Bill Money
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- Oct 18, 2025
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I don’t think that is correct. ESPN’s Playoff Predictor has not been updated with Saturday's results, but if you select the Vols as losing to Oklahoma and defeating Florida and Vanderbilt, the chance of making the playoffs is only 5 percent. Where are you seeing 90 percent?Overview
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After their loss to Oklahoma, the Tennessee Volunteers' (6-3) chance of making the 2025 College Football Playoff has dropped significantly to approximately
1.6%, according to ESPN's Football Power Index. This is a substantial decrease from previous projections that offered a much higher percentage, with a loss to Oklahoma, Florida, or Vanderbilt significantly decreasing their odds. The team now needs to win its remaining games to have any chance at a playoff berth.
- Current Odds: ESPN's FPI gives Tennessee a 1.6% chance to make the 12-team playoff field.
- Impact of Loss: The loss to Oklahoma has severely hampered their playoff chances.
- Path Forward: The team must win its remaining regular-season games against New Mexico State, Florida, and Vanderbilt to have a realistic chance at the playoff.
- Win-Out Scenario: If they win out, ESPN's Playoff Predictor gives them a 90% chance to make the playoff.


