recruiting helps but does not win championships. For example, Ron Zook was a great recruiter for Florida but a bad coach when it came to developing talent and preparing for gameday. I think you are overlooking the fact that just because you have talent does not always mean you are going to win. Look at FSU, they have way more talent according to Rivals/Scout than some of the teams they are losing to, but the talent is not coached up. I think the jury is still out on how good of a coach Lane is.
My fundamental premise is that if you are a top 40 BCS conference school that can attract top 3 talent year in and year out, good coaching will be a given,
at least to the point that you can't screw up that much talent. Differentiating coaching (Saban) is not needed, just solid coaching. Talent determines the winner of most games. Top 20 classes (Auburn) beat Top 40 classes (S. Carolina). Top 3 classes (Florida) beat top 10classes (Georgia). Most independent observers agree that our staff, besides being excellent recruiters, are probably above average teachers and game day strategists, on balance. That leaves poor little Laney, who has been around Xs and Os all his life, and has plenty of solid recommendations from both his USC and NFL days if you would care to dig them up. We aren't too worried about our offensive brain trust. Is Lane the leader of men that we need, is he going to go on tilt at the wrong moment as you previously suggested, is he cool under pressure? What looks like arrogance from sunny Florida looks like supreme self-confidence in Knoxville. Cool under pressure? Check.
We are closer to this situation than the enemy. You and ten other SEC teams are hoping against hope for failure, yet we see rising GPAs, increasing disciplinary measures, zero points on the Fulmer Cup scoreboard, a team in the top ten in the country in fewest penalties, etc... Sounds like a leader to me. Even our own fan base is giving him hell about playing Nick Stevens and he looks us in the eye and says "STFU, I am the coach and Ocho Stinko is my QB. Now come yell like crazy Sat night, kickoff is at 7."
Bottom line - of course the jury is still out - we wouldn't need this thread if it wasn't (see title). But, so far all of the long term vital signs look promising. Your "bad coach" reference seems to still be tied up in all of the circus sideshow from the off season. You can't see any of the other signals that the program is sending out.
Your Ron Zook point is a very good one. Unfortunately, I don't have data from 1998-2001 to say how much talent Spurrier left for Zook. I do recall some criticism that Spurrier had let recruiting slide a bit toward the end of his tenure.
Would you say that Florida's talent was among the top three in the country during the Zook years? If Zook is the exception to this rule, I would not be surprised. Ron Zook is a lying scumbag. I was at UT when he was the DB coach and we had the faxed playbook incident. Remember that? My brother worked at the Kinko's where it all went down.
Florida State is a bad example. As I have tried to point out, the basis of the premise is that if you have
differentiating talent (something that applies
only to USC, Florida and USC during the period 2002-2009) then it seems you have success at an very high level that is difficult to screw up. Lots of teams underachieve with good paper talent (Fla St, Georgia, ND, UT - back when we had talent)
By the way, I bet if I had data for the late 1980s and 1990s for Miami and Florida State, it would support my hypothesis quite nicely. :matrix: