Sandvol
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Bart as a scientist you do understand the difference between a prediction and an expectation? Most intelligent scientists don't predict anything. Many idiot liberals do.
Similar title but this is a new statement. Saudi Aramco is now on board! I didn't see that coming.Oil and gas industry leaders on Friday launched a final charm offensive to highlight the sectors relevance in the global fight against climate change before a key summit in Paris later this year.
In an unprecedented show of unity, the bosses of Europes top oil companies will be joined at a press conference by the heads of the national oil companies of Saudi Arabia and Mexico, who will lend their support to the initiative.
NOAA reports today the globally-averaged temperature for September 2015 was the warmest of all previous Septembers on record, dating back to 1880, and by an unprecedented margin of 0.19 degrees.
Septembers high temperature was . the greatest rise above average for any month in the 136-year historical record [comprised of 1,629 months], NOAA said.
September is the fifth straight month of 2015 to set a record high. Seven of nine months this year have ranked as top warmest. The only two months to fall short were January and April, which ranked second and third-warmest.
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The record challenging El Niño event, characterized by the pronounced warming of the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, has proven a key driver of this years warmth.
NOAA said the El Niño, which transfers vast quantities of ocean heat into the atmosphere, may end up ranking as the second strongest on record, only trailing the behemoth event of 1997-1998.
But even as the 1997-1998 El Niño will probably turn out to be stronger than this years version, global temperatures have since pressed higher, pushed by unrelenting emissions of heat-trapping greenhouse gases from human activities.
The International Research Institute for Climate Prediction says new computer simulations indicate at least a 98 percent chance that El Niño conditions will persist into the early spring of 2016, which should sustain global temperatures in record territory.
Theres no longer a possibility that El Niño wimps out at this point, Bill Patzert, a NASA climatologist told the LA Times. Its too big to fail.
That article is only three days old but already out-of-date; in the past 24 hours weve also seen the development of the strongest hurricane on record.In modern records, the Northern Hemisphere has never had as many super intense storms as 2015. An incredible 21 category four or five tropical cyclones have formed in the Northern Hemisphere in 2015, shattering the record of 18 set in 2004.
The amount and degree of storminess may come as a surprise, since the tropical Atlantic Ocean has produced below normal activity this year. But tropical activity in the tropical Pacific has been super-charged, fueled by the record-challenging El Niño event, which has boosted ocean temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific.
Tropical cyclones thrive off of warm ocean waters, which have soared to previously unsurpassed levels in vast expanses of the Pacific.
Not only is the number of the most intense storms at record levels in the Northern Hemisphere, but also the metric that describes the amount of storm energy overall, known as Accumulated Cyclone Energy or ACE.
Were in a dead heat with 2004 in terms of ACE, Klotzbach said.
The surge in activity in the central Pacific Ocean, in particular, has impressed Klotzbach. It has broken nearly every possible record, he said. Sea surface temperatures off Hawaii have been extraordinarily warm, much warmer than anything in the past.
Wind shear, which is often destructive to developing tropical cyclones, has been crazy low, Klotzbach added.
Hurricane Olaf, the latest category four storm to form in the central Pacific, is among the many to benefit from the unusually favorable environmental conditions for intensification.
First there was Supertyphoon Haiyan which peaked at 170-knot or 196 mile-per-hour winds in 2013 as it slammed the Philippines. And now there is Patricia, forecast to soon hit Mexico, with currently estimated maximum sustained wind speeds of 175 knots or, thats right, over 200 miles per hour.
It is officially the strongest hurricane ever measured by the U.S. National Hurricane Center, based on both its wind speed (175 knots) and its minimum central pressure (880 millibars). The wind measurement makes Patricia the strongest hurricane on record in the National Hurricane Centers area of responsibility (AOR) which includes the Atlantic and the eastern North Pacific basins, the center said this morning.
And in this case the measurement has added weight because it is based on data collected from an aircraft, rather than mere satellite imagery. We would like to acknowledge deeply the Air Force Hurricane Hunters for their observations establishing Patricia as a record-breaking hurricane. Clearly, without their data, we would never have known just how strong a tropical cyclone it was, wrote National Hurricane Center forecaster Richard Pasch this morning.
So what does this say about climate change?
While one storm is only one storm and can never substitute for a comprehensive statistical analysis, the fact remains that the link between warm seas and strong storms the theoretical reason for believing hurricanes will worsen due to climate change is starkly apparent in this case.
The [sea surface temperatures] are so high over such huge areas, that the moisture flowing into the storm, that provides it primary fuel, must be higher than it has ever been before, says Kevin Trenberth, a climate researcher at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, by e-mail. It still requires the right setup to convert that into an intense storm, but the environment is surely ripe. That consists, of course, of a substantial El Niño-related component but also the background global warming that has a memory through the ocean heat content.
Oh my bad, I forget this is the politics forum. Climate change is a political controversy and not a scientific controversy, after all. Maybe this news will interest you:Hey Bart. No one gives a ****!
Oh my bad, I forget this is the politics forum. Climate change is a political controversy and not a scientific controversy, after all. Maybe this news will interest you:
Clean Power Plan Hits the Books, Soon the Courtroom
Numerous States Prepare Lawsuits Against Obamas Climate Policy
Oh my bad, I forget this is the politics forum. Climate change is a political controversy and not a scientific controversy, after all. Maybe this news will interest you:
Clean Power Plan Hits the Books, Soon the Courtroom
Numerous States Prepare Lawsuits Against Obamas Climate Policy
Putin believes "there is no global warming, that this is a fraud to restrain the industrial development of several countries, including Russia," political analyst and Putin critic Stanislav Belkovsky said, according to Reuters.
NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center
Summary:
A new study says that an increase in Antarctic snow accumulation that began 10,000 years ago is currently adding enough ice to the continent to outweigh the increased losses from its thinning glaciers.
the Antarctic ice sheet showed a net gain of 112 billion tons of ice a year from 1992 to 2001. That net gain slowed to 82 billion tons of ice per year between 2003 and 2008.
Well if you didn't know. We might be at the beginning of a new mini Ice Age.
Forbes Welcome
