Official Bracketology Thread

#601
#601
Washington is interesting... most brackets have them in. But they're ranked 97th in KenPom. They would be by far the worst team to ever get an at large bid and it's not even close. They have a winning record in Q1 games and a losing record in Q2. KP ranks them as the 2nd luckiest team in college basketball (behind Tenn Tech), saying based on their performances they should have a much worse record, but somehow have found ways to win.
 
#603
#603
StarRaider said:
I think the BPI takes into account it's "prediction" for the remaining games in the schedule (Tenn is "favored" per BPI in all games except @ UK):

vs. Vandy 88%
@ ISU 57.2%
vs LSU 84.5%
vs. Ole Miss 87.8%
@ UK 47.2%
@ Ala 51.8%
vs. USCjr 87.8%
@ Ga 67.3%
vs Fla 68.8%
@ Ole Miss 67.7%
@ Miss St 66.0%
vs. Ga 86.7%

9-3 in the remaining games is pretty realistic.
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BPI Rat Poison Update.
@ Ala 64.9%
vs. USCjr 92.4%
@ Ga 76.9%
vs Fla 81.4%
@ Ole Miss 78.7%
@ Miss St 70.9%
vs. Ga 91.3%
 
#604
#604
Auburn BPI
@ Uga 71.9%
vs. Uk 75.7%
@Usc-jr 73.7%
vs Bubba 82.3%
@ Fl 40.7%
@ Ark 45.7%
vs Usc-jr 90.5%
 
#615
#615
If I'm reading it right, it seems like despite Lunardi defending Tennessee's position as a 3 seed following the Bama debacle, he has now dropped then down to what appears to be the last 4 seed. He had them as the top 3 seed 4 days ago. Not sure the Bama loss warrants that big of a drop.
 
#616
#616
cncchris33 said:
If I'm reading it right, it seems like despite Lunardi defending Tennessee's position as a 3 seed following the Bama debacle, he has now dropped then down to what appears to be the last 4 seed. He had them as the top 3 seed 4 days ago. Not sure the Bama loss warrants that big of a drop.
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I think he and Palm both mirrored the committees reveal yesterday, which would mean they’ve got Tennessee as the #1 4 seed (13th overall).
 
#617
#617
bleedingTNorange said:
I think he and Palm both mirrored the committees reveal yesterday, which would mean they’ve got Tennessee as the #1 4 seed (13th overall).
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I would think UVA, as the #1 overall seed, would get the lowest 2 seed, highest 3 seed, and lowest 4 seed in their bracket. From a top-16 perspective, #1, #8, #9, #16 overall.
 
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#618
#618
cncchris33 said:
I would think UVA, as the #1 overall seed, would get the lowest 2 seed, highest 3 seed, and lowest 4 seed in their bracket. From a top-16 perspective, #1, #8, #9, #16.
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No...a lot has to do with location, more so than following that S-curve.

Here’s the reveal from yesterday, it doesn’t matchup much at all, I believe only rule is Top 4 must add up to between 32-36 iirc
 
#620
#620
bleedingTNorange said:
No...a lot has to do with location, more so than following that S-curve.

Here’s the reveal from yesterday, it doesn’t matchup much at all, I believe only rule is Top 4 must add up to between 32-36 iirc
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Gotcha. Still, a little curious why Lunardi would defend having Tennessee as a 3 seed following the selection show, and saying that he believes that is where they'll finish, and then a day later, bumping then down a line.
 
#621
#621
The committee released what the order would be if they were to select today. What many bracketologists do is predict what it will look like on selection sunday. Potentially a big difference.
 
#622
#622
golfballs said:
The committee released what the order would be if they were to select today. What many bracketologists do is predict what it will look like on selection sunday. Potentially a big difference.
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I know, and that was Lunardi's justification for keeping Tennessee at a 3 seed. But in his new update, he has them as a 4. No games yesterday should have really affected that opinion.
 
#624
#624
bleedingTNorange said:
The Bracket Project's Bracket Matrix - 2018

2- Auburn
4- Tennessee
5- Texas A&M
6- Kentucky
6- Florida
8- Alabama
9- Missouri
10- Arkansas

Next 4 Out: Mississippi State
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KY as a 6th seed blows my mind. They already have a 3 game losing streak and it could possibly become 6 in a row considering their next 3 games. I really think KY will lose 2 out of their next 3 and if that happens, they should be on the wrong side of the bubble, imo.
 
#625
#625
The Dog said:
KY as a 6th seed blows my mind. They already have a 3 game losing streak and it could possibly become 6 in a row considering their next 3 games. I really think KY will lose 2 out of their next 3 and if that happens, they should be on the wrong side of the bubble, imo.
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Not the wrong side, but they should be much closer to a 8/9 right now than a 6.
 
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