impressive and Underwhelming

#1
johnboyhunter

johnboyhunter

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#1
On SEC network scoreboard wrap up both McElroy and the other analyst raved on the VOLS and said that Tennessee impressed more than Georgia in that game.

Considering how some of our future opponents played today I was underwhelmed.

Kentucky and Vandy. No points scored by either team in the second half!

South Carolina. Embarrassing to their fans to drop 2 SEC games at home and this one against a non ranked team that lost to Indiana last week.

Missouri. Same game. Pulled it out but not consistent.

Ole Miss. Pulled it out late, but going into the half 7-3 against Memphis was underperforming.

We didn't see Alabama or Florida play today. We know what to expect with Alabama but who knows with Florida.

Each week we get more knowledge about our team but also out opponents. Given the season so far how do we fair rest of season in SEC play?

These are my picks.


Florida WIN 70% Certainty
South Carolina WIN 60% Certainty
Alabama LOSS 95% Certainty
Ole Miss LOSS 55% Certainty
Missouri WIN 60% Certainty
Kentucky WIN 80% Certainty
Vanderbilt WIN 99.44% Certainty

So my certainty ratings are how confident I am with each predicted outcome. So example with calling Missouri WIN at 60% I am also saying there is a 40% chance we lose.

I have us finishing 5-3 SEC play.
 
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#2
#2
johnboyhunter said:
On SEC network scoreboard wrap up both McElroy and the other analyst raved on the VOLS and said that Tennessee impressed more than Georgia in that game.

Considering how some of our future opponents played today I was underwhelmed.

Kentucky and Vandy. No points scored by either team in the second half!

South Carolina. Embarrassing to their fans to drop 2 SEC games at home and this one against a non ranked team that lost to Indiana last week.

Missouri. Same game. Pulled it out but not consistent.

Ole Miss. Pulled it out late, but going into the half 7-3 against Memphis was underperforming.

We didn't see Alabama or Florida play today. We know what to expect with Alabama but who knows with Florida.

Each week we get more knowledge about our team but also out opponents. Given the season so far how do we fair rest of season in SEC play?

These are my picks.


Florida WIN 70% Certainty
South Carolina WIN 60% Certainty
Alabama LOSS 95% Certainty
Ole Miss LOSS 55% Certainty
Missouri WIN 60% Certainty
Kentucky WIN 80% Certainty
Vanderbilt WIN 99.44% Certainty

So my certainty ratings are how confident I am with each predicted outcome. So example with calling Missouri WIN at 60% I am also saying there is a 40% chance we lose.

I have us finishing 5-3 SEC play.
Click to expand...
8-4 overall 5-3 conference.!!!! I'll take it, sounds good to me.
 
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#4
#4
I'm not as confident on the Vandy game as you are. I have us at 98.7361% chance of victory, love your optimism though.
 
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#5
#5
johnboyhunter said:
On SEC network scoreboard wrap up both McElroy and the other analyst raved on the VOLS and said that Tennessee impressed more than Georgia in that game.

Considering how some of our future opponents played today I was underwhelmed.

Kentucky and Vandy. No points scored by either team in the second half!

South Carolina. Embarrassing to their fans to drop 2 SEC games at home and this one against a non ranked team that lost to Indiana last week.

Missouri. Same game. Pulled it out but not consistent.

Ole Miss. Pulled it out late, but going into the half 7-3 against Memphis was underperforming.

We didn't see Alabama or Florida play today. We know what to expect with Alabama but who knows with Florida.

Each week we get more knowledge about our team but also out opponents. Given the season so far how do we fair rest of season in SEC play?

These are my picks.


Florida WIN 70% Certainty
South Carolina WIN 60% Certainty
Alabama LOSS 95% Certainty
Ole Miss LOSS 55% Certainty
Missouri WIN 60% Certainty
Kentucky WIN 80% Certainty
Vanderbilt WIN 99.44% Certainty

So my certainty ratings are how confident I am with each predicted outcome. So example with calling Missouri WIN at 60% I am also saying there is a 40% chance we lose.

