Realistic expectations for JA this year

#1
BigOrangeTrain

BigOrangeTrain

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#1
Well the season is almost upon us and I thought now is a good time to post this. I did this for Milton and Nico and almost all of us were wayyyyy off. So let’s try it again.

What are your realistic expectations for JA this year? I think he goes for:

62%
2900+ yards
26 TDs
12 INTs
500 yards rushing
8 rushing TDs

Anyway, Whats everyone else’s thoughts?
 
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#2
#2
BigOrangeTrain said:
Well the season is almost upon us and I thought now is a good time to post this. I did this for Milton and Nico and almost all of us were wayyyyy off. So let’s try it again.

What are your realistic expectations for JA this year? I think he goes for:

62%
2900+ yards
26 TDs
12 INTs
500 yards rushing
8 rushing TDs

Anyway, Whats everyone else’s thoughts?
Click to expand...
Idk if we’ll see 500 rushing yards from him, at least not resulting from designed QB run plays. If he’s the right guy for the job, the last thing we’ll want to do is risk injury.
 
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#3
#3
BigOrangeTrain said:
Well the season is almost upon us and I thought now is a good time to post this. I did this for Milton and Nico and almost all of us were wayyyyy off. So let’s try it again.

What are your realistic expectations for JA this year? I think he goes for:

62%
2900+ yards
26 TDs
12 INTs
500 yards rushing
8 rushing TDs

Anyway, Whats everyone else’s thoughts?
Click to expand...
Hendon Hooker type numbers would be great!
 
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#4
#4
I have my doubts he throws for 2,500 yards based on his scrimmage performance last week. Apparently most of his completions were on bubble screens, which is what we often saw from a more athletic, more experienced Joe Milton, who also had more seasoned WRs to throw to.

I think Aguilar will be serviceable, but not above average. Just my take.
 
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#6
#6
BigOrangeTrain said:
Well the season is almost upon us and I thought now is a good time to post this. I did this for Milton and Nico and almost all of us were wayyyyy off. So let’s try it again.

What are your realistic expectations for JA this year? I think he goes for:

62%
2900+ yards
26 TDs
12 INTs
500 yards rushing
8 rushing TDs

Anyway, Whats everyone else’s thoughts?
Click to expand...
I think if he throws 12 int’s he will not be the starter at the end of the season and we will go 7-5 at best.

Last season his tendency was to throw multiple in a game which would mean 5 games we would be giving the opponent two extra possessions and taking two away from us. I personally don’t think he will throw 12 under CJH because he will be put on the bench before that happens.

My expectations:
60%
2500 yards passing
25 TD’s
4 INT’s
300 yards rushing
5 rushing TD’s

I think with these numbers we go 9-3 and if we get a lucky break 10-2 and make the play-offs.
 
Last edited:
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#7
#7
BigOrangeTrain said:
Well the season is almost upon us and I thought now is a good time to post this. I did this for Milton and Nico and almost all of us were wayyyyy off. So let’s try it again.

What are your realistic expectations for JA this year? I think he goes for:

62%
2900+ yards
26 TDs
12 INTs
500 yards rushing
8 rushing TDs

Anyway, Whats everyone else’s thoughts?
Click to expand...
If he throws 12 interceptions we’ll have a losing season.
 
#8
#8
BigOrangeTrain said:
Well the season is almost upon us and I thought now is a good time to post this. I did this for Milton and Nico and almost all of us were wayyyyy off. So let’s try it again.

What are your realistic expectations for JA this year? I think he goes for:

62%
2900+ yards
26 TDs
12 INTs
500 yards rushing
8 rushing TDs

Anyway, Whats everyone else’s thoughts?
Click to expand...
12 game regular season:
68%
2500
22 passing TDs
6 INTs
500 yards rushing
7 rushing TDs

And I'll add another 2 predictions, we lead the SEC in rushing and top 3 in rush defense.
 
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#11
#11
VolCalls said:
I have my doubts he throws for 2,500 yards based on his scrimmage performance last week. Apparently most of his completions were on bubble screens, which is what we often saw from a more athletic, more experienced Joe Milton, who also had more seasoned WRs to throw to.

