Official Bracketology Thread

#951
#951
I will also add that my line of thinking depends on tonight’s game...we lose and 100% pull for Cincinnati the rest of the way, along with the other teams in front of us when they play teams behind us. If we win though I guess I’m being greedy and saying root against Cincinnati in that I think if we win out and they lose a game they won’t stay ahead of us.
 
#953
#953
bleedingTNorange said:
So Golf...in your opinion what is realistic best case scenario for the AAC teams as it pertains to Tennessee?

Cincinnati wins out?
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I just think the most likely scenario is that a team from that conference ends up above us. But yeah, from a best case scenario, it would probably be for WSU to win out and for Cincy to get beat by Houston in the Semis
 
#954
#954
Seems like Nashville is a long shot and Dallas/Boise are much higher probabilities. Winning out or going 4-1 puts Nashville much more in play.
 
#955
#955
golfballs said:
I just think the most likely scenario is that a team from that conference ends up above us. But yeah, from a best case scenario, it would probably be for WSU to win out and for Cincy to get beat by Houston in the Semis
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That’s my thought, anyone but Cincy, Wichita State and even Houston are perfectly fine...I think either could knock off Cincy and as close as we are to them as of today I don’t see a 2 loss Cincy team being ahead of a 1 loss Tennessee team.

So like I said it’s dependent on tonight outcome, and obviously worse case would be you run the risk that Wichita wins Sunday, and loses in AAC tourney to Cincy in which case both possibly finish ahead of us...but I’ll ask this, what’s wrong with that? Maybe we end up as the last 3 seed instead of the 3rd 3 seed, either way we aren’t getting a favorable location draw so I don’t see it as a huge deal or a reason to route for Cicny, at least not at this stage.


All JMO and as I said tonight’s result will play a deciding factor for me.
 
#957
#957
Btw, if Wichita St finishes above us, they won't be going to Wichita since they're the host. They'd likely go to Dallas
 
#958
#958
Cincinnati and Wichita State's schedule is horrific. No good wins to speak of. Florida beat up Cincinnati. What has either done to get a #3 except beat up other bad teams?
 
#963
#963
Brad's Big Board on Yahoo Sports currently has 17-13 Alabama as a projected at large 11 seed. Now here is what gets me & has me lost. A 21-9 Mississipp State team is only 'on the bubble'. MSU split their series with Bama 1-1, has a better overall and SEC record.

The only thing I can figure is it's due to Bama having the 26th ranked SOS, compared to MSU's at 69th. Bama's RPI being 41st is also higher than MSU's at 62nd. It seemingly appears that Bama's wins over AU, UF & TN carries a TON of weight, and rightfully so I suppose.
 
#964
#964
ainge10heisman said:
Brad's Big Board on Yahoo Sports currently has 17-13 Alabama as a projected at large 11 seed. Now here is what gets me & has me lost. A 21-9 Mississipp State team is only 'on the bubble'. MSU split their series with Bama 1-1, has a better overall and SEC record.

The only thing I can figure is it's due to Bama having the 26th ranked SOS, compared to MSU's at 69th. Bama's RPI being 41st is also higher than MSU's at 62nd. It seemingly appears that Bama's wins over AU, UF & TN carries a TON of weight, and rightfully so I suppose.
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Teams get punished for weak OOC schedules and rightfully so.
 
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#965
#965
ainge10heisman said:
Brad's Big Board on Yahoo Sports currently has 17-13 Alabama as a projected at large 11 seed. Now here is what gets me & has me lost. A 21-9 Mississipp State team is only 'on the bubble'. MSU split their series with Bama 1-1, has a better overall and SEC record.

The only thing I can figure is it's due to Bama having the 26th ranked SOS, compared to MSU's at 69th. Bama's RPI being 41st is also higher than MSU's at 62nd. It seemingly appears that Bama's wins over AU, UF & TN carries a TON of weight, and rightfully so I suppose.
Click to expand...

Bama has 5 Q1 wins
 
#970
#970
MTSU is my guess at this years Cinderella team. They're currently projected as an 11 seed, but IMO they deserve a better seed than that. Even if they slip up and fail to win the CUSA Tournament Championship, I believe they'll get in as an at large team.

If you look at their schedule, you'll see they're 2-1 vs. the SEC with wins over Vandy & Ole Miss. They lost at close game to Auburn 76-70 on the road. They don't really have any truly quality wins, but do have some 'good losses'. Loss @ So Cal 89-84, as well as @ Miami 84-81, and as done said had a L @ Auburn. Their other two Ls def. can't be considered bad losses either. They dropped 1 vs. 20-9 Marshall on the road, and fell against 23-8 Belmont during December, their 3rd game of the season.

Call me crazy, maybe it's my Mid Tenn roots coming out, but I can easily see MTSU making some noise come tourney time. I'll pencil them in as a Sweet 16 team right now. Thoughts?
 
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#971
#971
golfballs said:
Bama has 5 Q1 wins
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I don't have time to look for myself, so I'll just ask. How many Q1 wins does Mizzou, TX A&M, & UF have each? JW due to their projected seeding, & how MSU has a better record than all 3, even though I know that doesn't mean much of anything.

Ohh yeah, and how many Q1 wins for our beloved Vols?
 
#973
#973
ainge10heisman said:
MTSU is my guess at this years Cinderella team. They're currently projected as an 11 seed, but IMO they deserve a better seed than that. Even if they slip up and fail to win the CUSA Tournament Championship, I believe they'll get in as an at large team.

If you look at their schedule, you'll see they're 2-1 vs. the SEC with wins over Vandy & Ole Miss. They lost at close game to Auburn 76-70 on the road. They don't really have any truly quality wins, but do have some 'good losses'. Loss @ So Cal 89-84, as well as @ Miami 84-81, and as done said had a L @ Auburn. Their other two Ls def. can't be considered bad losses either. They dropped 1 vs. 20-9 Marshall on the road, and fell against 23-8 Belmont during December, their 3rd game of the season.

Call me crazy, maybe it's my Mid Tenn roots coming out, but I can easily see MTSU making some noise come tourney time. I'll pencil them in as a Sweet 16 team right now. Thoughts?
Click to expand...
10 Teams Built to Bust Brackets in the 2018 NCAA Tournament | Bleacher Report

I seen that article after my original post. It appears I'm not the only 1 on the Blue Raider wagon. They have MTSU ranked 2nd.

"March Madness Ceiling: It's beyond difficult to envision this team winning the national championship, but it would also be foolish to imply there's any ceiling here. Middle Tennessee won one game in each of the last two NCAA tournaments, and this might be Kermit Davis Jr.'s best team yet. The draw will obviously be key, but this is a No. 11 or No. 12 seed that should get serious looks as a Sweet 16 team; maybe even the Elite Eight."
 
#974
#974
ainge10heisman said:
Brad's Big Board on Yahoo Sports currently has 17-13 Alabama as a projected at large 11 seed. Now here is what gets me & has me lost. A 21-9 Mississipp State team is only 'on the bubble'. MSU split their series with Bama 1-1, has a better overall and SEC record.

The only thing I can figure is it's due to Bama having the 26th ranked SOS, compared to MSU's at 69th. Bama's RPI being 41st is also higher than MSU's at 62nd. It seemingly appears that Bama's wins over AU, UF & TN carries a TON of weight, and rightfully so I suppose.
Click to expand...

Bama also beat Rhode Island, who was a top 10 RPI before tonight, and Oklahoma. MSU played nobody out of conference except Cincinnati and lost.
 
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