I have us finishing 5-3 SEC play.
Click to expand...

It was 10-3 with 10 minutes left in the game!! And Memphis lost their leading rusher in the first half lol. Ole miss is VERY VERY overrated. We should curb stomp FL and Ole Miss both.
 
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#6
#6
Shocker0 said:
I'm not as confident on the Vandy game as you are. I have us at 98.7361% chance of victory, love your optimism though.
Click to expand...

Lol I just hope Worley will be able to play by then with the shots he is takin
 
#8
#8
johnboyhunter said:
On SEC network scoreboard wrap up both McElroy and the other analyst raved on the VOLS and said that Tennessee impressed more than Georgia in that game.

Considering how some of our future opponents played today I was underwhelmed.

Kentucky and Vandy. No points scored by either team in the second half!

South Carolina. Embarrassing to their fans to drop 2 SEC games at home and this one against a non ranked team that lost to Indiana last week.

Missouri. Same game. Pulled it out but not consistent.

Ole Miss. Pulled it out late, but going into the half 7-3 against Memphis was underperforming.

We didn't see Alabama or Florida play today. We know what to expect with Alabama but who knows with Florida.

Each week we get more knowledge about our team but also out opponents. Given the season so far how do we fair rest of season in SEC play?

These are my picks.


Florida WIN 70% Certainty
South Carolina WIN 60% Certainty
Alabama LOSS 95% Certainty
Ole Miss LOSS 55% Certainty
Missouri WIN 60% Certainty
Kentucky WIN 80% Certainty
Vanderbilt WIN 99.44% Certainty

So my certainty ratings are how confident I am with each predicted outcome. So example with calling Missouri WIN at 60% I am also saying there is a 40% chance we lose.

I have us finishing 5-3 SEC play.
Click to expand...

I think you are fairly spot on. However, I think you could flip South Carolina and Ole Miss. I wouldn't be surprised if we lost to the GameCocks and beat the Rebels.
 
#9
#9
johnboyhunter said:
On SEC network scoreboard wrap up both McElroy and the other analyst raved on the VOLS and said that Tennessee impressed more than Georgia in that game.

Considering how some of our future opponents played today I was underwhelmed.

Kentucky and Vandy. No points scored by either team in the second half!

South Carolina. Embarrassing to their fans to drop 2 SEC games at home and this one against a non ranked team that lost to Indiana last week.

Missouri. Same game. Pulled it out but not consistent.

Ole Miss. Pulled it out late, but going into the half 7-3 against Memphis was underperforming.

We didn't see Alabama or Florida play today. We know what to expect with Alabama but who knows with Florida.

Each week we get more knowledge about our team but also out opponents. Given the season so far how do we fair rest of season in SEC play?

These are my picks.


Florida WIN 70% Certainty
South Carolina WIN 60% Certainty
Alabama LOSS 95% Certainty
Ole Miss LOSS 55% Certainty
Missouri WIN 60% Certainty
Kentucky WIN 80% Certainty
Vanderbilt WIN 99.44% Certainty

So my certainty ratings are how confident I am with each predicted outcome. So example with calling Missouri WIN at 60% I am also saying there is a 40% chance we lose.

I have us finishing 5-3 SEC play.
Click to expand...

Fairly good predictions for the most part, but I'd put UF, USC, Ole Miss, and Mizzou as 50/50 games.

Florida is not going to be as easy as some people think. Why? We rarely play well against them for whatever reason. Their defense is better than UGA's because they have a good secondary and will put pressure on Worley. Driskel can hurt you with his legs and Jones isn't a bad RB with a pretty good O-line to run behind. We don't know if Pearson and Smith will be healed up. UF will have had 2 weeks to prepare for us and heal up. We can beat them and I like our chance this year, but I've learned over the years to never take this game lightly even if you think we will win.
 
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#11
#11
volgrad500 said:
It was 10-3 with 10 minutes left in the game!! And Memphis lost their leading rusher in the first half lol. Ole miss is VERY VERY overrated. We should curb stomp FL and Ole Miss both.
Click to expand...