I think Aguilar will be serviceable, but not above average. Just my take.
Click to expand...
Basing your take on a scrimmage? Good grief 🙄
 
#12
#12
We just need him to be a game manager. Bama won a couple natty's with less than elite level play at QB. As long as the defense is great, and the run game is high level, we'll compete / win a lot of games this season.

62% completion
2850 passing yards
23 passing TDs (4 TD improvement than PJ wearing, Snoop acting, entitlement boy)
6 INTs
360 yards rushing
2 rushing TDs

Interceptions are a terrible stat line for a QB. They often do not reflect correctly against the QB. Often QB's throw the correct pass and the receiver makes the wrong angle or cut. Also, receivers sometimes have stone hands and there are deflection INT's. I agree with a poster above. If he was to toss 12 in a season, I believe Heup makes a change first.
 
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#14
#14
VolCalls said:
I have my doubts he throws for 2,500 yards based on his scrimmage performance last week. Apparently most of his completions were on bubble screens, which is what we often saw from a more athletic, more experienced Joe Milton, who also had more seasoned WRs to throw to.

I think Aguilar will be serviceable, but not above average. Just my take.
Click to expand...
Apparently? So you are drawing that opinion based on a scrimmage you did not personally witness?

FWIW, Hooker made a living with bubble screens and then hitting shots downfield when teams tried to play up. Noticeably missing from Nico's game last year... those quick screens and the open shots down field they produce.

If he can hit bubble screens and an occasional shot down the field... and hand the ball off... the O should improve point production.
 
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#15
#15
He's gonna surprise us. Bar set is low for him and team, so let's add on another 10% to your numbers but, deduct 10% for INTs.

62% 68%
2900+ yards 3,200
26 TDs 29
12 INTs 10
500 yards rushing 550
8 rushing TDs 10
 
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#18
#18
sjt18 said:
Apparently? So you are drawing that opinion based on a scrimmage you did not personally witness?

FWIW, Hooker made a living with bubble screens and then hitting shots downfield when teams tried to play up. Noticeably missing from Nico's game last year... those quick screens and the open shots down field they produce.

If he can hit bubble screens and an occasional shot down the field... and hand the ball off... the O should improve point production.
Click to expand...
I’m basing it on what lifelong football minds who watch practice in person tell me.
 
#19
#19
I think Tennessee's going to be running the ball a lot this season, similar to 2021, not just because of a new QB but also because of some inexperience and new faces on the offensive line. So I expect all of Joey's numbers, the good, the bad, and the ugly, to all be lower than they were at Appy State. Also, even though Heupel has rarely played back ups unless the starter got injured, I think we'll see Merklinger and MacIntyre out there in the second half of the three easier non-conference games instead of the starter being out there when there's already a 40-point lead in the 4th quarter.

Passing yards: 2200
Passing TDs: 16
INTs: 6

The QB/OL situation gives Peyton Lewis a very good opportunity to make a name for himself in a big way.
 
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#20
#20
VolCalls said:
I have my doubts he throws for 2,500 yards based on his scrimmage performance last week. Apparently most of his completions were on bubble screens, which is what we often saw from a more athletic, more experienced Joe Milton, who also had more seasoned WRs to throw to.

I think Aguilar will be serviceable, but not above average. Just my take.
Click to expand...

Yeh umm, bubble screens are not his personality. He's more of a force it down the field kind of guy...

Screenshot 2025-08-19 135704.jpg
 
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#25
#25
BigOrangeTrain said:
Well the season is almost upon us and I thought now is a good time to post this. I did this for Milton and Nico and almost all of us were wayyyyy off. So let’s try it again.

What are your realistic expectations for JA this year? I think he goes for:

62%
2900+ yards
26 TDs
12 INTs
500 yards rushing
8 rushing TDs

Anyway, Whats everyone else’s thoughts?
Click to expand...
66% comp rate 3250 pass yrds. 31 pass TD's 7 picks. 333 rush yds. 7 rush TD's
 
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