P5 head coaching experience needs to be mandatory. No one hit wonders. Has to be some demonstration of sustained success. Minimum lifetime winning percentage in the .600-.650 range, the higher the better. Strongly prefer someone who built one or more rosters than someone who inherited a turnkey contender. It isn’t going to be a long list but it captures a lot of people who we talk about. When you look at those criteria, and give the last one the least weight, you see a group of coaches that includes Herman, Patterson, Freeze, Kelly, Gundy, Malzahn, Fickell, and Franklin. It also includes names that have been tossed around here in past searches but who don’t have much cache any more like Petrino, Pellini, Briles, Butch Davis, etc. This seems to be sweet spot where we’re always dipping a line and maybe getting a nibble, but not catching anything. We need to be patient and wait for one of these guys. Not necessarily one of these names, but someone with similar experience and success.
Some pretty good logic there. I think you need a sample size that is bigger than just a few years to see sustained success. Decent list.
Herman I think is a underrated hire. Dude lost 3 games this year, and none of them by more than a touchdown. Texas just gets tired of chasing Oklahoma like we get tired of chasing Alabama. The only thing that makes me wary of Herman is that I have heard he is a total jerk. However, he is a Mensa member, and the guy is brilliant offensively. I'd be thrilled with Herman.
Patterson is never going to leave TCU. A few years ago, he would have. But I feel like that's a pipe dream now.
Freeze, I'm just now convinced that they are not going to get anyone with significant and recent NCAA baggage. And I'm not sold on him as a head coach. He will beat Saban, but lose the games he shouldn't. That seems infuriating.
Chip Kelly, just no. I think his offense would explode in a bad way in the SEC. He hasn't impressed at UCLA at all.
Gundy should be popping up in the rumors any hour now looking for a raise from us.
Malzahn, I'd be totally happy with, but not sure that Steele would go well with that.
Fickell, sure. He has done well at Cincy. But his son just signed an NLI to play for Cincy. Seems unlikely he would transfer.
Franklin...again, NCAA issues.
Briles, Petrino....NCAA issues.
I think a lot of it comes down to "How firm will they be in upholding integrity?" If the NCAA has handed out penalties, then you're free to hire whoever. But if they haven't yet? First off, good luck getting a coach to come in when penalties aren't known. But secondly, they're not going to hire a guy with NCAA issues and then say "But we're running a squeaky clean program here!"
I would not want to be the ones making these decisions. Good luck to our AD, whoever he is.