I'll try to be objective and pragmatic. Obviously, some of this will be obscure, but you'll get the meaning.
I don't doubt there could be (emphasize the could) some familiarity there with the person in the picture. The location fits. I remember the convo from last night, but don't remember who the second person is.
Also, the whole "I know a lot of folks" I couldn't tell you who any of those three are. But we'll assume he's connected with some. Again, emphasize "assume." I have pics of myself with some "big names" in the sporting business. Which I would never use for verification. But it would make me seem "connected" by some out of context.
As for the text conversation, it's hard to say with no names being used.
Here's the thing. Being objective, it does somewhat align somewhat with something I was told some time back that I've intentionally kept off the boards since it was vague and a personal conversation. However, here's my whole problem with that kind of news...
If, by chance, that kind of thing had spread as far and wide as was implied, it would be all over the news. Unless that person was considering a move to Knoxville. Which is highly doubtful considering their current position and the fact it's happened before. But if not...that kind of thing would be leaked in order to potentially sabotage negotiations. The only reason why it wouldn't have been is out of loyalty. That river would run deep even with another team's logo on his hat. Loyalty, respect and confidence would go a long way with his former associates in, shall we say, high level positions.
But if one knows, others know as well. And that kind of thing would get around quickly and someone would talk out of class. Loose lips sink ships and all. At the moment, I personally believe most people in those positions are hearing rumors and whispers. It's not hard to figure out Jones is on the hot seat. It's also not a huge stretch of the imagination to think UT would give Gruden a go. As was said to me "Jon Gruden is on everyone's wish list." But hard knowledge? I doubt more than a dozen or two know "everything" at the moment.
I'm skeptical that kind of information would be that widespread without someone in the media talking about it. I'm not saying the person is being untruthful, but it's a bit of a stretch to think it's common knowledge.