jakez4ut
Patience... It's what's for dinner
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Simply put... and consistent with what I said concerning Fulmer, Dooley, and Jones... the "right" coach will win games that he "shouldn't" win.
The roster issues he is addressing and the development problem isn't nearly the show stopper that some claim. Lots of teams including UT have gotten Fr ready to play with only a few months to coach them. The development "curve" is one of diminishing returns. IOW's, a guy who is "coached up" will see a lot of improvement quickly then the returns will diminish later in his development.
Admittedly it is that late development that turns a player from very good to championship caliber... but a lot of progress can be made early.
The new coaching staff thing IS an excuse. If they can coach, they can coach.
Bottom line is that the right coach will produce more from the team than the sum of its parts. That's what the good ones do. That's what the bad ones, like Jones, can't do... in fact they do the opposite.
My biggest concern is the layout of the schedule. There's a brutal stretch. If the team exits that stretch beat up and with many guys injured then those final very winnable games become a much more difficult prospect.
I would probably agree that from a pure talent and program maturity standpoint UGA, Auburn, and Bama are pretty much off the table. UTEP, Vandy, Mizzou, Charlotte, and ETSU give a baseline of 5 wins. IMHO, UK should be on that list too but that isn't an argument worth having at this point. That means Pruitt needs to win only one of the other winnable games to meet the expectations that you and others have laid out. I simply disagree that should ever be the standard for a UT coach. They have to be better than "average". This seems to be a repeating argument. Jones' inability to make the most of his first roster proved to be a consistent theme.
I was hammered for suggesting that coaching decisions and methods were a significant factor in injuries. Pruitt seemed to think some of the practice methods contributed based on some comments back in the spring.
I understand what you are saying but what you call luck is nothing more than probability. A coach who consistently does things very well will be more "lucky" than a coach that doesn't.
A coach who rotates players well... will have less injuries. A coach that teaches the right techniques correctly will have less injuries. A coach that has a good S&C program will have less injuries. A coach who selects the right players will have less injuries. The schemes a coach runs also factor into injuries.
Those are all controllable "luck". Even the best will have injuries... but they won't have a consistently bad trend like Jones did.
6 will keep the grim reaper at bay. 8 will have many fans celebrating. 10 or more and they will start looking for an alley to name Pruitt's Path!
BO BIG ORANGE!
No coach takes a job at any school to lose. Nothing to see. Nothing to hear.
I hear coaches temper expectations for wins every time a new job is undertaken. This isnt commonplace.
I hear coaches temper expectations for wins every time a new job is undertaken. This isnt commonplace.
IMO, Pruitt is very arrogant and probably thinks he can solve world hunger in a week.
If he wins a lot of games - it doesn't matter. If he has the type of first season most feel he will, the excuses will begin.
If he truly believes he can win > 6 games this year, then one of the following is the case:
(a) He believes he can walk on water too.
(b) This program was not in as bad shape as most believe it was.
My feeling is that both are somewhat true. Success (or not in 2018) is going to depend upon Pruitt being willing to put the players in the best position to win even if that means he has to sacrifice some aspects of the offense and defense he would like to deploy. I just don't believe he is willing to do that. He is more stubborn and arrogant than the last few coaches were - but he is a southerner so most are okay with that.
I believe it will be his arrogance and stubbornness that could be his downfall. He really needs to temper that with a level of humility.
IMO, Pruitt is very arrogant and probably thinks he can solve world hunger in a week.
If he wins a lot of games - it doesn't matter. If he has the type of first season most feel he will, the excuses will begin.
If he truly believes he can win > 6 games this year, then one of the following is the case:
(a) He believes he can walk on water too.
(b) This program was not in as bad shape as most believe it was.
My feeling is that both are somewhat true. Success (or not in 2018) is going to depend upon Pruitt being willing to put the players in the best position to win even if that means he has to sacrifice some aspects of the offense and defense he would like to deploy. I just don't believe he is willing to do that. He is more stubborn and arrogant than the last few coaches were - but he is a southerner so most are okay with that.
I believe it will be his arrogance and stubbornness that could be his downfall. He really needs to temper that with a level of humility.
Fair enough, Chizzle. A counter to that position is General Neyland himself, especially these two maxims:
Press the kicking game. Here is where the breaks are made ... and ... play for and make the breaks and when one comes your way - SCORE.
Sound reasons for having your best players on the field during those key plays.
Then again, some statisticians have made a pretty compelling case in recent years that General Neyland was wrong in Maxim #6, that kickoffs in particular aren't as significant as most folks believe.
But yeah, fair enough. We did get a couple of injuries to starters during kickoffs and punts/punt returns.
JP, I believe that we, as Tennessee fans, would counter that argument by saying that no statistician ever won over 80% of his games as Neyland did during his tenure as Tennesses head coach. However, within the context of his times, that maxim really should have made reference specifically to the punting game, for that is what Neyland regularly used as a weapon to flip field position.
On the other hand, it is utterly amazing how rarely Neyland attempted a field goal. As low-scoring as games were in that era, kickoffs did not occur with anywhere near the frequency of todays game. With respect to Neylands strategic use of the punting game, Hank Lauricella once said that Neyland would tally up the yards won or lost in exchange of punts. If we finished +50 for the game, Lauricella said that Neyland regarded that as the equivalent of a big play from scrimmage.
I believe it will be his arrogance and stubbornness that could be his downfall. He really needs to temper that with a level of humility.
JP, I believe that we, as Tennessee fans, would counter that argument by saying that no statistician ever won over 80% of his games as Neyland did during his tenure as Tennesses head coach. However, within the context of his times, that maxim really should have made reference specifically to the punting game, for that is what Neyland regularly used as a weapon to flip field position.
IMO, Pruitt is very arrogant and probably thinks he can solve world hunger in a week.
If he wins a lot of games - it doesn't matter. If he has the type of first season most feel he will, the excuses will begin.
If he truly believes he can win > 6 games this year, then one of the following is the case:
(a) He believes he can walk on water too.
(b) This program was not in as bad shape as most believe it was.
My feeling is that both are somewhat true. Success (or not in 2018) is going to depend upon Pruitt being willing to put the players in the best position to win even if that means he has to sacrifice some aspects of the offense and defense he would like to deploy. I just don't believe he is willing to do that. He is more stubborn and arrogant than the last few coaches were - but he is a southerner so most are okay with that.
I believe it will be his arrogance and stubbornness that could be his downfall. He really needs to temper that with a level of humility.
IMO, Pruitt is very arrogant and probably thinks he can solve world hunger in a week.
If he wins a lot of games - it doesn't matter. If he has the type of first season most feel he will, the excuses will begin.
If he truly believes he can win > 6 games this year, then one of the following is the case:
(a) He believes he can walk on water too.
(b) This program was not in as bad shape as most believe it was.
My feeling is that both are somewhat true. Success (or not in 2018) is going to depend upon Pruitt being willing to put the players in the best position to win even if that means he has to sacrifice some aspects of the offense and defense he would like to deploy. I just don't believe he is willing to do that. He is more stubborn and arrogant than the last few coaches were - but he is a southerner so most are okay with that.
I believe it will be his arrogance and stubbornness that could be his downfall. He really needs to temper that with a level of humility.