Official Bracket Watch Thread

#352
#352
BruinVol said:
Define move much?

I don’t think we can move much if you are referring to moving from 69 to the top 50 which I think is a huge measuring stick.

I don’t think we can get inside the top 50 without 3-4 more wins
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You made reference to not being able to move more than 5-6 spots this late in the year
 
#353
#353
bleedingTNorange said:
You made reference to not being able to move more than 5-6 spots this late in the year
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I don’t recall but if I did I was wrong. Like I said I would have guessed 60-62 if you had asked me this morning. I will be interesting to see how that fluctuates over the next few days. Hopefully it goes up 1-2 more spots with others losing
 
#354
#354
bleedingTNorange said:
And as I’ve said for weeks, nobody can really say what gets you in, too many uncontrollable factors.
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Well sure but dang we are talking about what gets us in. We don’t want to be on the bubble and left out and I am certain the OP was asking you what would get us in.

now for my opinion of needing 4 more wins. It’s really hard for me to say that not knowing who the second opponent would be in the SEC tourney. So I’ll soften my thinking on that

If we win 3 more games and those three games include Auburn twice or even Kentucky Again I think we are in.

If that second SEC game is against any body else we will need 4 wins imo to get in
 
#355
#355
It’s going to be an interesting close to the season as a Vol fan.

Saturday isn’t a must win, but it’s about as close as you get. A loss there likely gives us a very difficult road to 2 more wins. It’s also just a bad look to close out your regular season with a loss as a bubble team. We need Saturday.

We also need help. There’s a big bubble, and that means a lot of disappointed teams. BTO’s doing a great job with who we need to see lose. Those will be really important if we only get one SECT win. In my opinion 2 SECT wins gets us to a play in game at the worst regardless of Saturday. 3 gets us in as probably a single digit seed.

Our tourney chances are pretty fitting for this season. A season where we have been right on the edge of being good for most of the year. Some great moments like last night, some big disappointments like UGA, and a bunch of should haves (FSU, Memphis, LSU, Kansas, MSU, TAMU, Auburn, at Arkansas). We had our chances to make this a definite dancing year.

I’ll stick with what I’ve been saying for weeks, I think 19 puts us just on the right side of the bubble, most likely in, 20 we dance and it doesn’t matter what order we get them in. A win Saturday means we only have to beat 1 lower seeded SEC team to most likely get in, and probably shifts us out of the Kentucky half of the bracket. That would be huge.
 
#358
#358
Resume comparisons, this is last 10 in per bracket matrix, and first 6 out...

Xavier: 19-10(8-8) NET-41 Q1&Q2:10-10 Q3&Q4:9-0 SOS:12 NCSOS:71

USC: 21-9(10-7) NET-39 Q1&Q2:10-8 Q3&Q4:11-1 SOS-62 NCSOS-158

Indiana: 18-11(8-10) NET:54 Q1&Q2:8-11 Q3&Q4:10-0 SOS:51 NCSOS:83

Providence: 17-12(10-6) NET:44 Q1&Q2:11-8 Q3&Q3:6-4 SOS-10 NCSOS-133

Wichita State: 22-7(10-6) NET:43 Q1&Q2:9-7 Q3&Q4:13-0 SOS:81 NCSOS:139

Rutgers: 18-11(10-9) NET:32 Q1&Q2:8-10 Q3&Q4:10-1 SOS:38 NCSOS:79

Stanford: 20-9(9-7) NET-25 Q1&Q2:7-8 Q3&Q4:13-1 SOS-97 NCSOS-210

Cincinnati: 19-10(12-5) NET:51 Q1&Q2:9-6 Q3&Q4:10-4 SOS-14 NCSOS-28

UCLA: 18-11(12-5) NET:75 Q1&Q2:9-9 Q3&Q4:9-2 SOS:56 NCSOS:205

Utah State: 21-8(12-6) NET-38 Q1&Q2:4-6 Q3&Q4:17-2 SOS-120 NCSOS-88

———————————————

NC State: 18-12(9-10) NET: 58 Q1&Q2:9-9 Q3&Q4:9-3 SOS:53 NCSOS:81

Rhode Island: 20-8(12-4) NET:52 Q1&Q2:6-7 Q3&Q4:14-1 SOS:77 NCSOS:47

Richmond: 23-7(13-4) NET:42 Q1&Q2:4-6 Q3&Q4:19-1 SOS:94 NCSOS:102

Texas: 19-11(9-8) NET:55 Q1&Q2:7-11 Q3&Q4:12-0 SOS:40 NCSOS:113

Mississippi State: 19-11(10-7) NET:53 Q1&Q2:7-9 Q3&Q4:12-2 SOS:59 NCSOS:109

Purdue: 16-14(9-10) NET-33 Q1&Q2:9-13 Q3&Q4:7-1 SOS-45 NCSOS-96





Tennessee: 17-13(9-8) NET:57 Q1&Q2:8-12 Q3&Q4:9-1 SOS-17 NCSOS-15
 
#359
#359
I don't think you need four more, three might do it. A win over Auburn plus two in the tournament makes you 20-14 overall, and with a winning conference record.

If you lose to Auburn, you need to make the conference final and even then your fate is in the hands of other teams.

UF is 18-11. If we beat Kentucky this Saturday we are in. If we lose to Kentucky, i think we need at least one SEC tournament win to feel safe.
 
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#362
#362
lawgator1 said:
I don't think you need four more, three might do it. A win over Auburn plus two in the tournament makes you 20-14 overall, and with a winning conference record.

If you lose to Auburn, you need to make the conference final and even then your fate is in the hands of other teams.

UF is 18-11. If we beat Kentucky this Saturday we are in. If we lose to Kentucky, i think we need at least one SEC tournament win to feel safe.
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Y’all are pretty safe, it would take losing your next 3 to miss imo.
 
#365
#365
lawgator1 said:
We have got to beat UGA. Period.

If the Gators come out flat for the start of that one, as they have all year, Gator fans will absolutely lose it with White.
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Y’all can be mad at him, probably should anyways, but doesn’t mean they’d miss the dance.
 
#367
#367
BruinVol said:
Have they said it’s used equally as Q1 alone ?
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They’re not going to say anything like that. That boxes them in. The determining criteria ebbs year to year and you just don’t know what they’ll emphasize.
 
#368
#368
I agree with 3 more wins. 2 (assuming Auburn is one), and it's probably going to be a stressful Sunday. 4 wins and it's just about seeding.
 
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#369
#369
Hopefully having a HOF type coach along with the nice run we’ve had the last couple seasons with help if were in a group that’s all close
 
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#370
#370
walkenvol said:
Hopefully having a HOF type coach along with the nice run we’ve had the last couple seasons with help if were in a group that’s all close
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I Mentioned last night Turner and SV might play a role in getting us some “sympathetic” judgement
 
#375
#375
VolnJC said:
Jerry Palm says Vols are reasonably far from any bubble talk
Bracketology: Jerry Palm on Vols, NCAA Tournament bubble
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It's all a crapshoot because these guys have different opinions. But Palm says Arkansas is ahead of UT? That's asinine even before the win last night. I know they were without their best pro prospect and lost 5 games, but their resume is no better than ours, and last night makes it even better. Arkansas is 6-10 in conference with no win over the top 6 in the conference (0-7). We are 9-8 and 3-5 against the top 6. Arkansas' OOC schedule was also much worse so that doesn't overcome anything.

I swear I thought these guys were supposed to be experts.
 
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