Predictions for 2023

Win total for 2023?

  • 8

    Votes: 6 2.5%

  • 9

    Votes: 58 24.6%

  • 10

    Votes: 75 31.8%

  • 11

    Votes: 38 16.1%

  • 12

    Votes: 17 7.2%

  • 13

    Votes: 12 5.1%

  • 14

    Votes: 3 1.3%

  • 15

    Votes: 27 11.4%
  • Total voters
    236
#26
#26
Voldog1998 said:
I think A&M will be much better this season they got Petrino too as OC this will be a very tough game for us.
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Agreed. If we drop one it'll be them. They have the talent fisher pulled a butch and recruited stars last cycle. It back fired when some were rotten eggs. Plus calling a defense against petrino isn't gonna be easy if he has full control.
 
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#27
#27
hutch24 said:
Agreed. If we drop one it'll be them. They have the talent fisher pulled a butch and recruited stars last cycle. It back fired when some were rotten eggs. Plus calling a defense against petrino isn't gonna be easy if he has full control.
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If that talent they have comes together and the QB position works out I could see A&M having a big turnaround and seriously challenging to win the west. Jimbo hiring Petrino might turn out to be the best offseason hire in the SEC. We are 0-2 against them since they joined the SEC I would like to get a win against them this year.
 
#29
#29
Enki_Amenra said:
8-4 with the 9th win coming in a bowl.

My expectations are 8-4 for year 3, just as it was when he was hired. It's a bad idea to change expectations for year 3 (or any year) just because we overachieved in the previous year. 8-4 with the hope we overachieve in y3.
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4 losses…to who?
 
#32
#32
We lose to two yet to be named teams. So hard to go undefeated - odds are incredibly against us.
 
#34
#34
Enki_Amenra said:
Most likely, teams on our schedule.

I'd plug in Bama and UGA. I expect a struggle in Gainesville. Then a team we should probably beat, like USCe last year. Potentially a tough game with aTm &, believe it or not, a tough game from UTSA.
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Hard to see Florida being any good after watching their two quarterbacks have trouble completing a single pass.

They have a very long way to go to have a chance in hell against us. Especially early.
 
#36
#36
If I break things down on paper I see two regular season losses max.

Georgia being by far the most likely loss because they are so damn ridiculous on defense.

Our chances against them are squarely on our offensive lines shoulders because we just have not been able to block them for a while now.

We have to block for Milton, the RB's and all and he can't miss the shot plays Hendon missed.

Also would be nice to not have 500 false starts too...

Can't expect Bama to give up another Jalin Hyatt performance to us, as in, I doubt they allow us to continue to exploit the same mismatch over and over. Then again they lost their best pass rushers. We'll see how they reload.

They obviously don't have a great QB. Milroe and Simpson aren't close to BY in ability and won't ever be and they also don't have a Jahmyr Gibbs back there.

How much can we capitalize on their QB's weaknesses? How prolific will our offense be?

If we take care of the ball, our offense is top five again and our defense improves Bama won't beat us with those QB's.

A&M has all that talent, but I'll have to see it to believe they are capable of doing enough on offense to beat us.

Florida is hot garbage right now. Worst QB's in the league.

We will get revenge on USCjr.

Mizzou can't stop us.

We are too talented for UTSA on the line of scrimmage.

We own Kentucky for eternity.

The rest are cupcakes.

I'm not gonna sit here and dream up that anyone other than Bama and UGA can beat us. Yes it can happen, but a lot has to happen in these other teams favor like magically finding good QB and offense where it currently doesn't exist and for us to mess up enough on offense for them to keep up despite the fact we have the best receiving core in the country with a better and deeper running back room than last year. All of that and then our defense needs to at least stay the same. Which also seems highly unlikely, bringing back what we bring back and what we are brining in.
 
#37
#37
11-1 Regular season with a loss to Bama. Yes, I think we beat Georgia at Neyland this year.
 
#40
#40
hutch24 said:
Agreed. If we drop one it'll be them. They have the talent fisher pulled a butch and recruited stars last cycle. It back fired when some were rotten eggs. Plus calling a defense against petrino isn't gonna be easy if he has full control.
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You're giving Petrino too much credit.
 
#43
#43
Enki_Amenra said:
Most likely, teams on our schedule.

I'd plug in Bama and UGA. I expect a struggle in Gainesville. Then a team we should probably beat, like USCe last year. Potentially a tough game with aTm &, believe it or not, a tough game from UTSA.
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Last years SC loss was an outlier with some off field BS caused by Banks.
 
#44
#44
Running my simulator and using game-by-game odds, I'm currently at 8.5 regular season wins as of now.

That is .3 wins above where FPI has us. Curious where SP+ will be.

Postseason is a total crapshoot. Let's go with 9 total, but internally I'm leaning towards 10.
 
#45
#45
hutch24 said:
Agreed. If we drop one it'll be them. They have the talent fisher pulled a butch and recruited stars last cycle. It back fired when some were rotten eggs. Plus calling a defense against petrino isn't gonna be easy if he has full control.
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TAMU is definitely this year's wildcard.

To a lesser degree, but UF at the Swamp still concerns me...maybe more for personal/historical reasons, but hopefully we can break that streak and put it to bed. So tired of it.
 
#46
#46
KeyVol14 said:
Last years SC loss was an outlier with some off field BS caused by Banks.
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I think Enki is just saying we'll drop one we should win, out of the group. Which is statistically likely, cumulatively.

For example, even if we are 10 pt favorites vs:
USCjr
UK
TAMU

Then odds are we should lose one of the 3 more often that not (55% of the time). Add in a 4th team, like UF or Mizzou, and it jumps to 2/3rds of the time.

Until we reach some wild level of dominance like UGA or old Bama, where every other SEC game is a 25-point spread, we shouldn't be surprised to drop a single unexpected game.
 
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#47
#47
KeyVol14 said:
Last years SC loss was an outlier with some off field BS caused by Banks.
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Expectations for y3 were always 8-4 when Heupel was originally hired. It's unfair to change expectations just because our coaches and team have overachieved. 8-4 is not great or bad, it is good for being where we should be at this point. We'll likely lose 2, then a 50/50 game and an unexpected loss.
 
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