General Jack
Vorschlaghammer
- Joined
- Sep 28, 2004
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Yes, Wall Street says this all the time.
The former SIGTARP recently said the next bailout would cost $5 trillion, and, of course, Bernacke has stayed on disaster's course since he inherited the mess from the Maestro (sic).
It's not like we aren't living in a historic era where "creative accounting" has caused and is causing all sorts of trouble.
.At any given time there exists an inventory of undiscovered embezzlement in - or more precisely not in - the country's business and banks. This inventory - it should perhaps be called the bezzle - amounts at any moment to many millions of dollars. It also varies in size with the business cycle. In good times people are relaxed, trusting, and money is plentiful. But even though money is plentiful, there are always many people who need more. Under these circumstances the rate of embezzlement grows, the rate of discovery falls off, and the bezzle increases rapidly. In depression all this is reversed.
Related to the recent financial crisis, the accounting didn't create the trouble. People, facilitated by the investment bankers lust for selling mortgage backed securities (who in term hedged said securities with credit default swaps largely through AIG), buying houses they couldn't afford en mass, created the trouble.
Yes, but the creative accounting hid the shadow banking system underlying all of this. "The bezzle" in times of plenty was hidden. When it got tight, suddenly it was discovered the SIVs were actually part of the banks themselves, and so it unwinds, etc, etc, etc.
It is hilarious actually. Just to take your AIG example - they were selling insurance on "products" that have been blitzed by fuzzy math to be "securitized."
Yes, but the creative accounting hid the shadow banking system underlying all of this. "The bezzle" in times of plenty was hidden. When it got tight, suddenly it was discovered the SIVs were actually part of the banks themselves, and so it unwinds, etc, etc, etc.
It is hilarious actually. Just to take your AIG example - they were selling insurance on "products" that have been blitzed by fuzzy math to be "securitized."
Somewhere along the way the auditors failed to properly evaluate the underlying value of the investment. Doesn't make them proximate cause, it does, however, make them a part of the problem. In your analogy, they are the stop sign that wasn't there.
From another often well-informed poster on another board:
"A decade without a system president will do that. When a division head (Athletic Director) is in over his head, he needs a strong boss to have a chance to succeed. With no one in charge, the UTAD debt level ballooned and the financial situation, in the words of an ex-UT president, are 'in shambles, built on smoke and mirrors.' Some places that pay their coaches much, much more than UT are in better financial condition. This, despite the oft-repeated mantra 'UT is one of the only athletics departments to make money.' You can defer and hide a lot of operating expenses with a credit card - until you reach the debt limit."
This is something that's been gurgling for a while, but no one ever wants to talk about the debt-leveraged "fundraising" (e.g., project-inspired donations with less funds coming in than the projects cost), and will likely be the last death-nail in the Hamilton legacy coffin. Wonder why ADs with Tennessee ties across the country are jumping out of their seats to say they DON'T want the Tennessee job?
The accounting is wasn't to blame. People buying houses they couldn't afford; investment bankers making massive profits on bundling and securitizing crappy mortgages; AIG making obscene fees on derivatives; all of those were to blame. In short, everyone was living the high life while the house of cards was being being built. Greed is to blame, not the accounting.
All bubbles burst, the bubble was reflected in any financial metric one would have card to pay attention to. Blaming the accounting is like blaming a stop sign that is not heeded by a reckless drive who causes a head on collision.
I'm just wondering how all this could happen in a socialist enterprise like the UTAD
Somewhere along the way the auditors failed to properly evaluate the underlying value of the investment. Doesn't make them proximate cause, it does, however, make them a part of the problem. In your analogy, they are the stop sign that wasn't there.
Ah, well. When your regulators are under the reign of Capital....
Its fashionable to blame the accountants, and while there was plenty of blame to go around the root cause was greed, pure and simple.
Bingo.
In our UTAD case though, I think we will discover that it was the ways in which Hambone got the accountants comfortable with the financials that will be the first headache for the new UTAD. Well, I'm forgeting the NCAA investigation.
Unlike Hambone's first days on the job when losing to Auburn and Georgia were the major problems.
Chicken or egg? Bubble existed because the value of the portfolio of assets was overstated at origination level. No, I don't want an accountant to tell me how to run my business but an auditor does have safety and soundness obligations in order to certify that f/s present fairly the value of the assets and liabilities and that the profits claimed are real. If underwriting standards are a joke they shouldn't sign off on the value of assets, that would be what a loan loss reserve is designed to show. If they can't conclude on what that ought to be they shouldn't issue a clean opinion and they should communicate to the Directors and officers that they need to adopt sound lending policies and offer their services as consultants. If the D's and O's ignore them they have the ability to walk on the engagement after they do their own liability risk assessment. Money talks though, even accountants care about fee income in the end.
Again, they aren't proximate cause but they are responsible for at least some of the road signs to warn investors. The market is based on information and the accounting firms provide at least a portion of that info stream on which the market relies. The bubble was based on greed but also on information or the lack thereof.
We are only in disagreement as to whether they have some measure of blame or not. There is plenty of blame to go around as there always will be in any bubble.
From another often well-informed poster on another board:
"A decade without a system president will do that. When a division head (Athletic Director) is in over his head, he needs a strong boss to have a chance to succeed. With no one in charge, the UTAD debt level ballooned and the financial situation, in the words of an ex-UT president, are 'in shambles, built on smoke and mirrors.' Some places that pay their coaches much, much more than UT are in better financial condition. This, despite the oft-repeated mantra 'UT is one of the only athletics departments to make money.' You can defer and hide a lot of operating expenses with a credit card - until you reach the debt limit."
This is something that's been gurgling for a while, but no one ever wants to talk about the debt-leveraged "fundraising" (e.g., project-inspired donations with less funds coming in than the projects cost), and will likely be the last death-nail in the Hamilton legacy coffin. Wonder why ADs with Tennessee ties across the country are jumping out of their seats to say they DON'T want the
Tennessee job?