WoodsmanVol
It takes wisdom to understand wisdom.
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No. The FACT that he was on the verge of being fired before that season and would have had to repeat it the next year to avoid being fired then. He was on an extremely hot seat before taking a job that wasn't all that attractive at LSU. He made LSU an attractive job. He is a great coach... but he WAS in big trouble at MSU.You mean when he led them to their best season in 33 years?
Regardless, any Alabama fan that was "second-guessing" the Saban hire after the first year is an absolute moron which may go hand in hand.
Talent, development, and coaching wins championships. Not stars.First of all, it's Vincent Dallas. Second, just because he's looked good in his first spring practice doesn't mean we should crown him all SEC. That might say more about our D as much as it does about Dallas. Zach Fulton may very well turn out to be a great player but don't you think it's a LITTLE early to declare it so? Besides, you're going to find exceptions to the rule at every program. That still is not what wins championships.
Auburn caught lightning in a bottle by aquiring Cam Newton who was a once in a lifetime game-changer of an athlete. He was a Herchel Walker type player in this day and age. They also had the good fortune of aquiring Nick Fairley, also a game changer on defense. BESIDES Auburn, look at the Nat'l Champions from the last 10 years and see what their average recruiting rankings were the 3 years prior. I'm telling you, there ARE exceptions to the rule of course but by and large the teams that win are the teams that finish high in recruiting.
If he goes 6-6 this year it would certainly be viewed negatively given that our non conference schedule is weak this season. I think we have a good chance of being in the top half of the SEC in offense. If we somehow manage a top half SEC finish in defense and beat two team we are underdogs to, then I think CDD is taking the program where we need to go. Until, we beat a ranked team CDD will still be questioned about his potential to lead us to an SEC title. If he beats an SEC team that has more talent than we have, then some questions will be answered about his potential for the future.Cannot be determined at this time, IMO. Dooley should be evaluated on year 3...not his first 2.
Talent, development, and coaching wins championships. Not stars.
There are ALOT of exceptions. D Moore was a 3* as was Stocker. Arian Foster was a 3*.
For that matter, there is a big chunk of circular reasoning in the recruit rankings. Once a coach proves he can recognize talent his recruitment of a kid influences the evals. A kid that plays in one of the states known for blue chip talent will get the nod over a kid from a lesser state. Politics plays in... as does the lack of resources of the recruiting svcs.
The point is that the ranking and rating system is NOT precise enough to say that the #4 class is more than maybe 10% more likely to win a championship than the #15 class.
What was Fairley's rating?
"High" is relative. Averaging #10 is likely to be high enough if you develop your guys and keep them eligible.
Auburn probably did catch a break with Newton. That doesn't explain Oregon who dominated the #1 "star" team- USC.
Bama won their NC.... after averaging #6 for the 4 previous years. The DID depend on significant contributions from former 3* players. He got some contributions out of the young guys from highly rated classes but about half the starters were 3* players (Arenas, Maze, McElroy, Cody...).
For that matter, Bama just had a #10, #1, #1, and #5 rated classes... and couldn't beat Auburn's one guy.
Again, stars mean "something" but not everything.
I'm not saying stars are everything. Of course development and coaching play a part. However you have to be in denial if you don't think there is a direct relationship between nat'l championships and highly ranked recruiting classes.
There is a "general" relationship but as long as you have Oregon showing up... it is not a "direct" relationship.
But you still have to answer, what qualifies as "highly ranked recruiting classes"? Averaging a top 10 IMO is "highly ranked" enough if a staff knows how to get some top shelf, college ready talent and knows how to recognize players that can be developed. On the same token, I wouldn't expect to see a team that avg'd 20th or lower to be there very often (Oregon avg'd 19th for the four years prior to their appearance in the NC game).
Another sidenote: Scout and others have been less accurate than Rivals over the years. Since Rivals was bought by Yahoo their service has been more about the bottom line and less about the quality of the product. They cut staff and expenses so they may no longer be the gold standard they once were.
No. The FACT that he was on the verge of being fired before that season and would have had to repeat it the next year to avoid being fired then. He was on an extremely hot seat before taking a job that wasn't all that attractive at LSU. He made LSU an attractive job. He is a great coach... but he WAS in big trouble at MSU.
It's like I said before. If Tennessee is in any other conference in the nation, I would be fine with where the last couple of recruiting classes ranked. However if you finish 10th in the nation in recruiting, yet only 6th in your own conference, that's where it becomes a problem.
On the LSU topic, I wouldn't say that Saban made that an attractive job. He simply was able to utilize the built-in advantages that LSU has. They're really close to 5 great recruiting bases in Florida, Georgia, Alabama, Louisiana, and Texas. LSU had quite a history before Saban ever set foot on campus. Having said all that, it still takes a heck of a coach to do well in the SEC even with those resources. You put Saban in a place like Alabama, and it's another no-brainer... which goes back to my original point that there was no reason for Alabama fans to panic or even remotely question the hire given their resources.
Actually, it was 8 losses and 2 ties in three years. But the point is he had more talent than when CDD took over.
Not to mention 2 SEC championships.If you count Fulmer as taking over in 1992, which for all intents and purposes he did, then in the previous three years:
1989 11-1 (SEC co-champion)
1990 9-2-2 (SEC champion)
1991 9-3
Six loses and two ties in three seasons. Fulmer certainly didn't have any rebuilding to do.
LSU had 10 losing seasons in the 20 years prior to Saban taking over.
I didn't realize that LSU's football history only went back to 1979.
You may want to take a gander at the coaches they hired during that period. There's a reason that Gerry DiNardo and Curley Hallman aren't coaching anywhere right now. But, who knows, maybe the XFL will start up again and Dinardo gets another shot.
I think Dooley will get the right kids if he's given time.