Kentucky Opens As 4pt Faves

#103
#103
NO SIR EEE said:
Yes there is. If Kentucky plays like they did against Miss St. Tennessee will beat the piss out of them.
Click to expand...
Miss St played well. We would have list to Miss St last week in Starkville had they played that well against us. It's deluded to believe we will have over 400 yards rushing this week. We certainly can win and can win convincingly, but not like we beat Missouri
 
#104
#104
Line is down to 1… unranked undermanned team with 4-4 record at the #18 team in the country. Math doesn’t work. Don’t think many people outside of Lexington think much about them and they shouldn’t.
 
  • Like
Reactions: njvols, TennEddie and VolnJC
#107
#107
90 Vol said:
I live in Kentucky and I've perused the Kentucky message boards. What I can tell you is that the Miss. St. loss took a lot of wind out of their sails. I even heard one coworker say that they're done with football and ready for basketball. Kentucky plays tough at home. However, if we can get them down early I think the crowd will disengage, doubt will creep into the Ky players, and we win comfortably. If we come out flat, it's going to be a 60 minute dogfight.
Click to expand...

Trust me your co worker is in the full minority. We have a lot to play for still, a win over UT and the Cats likely go 10-2 and a NY6 appearance.
 
#108
#108
Just because you think he is in the full minority doesn't mean he is wrong.
 
#113
#113
Not worth a separate thread, but here is UT -vs- UK by the numbers, against SEC opponents:

Team UK UT
Record 4-2 2-3
Offense
PPG 23.8 34.2
RYPG 192 222
PYPG 142 250
TYPG 335 472
Defense
PPG 22.2 33
RYPG 123 198
PYPG 253 272
TYPG 376 470

Against common opponents UF, USCe and Mizzou, UK avg score is 23.6-17. UT is 40-27.3.

I didn't dig down into turnovers, penalties, etc. I don't have the intellect or the patience to do that. But UK has struggled on offense in their last two games (UGA and MSU) being significantly outplayed and outscored by both. UT's last two (UM and Bama), while both losses as well, saw UT giving up roughly 100 ypg and 10 ppg over their average against SEC opponents.

Takeaways?

Play the middle. Bouncing PPG against O/PPG, you come up with UK at 28.4 and UT at 28.2. UK is at home...night game...primetime...and so the ~3 point home advantage comes in to play as well. UK is, what, a 4 point favorite? Sounds about right.

If UT is looking for a "signature win"...UK is not it. Never will be. UF, UGA, Bama, yes. Those are signature wins; signs that UT is back in the hunt. A win over UK would be big, no doubt, but all it would mean is that we can go on the road in the SEC as an underdog, and win.

Sorry, Cat fans....that's as big as you'll ever be in our book. Enjoy it while you can.

This game is a coin flip. If UT shows up healthy and motivated, then they can win. Heupel and Banks will have the game plan to do it. But will they have the players? Likewise, Stoops is looking to stop the bleeding, and there's no better place to do it than at home on primetime. UK won't be an easy out. The talent levels are close. UK has the edge on depth. They're at home.

But some how...some way...assuming the officials and fainting goats don't intervene...I think UT gets this one. We're 0-2 in games we could have, and probably should have, won. I think we can get one back here.

UT 35-24. Go Vols.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: VolinMC, Megatron88, VolnJC and 2 others
New posts
You must log in or register to reply here.

VN Store



Back
Top