How much of a chance do the Vols have at winning the east next year?

#4
#4
Next year....beat Georgia and it is ours.....Florida will be worse before better.

Well.................it is wishful thinking right?
 
#6
#6
Not much, but yeah if we beat Georgia or Florida or South Carolina, we may be in business.
 
#7
#7
20-30% in my eyes, but the UGA game will be the big one in my eyes like the above post.
 
#8
#8
I'd say probably as much as Miss St. does winning the West. Both teams are on the rise, but it's gonna take time. I say give us another yr or 2 and we'll be contenders.
 
#9
#9
Well we have Georgia and S. Car at home, that's a plus. Florida will be down but it'll still be hard to win in Gainesville. I think we can win it, I feel a lot better about this year than I have since '07
 
#10
#10
volcrazi said:
I'd say probably as much as Miss St. does winning the West. Both teams are on the rise, but it's gonna take time. I say give us another yr or 2 and we'll be contenders.
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I would disagree simply because, there isn't nearly as much competition in the east right now.
 
#11
#11
In reality it is a 16.667% chance since there are six teams in the east. If you drop UK and Vandy from the mix, that would make it a 25% chance. If you figure in the fact that the other three teams have more talent, that would probably lower that percentage a bit(22.5%). Then throw into the mix that one of those teams probably has a better coach(CSS), it may lower it a tad more(20%). One team has a more experienced coach(CMR) that ends up underachieving with his plethora of talent, so we will call that a wash(still 20%). The other team is way more talented, but has a new coaching staff and more than likely a new system. We will say that bumps our chances a tad(22.5%). We get two of the more talented teams at home, so give us another bump(25%). The thing that, IMO, makes the biggest dent in our chances is the fact we have to play probably the three top teams in the west next year(20%) with two of them being on the road(16.66%). So, after all that, it still takes three licks to get to the center of a tootsie roll pop and our chances at winning the east are still 1 in 6.
 
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#13
#13
I don't care what anyone says, Unless USCjr blasts us at home I say we are going to beat Florida, Beat Uga and we will be on top of the east. The only team that could really lay claim to the East would be South Carolina... But the cocks winning the east 2 times in a row? I think Jesus will slap Five with me before that Happens IMO.. Lets Go Vols.. 75% chance we win the East
 
#14
#14
GoodOleRkyTop said:
I don't care what anyone says, Unless USCjr blasts us at home I say we are going to beat Florida, Beat Uga and we will be on top of the east. The only team that could really lay claim to the East would be South Carolina... But the cocks winning the east 2 times in a row? I think Jesus will slap Five with me before that Happens IMO.. Lets Go Vols.. 75% chance we win the East
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Agree. South Carolina doesn't deserve to win the east twice in a row.
 
#16
#16
UGA has a QB beginning his 3rd year in their system and a host of talent. USC will have a heisman candidate running back. Both will be tough games and we'll enter both at least two TD underdogs. Home field advantage will help but it will depend on Poole, Neal, Williams and one of the new guys on how much we are able to compete. If we have a running game that will take some pressure off the passing game, then we'll be competitive. If our running game stays the same level as this year,then we'll have problems winning either of these games. If we don't win these then we can write off winning the SEC East.
 
#17
#17
Less than 5%. There are 3 teams in the east who will be definitively better than we are. USCjr returns a senior QB who will be throwing to one of the top 5 receivers in the nation and handing off to the best back in the SEC. UGA will be improved as well and UF will go back to being UF once they let Brantley gets back in a pro-style offense.

Add our yearly game with Bama and our two rotating games, LSU, who is likely a top five team next year and Arkansas who is on a big upswing over the past couple seasons and I just don't see any way UT has a real shot in 2011.
 
#18
#18
I think we have a harder time beating USCjr than UF or UGA. UF has a new coaching staff, and UGA does less with better players than anyone. Spurrier has a good team returning, and a good recruiting class coming in to help. I would rather take my chances in beating CMR anyday than the old ball coach.
 
#19
#19
If Fulmer were here, would gibbs say 0% because we only would go once per 3 years?
 
#20
#20
We will likely have about 25 4/5* players on the roster. No team has ever won the SEC east with that few number of 4/5* players. So I'd say 3% is correct.
 
#22
#22
bleedorange0037 said:
Less than 5%. There are 3 teams in the east who will be definitively better than we are. USCjr returns a senior QB who will be throwing to one of the top 5 receivers in the nation and handing off to the best back in the SEC. UGA will be improved as well and UF will go back to being UF once they let Brantley gets back in a pro-style offense.

Add our yearly game with Bama and our two rotating games, LSU, who is likely a top five team next year and Arkansas who is on a big upswing over the past couple seasons and I just don't see any way UT has a real shot in 2011.
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I agree with most of what you said. Fl has so much tallent they should be way better, but (against all odds)their receivers stink and unless they get a freshman, they dont have a running back. I just dont know about them.

If bray, the young oline and the young receivers progress, if we get some production out of a couple young dts, and if we stay generally healthy.... I'D give us about a 20% chance.

For us to do well next year we have to rely on more talented teams to continue to vastly underacheive, and thats just not likely.
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#23
#23
manfromtn said:
In reality it is a 16.667% chance since there are six teams in the east. If you drop UK and Vandy from the mix, that would make it a 25% chance. If you figure in the fact that the other three teams have more talent, that would probably lower that percentage a bit(22.5%). Then throw into the mix that one of those teams probably has a better coach(CSS), it may lower it a tad more(20%). One team has a more experienced coach(CMR) that ends up underachieving with his plethora of talent, so we will call that a wash(still 20%). The other team is way more talented, but has a new coaching staff and more than likely a new system. We will say that bumps our chances a tad(22.5%). We get two of the more talented teams at home, so give us another bump(25%). The thing that, IMO, makes the biggest dent in our chances is the fact we have to play probably the three top teams in the west next year(20%) with two of them being on the road(16.66%). So, after all that, it still takes three licks to get to the center of a tootsie roll pop and our chances at winning the east are still 1 in 6.
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:)
 

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#24
#24
ptclaus98 said:
All depends on how we finish in recruiting.
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Too true. So my take is:

1. The request for a prediction is too early. So any made here is moot.

2. At our current level of talent and the conditions of East teams, we can expect no better than 2nd place.

3. If we get even half of the talent we're currently gunning for, we will likely still only muster 2nd. But I'm going to stick my neck out and say despite being 2nd we're going to see a shocking and unanticipated 10-2 season. Half of it will be pure dumb luck but the offense will be just little bit scary for opponents.
 
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