrimmage performance last week. Apparently most of his completions were on bubble screens, which is what we often saw from a more athletic, more experienced Joe Milton, who also had more seasoned WRs to throw to.

I think Aguilar will be serviceable, but not above average. Just my take.
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Milton was not more experienced than Aguilar. More experienced in the system, but Aguilar has played more than Joe had entering 2023.
 
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#30
#30
Dumps or angle routes to the rb aren’t bubble screens. More deep balls will be open soon after if JA is getting rid of the ball and dumping to rb on an angle route or similar. Our RBs have been underused in the passing game for too long and better be getting 8-12 targets per game this year. We’ve done more work this year in this facet of the game.
Watched Burrow hit his RBs 3-4 times on their first drive last night. Wed go entire games without 3 passes to RBs so defenses weren’t worried about it. JA will use them.
 
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#31
#31
VolCalls said:
I’m basing it on what lifelong football minds who watch practice in person tell me.
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People you know personally? Or do you just read their content like everyone else?

You made a pretty bold, concrete claim. I'd just like to know whether there's any real merit behind it or just hot air.
 
#33
#33
I just want the over/under in minutes into the Syracuse game thread when someone says "Okay, give Merk a chance" or "I've seen enough. Let's see what G-Mac can do. He's the future."

I think it'll be early in the 2nd quarter after Joey A throws a pick or near pick for the second time but I'm open to thoughts that it's late in the 1st quarter after he misses an open deep ball.

Thoughts?
 
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#34
#34
VolCalls said:
As I said above if you didn’t read it the first time, I’m repeating what lifelong football minds who watch practice told me.
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I wouldn't put ANY stock in practice. If we did,Hooker and Dobbs would have been below avg and Milton and Peterman would have been really good. None of which happened.
 
#35
#35
VolCalls said:
I have my doubts he throws for 2,500 yards based on his scrimmage performance last week. Apparently most of his completions were on bubble screens, which is what we often saw from a more athletic, more experienced Joe Milton, who also had more seasoned WRs to throw to.

I think Aguilar will be serviceable, but not above average. Just my take.
Click to expand...

So you're thinking just an average Joe.......

But seriously if we have as good an online as we think we will and a 3 headed RB monster to draw up LBs he may be pretty serviceable given time and a clean pocket.
 
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#36
#36
BigOrangeTrain said:
Well the season is almost upon us and I thought now is a good time to post this. I did this for Milton and Nico and almost all of us were wayyyyy off. So let’s try it again.

What are your realistic expectations for JA this year? I think he goes for:

62%
2900+ yards
26 TDs
12 INTs
500 yards rushing
8 rushing TDs

Anyway, Whats everyone else’s thoughts?
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I think your numbers are reasonable if Heupel let's him rip it but given our dominant OL and competent RBs... I think Heupel will lean more heavily on the run game than ever before. I'll go 2500 yards, 22 TDs, 9 INTs.
 
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#38
#38
Skooter said:
Dumps or angle routes to the rb aren’t bubble screens. More deep balls will be open soon after if JA is getting rid of the ball and dumping to rb on an angle route or similar. Our RBs have been underused in the passing game for too long and better be getting 8-12 targets per game this year. We’ve done more work this year in this facet of the game.
Watched Burrow hit his RBs 3-4 times on their first drive last night. Wed go entire games without 3 passes to RBs so defenses weren’t worried about it. JA will use them.
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Joey Aguilar or Halzle/Heup?

That seems to be more a function of scheme than simply QB preference.
 
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#40
#40
sjt18 said:
People you know personally? Or do you just read their content like everyone else?

You made a pretty bold, concrete claim. I'd just like to know whether there's any real merit behind it or just hot air.
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The former - I don’t put much stock into online content from journalists.
 
#43
#43
Skooter said:
Little of both. Believe our staff knows we need to use RBs more, but Nico also had no idea they were there for checkdown all year since he was one read stare then throw or panic.
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Agreed. He did not appear to move his eyes well and i can’t recall him ever holding or moving a DB with his eyes. 👀
 
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#44
#44
VolCalls said:
I have my doubts he throws for 2,500 yards based on his scrimmage performance last week. Apparently most of his completions were on bubble screens, which is what we often saw from a more athletic, more experienced Joe Milton, who also had more seasoned WRs to throw to.

I think Aguilar will be serviceable, but not above average. Just my take.
Click to expand...
Who said that ? All the reporting on second scrimmage has been that he dropped dimes deep .. and he was in full control. Now how will that translate to game time? I am not sure but no one has said anything about bubble screens at all.
 
#47
#47
BigOrangeTrain said:
Well the season is almost upon us and I thought now is a good time to post this. I did this for Milton and Nico and almost all of us were wayyyyy off. So let’s try it again.

What are your realistic expectations for JA this year? I think he goes for:

62%
2900+ yards
26 TDs
12 INTs
500 yards rushing
8 rushing TDs

Anyway, Whats everyone else’s thoughts?
Click to expand...
A little lofty on the rushing yards, might be more around 200+
59-62%
Passing TDs might be a little high, running attack might be UT's bread and butter.......we'll see what the WRs do.
Ints <10
Rushing TDs........8 sounds fair

Player of the week 2x
 
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