Observation on the SI Team Rankings...

#27
#27
Preseason rankings are based on last season's record and how many starters the team returned. Probably half the team's in the top 20 won't finish there, i.e. 2008 Vols. I don't pay a lot of attention to them other then the two things I mentioned.
 
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#28
#28
A good example is Notre Dame ends up ranked lower at the end of the season compaired to the begining of the season 99% of the time.
 
#29
#29
Preseason/Postseason Rankings for some teams last year (Source = Rivals 1-120 rankings)

Georgia: 2/13
Florida: 6/1
Tennessee: 19/70
Utah: 28/5
Bama: 29/6
Ole Miss: 67/15

Basicly, preseason rankings don't matter.
 
#30
#30
oklavol said:
Preseason rankings are based on last season's record and how many starters the team returned. Probably half the team's in the top 20 won't finish there, i.e. 2008 Vols. I don't pay a lot of attention to them other then the two things I mentioned.
Click to expand...

Correct. Last year, 11 of the Top 20 teams failed to make the postseason top 20:

Team (Preseason Rank/Postseason Rank)
SoCal (1/2)
Georgia (2/13)
Ohio State (3/11)
Oklahoma (4/4)
Missouri (5/16)
Florida (6/1)
Texas Tech (14/9)
Texas (15/3)
Virginia Tech (17/19)


Auburn (7/67)
West Virginia (8/25)
Clemson (9/46)
LSU (10/30)
Kansas (11/37)
BYU (12/26)
Wisconsin (13/48)
Arizona St. (16/66)
Illinois (18/60)
Tennessee (19/70)
South Florida (20/36)
 
#31
#31
423VOL said:
Correct. Last year, 11 of the Top 20 teams failed to make the postseason top 20:

Team (Preseason Rank/Postseason Rank)
SoCal (1/2)
Georgia (2/13)
Ohio State (3/11)
Oklahoma (4/4)
Missouri (5/16)
Florida (6/1)
Texas Tech (14/9)
Texas (15/3)
Virginia Tech (17/19)


Auburn (7/67)
West Virginia (8/25)
Clemson (9/46)
LSU (10/30)
Kansas (11/37)
BYU (12/26)
Wisconsin (13/48)
Arizona St. (16/66)
Illinois (18/60)
Tennessee (19/70)
South Florida (20/36)
Click to expand...

Good info, interesting to look at it like that...hopefully we pull an Ole Miss from last year!:dance:
 
#33
#33
jbone said:
I do not see us losing 5 conference games, but if we do, there is no way in heck (after looking at film) we will be playing in the Chik-fil-a bowl with a 3-5 conference record. They get dibs just after the cotton bowl and with a decent West, and even 2 teams going to BCS games there will be a better option than a 3-5 UT team.
Click to expand...

See LSU...8 months ago...
 
#34
#34
Is it just me or does it seem like CBSSporsline and SI both have a lot more respect for Tennessee athletics than ESPN?!? (CBSSportsline has always kind to Tennessee Basketball in their rankings)
 
#36
#36
UGADawg4Life said:
if there are 64 teams better than Auburn at season end. All said and done, they're still Auburn. But if I had to pick a surprise team this season, it would be us. There's a lot of uncertainty about us due to all of the offensive production that we lost. But we kind of remind me of the UT '98 team in that we lost the superstar QB (if you want to call Stafford that) but have a dependable guy who's been in the program. We have a stable of RB's and solid lines on both sides of the ball. I think you'll see a hungry and relaxed bunch of Dawgs who will be fun to watch. I hope so anyway.

Best of luck to you guys this year. I know that you have to be very excited about the new, post-Fulmer, era.
Click to expand...

i see a 9-3 season as a great year with that schedule and losing stafford and moreno
 
#37
#37
423VOL said:
Correct. Last year, 11 of the Top 20 teams failed to make the postseason top 20:

Team (Preseason Rank/Postseason Rank)
SoCal (1/2)
Georgia (2/13)
Ohio State (3/11)
Oklahoma (4/4)
Missouri (5/16)
Florida (6/1)
Texas Tech (14/9)
Texas (15/3)
Virginia Tech (17/19)


Auburn (7/67)
West Virginia (8/25)
Clemson (9/46)
LSU (10/30)
Kansas (11/37)
BYU (12/26)
Wisconsin (13/48)
Arizona St. (16/66)
Illinois (18/60)
Tennessee (19/70)
South Florida (20/36)
Click to expand...

As pointed out earlier, a great example of what a fool's errand it is to assign precise rankings to future results dependent on the performance of 18-22 year olds.
 
#38
#38
Mr. Two Bits said:
I see UGA going 8-4 with losses to OKie St., LSU, Florida and either Arky or Georgia Tech.
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I agree with the UGA poster that they will be better this year than last. Stafford was to UGA as Jamarcus Russell was to LSU -- talented but prone to throwing picks. UGA's sked is rough though. I don't see how they come out of that without 3 losses.

As much as I hope I am wrong, I do think UGA beats us. I think we beat Ole Miss.
 
#39
#39
kidbourbon said:
I agree with the UGA poster that they will be better this year than last. Stafford was to UGA as Jamarcus Russell was to LSU -- talented but prone to throwing picks. UGA's sked is rough though. I don't see how they come out of that without 3 losses.

As much as I hope I am wrong, I do think UGA beats us. I think we beat Ole Miss.
Click to expand...

I think 7-5 should be the floor for us, barring key injuries. I think 9-3 or 10-2 would be a great season with the brutal schedule we have. I would hope that 10-2 or better would give us a shot at a BCS bowl.

The only game I can look at as a pretty sure win is Tenn Tech. I've never seen a more challenging schedule for us for the first 5 games (Ok St., USC, Ark, Az St., LSU, UT). If we survive that with 1 loss, I think most UGA fans will/should be thrilled. The suckie thing will be that with one loss, we'd probably be barred from the top 10 because a couple of WAC teams will be undefeated after playing teams like "Southern Cal Tech School for The Blind."

I'm not too worried about our QB situation as long as Cox stays healthy. My biggest concerns are depth on both sides of the ball. If we can keep our starters healthy we should be o'kay. Just MHO.
 
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