As of yesterday, the elevation of Lake Mead was 1,075.96. The reservoir is only days away from hitting 1,075 feet, according to the U.S. Bureau of Reclamations projections. That number is the threshold set in a 2007 agreement as part of the U.S. Department of Interiors Colorado River Interim Guidelines, which calls for delivery cuts if water levels in Lake Mead drops below that level.
These cuts will be the first set of mandatory water delivery curtailments to Lake Mead. Should the water levels continue to drop, as they are expected todue to the prolonged drought, climate change and poor water managementmore cuts will be required. The Western Water Policy Program and the Bren School of Environmental Management at the University of California, Santa Barbara recently released their spring report, The Bathtub Ring, which examines the impacts as Lake Mead levels decline to 1075 feet, 1050 feet, 1025 feet and 1000 feet.
The Bureau of Reclamation predicts the first round of cuts could take place in January 2017 with Arizona and Southern Nevada seeing the biggest cuts. Arizona plans to curtail groundwater recharge efforts and cut deliveries to farmers with low-priority rights, according to the Las Vegas Sun. Arizonas cities would be unaffected, at least initially. Southern Nevada, for its part, has prepared with conservation, saving enough water that residents and businesses wont be affected if a portion no longer is available.
Further reductions would kick in when the reservoir dips below 1,050 feet and again at 1,025 feet. When the water level hits 1,025 feet, a new round of water rationing would have to be negotiated, reports the Las Vegas Sun. The epic drought has left water officials scrambling to plan for rapidly diminishing water levels.
Were headed to a new normal, Gary Wockner, executive director of the nonprofit Save the Colorado River, told the Las Vegas Sun. It remains to be seen what will happen, but political tensions are very likely.