Iran

I have to again remark about the sudden and substantial rise in gas prices in the blink of an eye when there is a threat.... to be followed by a slow decline many months after the crisis is over.
 
I'm guessing the idea is once you go beyond "normal" enrichment (under 20%) it starts getting pretty sketchy to play the "nothing to see here" game. That story had them at 60% enrichment followed by

"Accelerating the production of uranium enriched to 60 percent U-235 is concerning because the material can be quickly enriched to weapons-grade levels or 90 percent."

I guess the argument would be that waiting until we're actually aware of "weapons grade" enrichment levels might be a bit late.

This is all true. Have read about it previously
Enriched Uranium is for weapons at over 90%...the 60 to 80% pure stuff doesn't need many more times being processed with centrifuge to achieve the purity for warheads. Dirty bombs are much lower % from spent nuclear rods that power plants used etc. Really not much of a threat because the particles are too heavy to spread well through the air. Bigger concern if a dirty bomb were detonated somewhere would be the cleanup. That location would probably be sealed off and abandoned like when a reactor fails because the half life is millions of years. A nuclear reaction with atoms splitting does not occur from a "dirty bomb" just a conventional explosion spreading radioactive Uranium particles in a very limited area.
 
Iran has a litany of weapons to attack vessels, plus mines. We’re not going to put our destroyers in the middle of a shooting gallery. Don’t underestimate the danger at Hormuz.
Smokey stated that Iran has threatened shipping with Drones, which is a credible threat for sure.

There are already at least a couple of Destroyers plus an LCS in the Straight of Hormuz right now.
There a couple more LCS mine sweepers at Bahrain.

We’re already in the shooting gallery - whatever remains of it.

The US Navy doesn’t broadcast the location of our SSNs, and ship spotters can’t see them, but it’s likely there are 3-4 in the area as well.
 
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I was holding out hope, but after reading this “arming the Kurds” nonsense i’m convinced we really have no idea what we’re doing do we.
I think you have to pin your hopes on 2 things

1 - The remnants of the IRGC leadership could prove more inept than we are
2 - We’ve got bigger guns, and more of them

That’s it. That’s all I’ve got.
 

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