Look at the rosters. Look at the competiton played last year. Look at who was lost.
Then do the math. If Dooley can coach then this game should be no closer than 2 TD's. I am not sure that NCSU saw more than a couple of WR's in 13 games last year as talented as Hunter and Rogers... and NEVER two of that caliber on one team. This year they get them plus CP who may well be in their class also.
There are always stats inside the stats but here's one interesting tidbit. We thought of our secondary as mediocre as best last fall. State fans believe theirs to be a returning strength. No opponent went over 300 yds passing vs UT last year. Wake, FSU, and Clemson went over 300 vs State... Liberty had 295.
Avg ypg- UT=177, NCSU=224
Avg QB rating- UT=125, NCSU=118
Completion %= Both 58%
YPC- UT= 12.0, NCSU=12.4
YPA- UT=6.95, NCSU=7.14
I post all that just to point back to perhaps the most significant factor to consider when looking at this game... what passes for a team strength in the ACC makes you bottom 3rd in the SEC.
The SEC has been the best conference for several years running now and not just at the top. In some years, the BCS championship opponents have looked less competitive than UK or Vandy. A bottom third SEC team is a mid-tier team in the B12, B10, or Pac12... They're a championship contender in the ACC or Big East.
That isn't a dismissal of the history or futures of any of those conferences. It is simply the lay of the land as it now exists.