Memphis gave UCLA all they wanted. I would not overreact to that game in evaluating Ole Miss. We've had some tight games with them in the past with some pretty good teams ourselves. I do think we can beat Ole Miss, but it would be a nailbiter if we did.
 
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#12
#12
Rifleman said:
Memphis gave UCLA all they wanted. I would not overreact to that game in evaluating Ole Miss. We've had some tight games with them in the past with some pretty good teams ourselves. I do think we can beat Ole Miss, but it would be a nailbiter if we did.
Click to expand...
I think UCLA has been extremely overrated thus far. It seems like they finally got their O clicking last game though.
 
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#13
#13
I like your predictions OP. I tend to agree with you. The only game I feel very weary about is ole piss. Call me a sunshine pumper if y'all want, but I am looking forward to October 25 when the bammers and their clown OC comes to town. I will be there. I feel like the energy will be out of this world due to the circumstances. Go get em Vols!
 
#14
#14
I mostly agree OP. I think it's very possible we could go 8-4 and 5-3 in conf.. I just think the gamecocks have our game circled on their schedule. If we come out flat in Columbia, it could get ugly. Pray we keep up the intensity that we've had thusfar! I think we finish 7-5 and 4-4 in conf. After all we've been through.. I would absolutely take it! If we go 8-4 CBJ deserves coach of the year without question. Go Big Orange!!
 
#15
#15
Ole Miss was looking past Memphis to bama next week, and Memphis is not as bad as everyone thinks. Count on Florida to bring their A game to kville as per usual. Muschumps job depends on it.
 
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#16
#16
We still have to learn to actually win. I think we can play with every team left on our schedule, except one. I still would be ecstatic with 4-4 in conference. And happy with 3-5 and a bowl birth.

Anything else is gravy.
 
#17
#17
The only for sure loss left is Bama honestly....actually I think we can compete with them so ...10-2! Seriously though 8-4 is entirely possible. 7-5 I will take. 6-6 is meeting expectations but at this point would feel like a letdown
 
#19
#19
"...Tennessee impressed more than Georgia in that game."

Tough loss...but I'm optimistic about this team. They play hard all game, they are disciplined, and they are learning.
 
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#20
#20
VonoreVol said:
Fairly good predictions for the most part, but I'd put UF, USC, Ole Miss, and Mizzou as 50/50 games.

Florida is not going to be as easy as some people think. Why? We rarely play well against them for whatever reason. Their defense is better than UGA's because they have a good secondary and will put pressure on Worley. Driskel can hurt you with his legs and Jones isn't a bad RB with a pretty good O-line to run behind. We don't know if Pearson and Smith will be healed up. UF will have had 2 weeks to prepare for us and heal up. We can beat them and I like our chance this year, but I've learned over the years to never take this game lightly even if you think we will win.
Click to expand...

I do agree about how TN has been demonstrating some odd mental disorder against FL (for like 20 freaking years), but FL's defense sucks IMO. They barely seemed to hold back Kentucky, and the inconsistent QB play from Lane Idiot's offense (who just happens to be QB coach too I think....) but still forcing these turnovers tells me there might be a chance.

This is compounded by the fact that Butch seems to be pretty good at instilling some sort of mental toughness to his players. Also, AJ Johnson/Worley probably wants to whoop dey azz.
 
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#22
#22
johnboyhunter said:
Florida WIN 70% Certainty
South Carolina WIN 60% Certainty
Alabama LOSS 95% Certainty
Ole Miss LOSS 55% Certainty
Missouri WIN 60% Certainty
Kentucky WIN 80% Certainty
Vanderbilt WIN 99.44% Certainty

So my certainty ratings are how confident I am with each predicted outcome. So example with calling Missouri WIN at 60% I am also saying there is a 40% chance we lose.

I have us finishing 5-3 SEC play.
Click to expand...
What were your percentages of confidence for OU and UGA?
 
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