If the Presidential Election were re-held next Tuesday, 2/11

#1
GroverCleveland

GroverCleveland

22nd & 24th POTUS; Predecessor to 45 and 47.
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#1
If the election were to be re-held today, based on the last three weeks, how would it change? Would Trump win any additional states? Doubt he would lose any.

How would the popular vote change? I think he would increase his margins among males. It would not surprise me at all that the share of black males would jump to over 50%.

I would not be completely surprised at him flipping New York. Maybe Maine? Would Illinois be in play? Minnesota? Could even California be up for grabs?

Would the moderates/middle swing even harder towards Trump? What would the popular vote margin against Kamala be?
 
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#2
#2
GroverCleveland said:
If the election were to be re-held today, based on the last three weeks, how would it change? Would Trump win any additional states? Doubt he would lose any.

How would the popular vote change? I think he would increase his margins among males. It would not surprise me at all that he share of black males would jump to over 50%.

I would not be completely surprised at him flipping New York. Maybe Maine? Would Illinois be in play? Minnesota? Could even California be up for grabs?

Would the moderates/middle swing even harder towards Trump? What would the popular vote margin against Kamala be?
Click to expand...

He'd probably pick up 1 or 2 additional states.
 
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#3
#3
I think its one of those cases of "its tough to beat a team twice"

based on current results, I doubt we would see any real changes. the stuff that has come out so far has all been red meat for the people who already voted for Trump.

but if it was a whole new election, the Dems would be even more unified to get Trump out now, vs when they held the power. especially with all the dark money support they would get from people desperate to keep the USAID pipelines open.

its tough/unfair to compare results from the person in power vs the promises of the person not, meaning Kamala would get to push more promises, while focusing on Trump's negatives. while Trump would only have the results.
 
#4
#4
GroverCleveland said:
If the election were to be re-held today, based on the last three weeks, how would it change? Would Trump win any additional states? Doubt he would lose any.

How would the popular vote change? I think he would increase his margins among males. It would not surprise me at all that the share of black males would jump to over 50%.

I would not be completely surprised at him flipping New York. Maybe Maine? Would Illinois be in play? Minnesota? Could even California be up for grabs?

Would the moderates/middle swing even harder towards Trump? What would the popular vote margin against Kamala be?
Click to expand...

If everything was on the up and up, he would gain quite a few States.

I have no idea how that guy has the energy.
 
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#5
#5
GroverCleveland said:
If the election were to be re-held today, based on the last three weeks, how would it change? Would Trump win any additional states? Doubt he would lose any.

How would the popular vote change? I think he would increase his margins among males. It would not surprise me at all that the share of black males would jump to over 50%.

I would not be completely surprised at him flipping New York. Maybe Maine? Would Illinois be in play? Minnesota? Could even California be up for grabs?

Would the moderates/middle swing even harder towards Trump? What would the popular vote margin against Kamala be?
Click to expand...
He'll never win Somalia
 
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#8
#8
You'd be more likely to see a state like WI shift slightly back left than get the 4-5% to move VA to the right...

There would be no change in ultimate result
 
#9
#9
BigOrangeMojo said:
You'd be more likely to see a state like WI shift slightly back left than get the 4-5% to move VA to the right...

There would be no change in ultimate result
Click to expand...
Interesting. Why would you think WI would shift back left?
 
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