I've never, not once, predicted Gruden. All my original information, dating from Georgia weekend, was simply that Butch is gone, and that the replacement would be a big time hire...no more project coaches. All of the obstacles to that happening were eliminated. All Grumor-fun aside I've taken a very wait-and-see approach.
Since then I've heard whispers from people that don't normally speak of such things about interest from the one we want.
What I was told yesterday was from a very personal connection to the party in question. It coincided with some other things going around, and has pegged my meter at this point.