The only true valuation of a coach is where his teams finish year in and year out. A top ten coach will have his team finish in the top ten. I am not looking for a mathematical calculation, just a general expectation. For example, Nick Saban is a top 5 coach. I would not argue if someone said he is a top two coach or number 1.
I am not looking to establish an exact ranking of coaches, and I don't need to consider outlying years good or bad. You don't need to even be specific about which pole or computers program are used.
Looking at 2015-2016 UT finished around 22 in the CFP. So Butch is in the top 25. This says nothing about potential etc. I choose to ignore Butch's first two years because of the state of the program he took over. It is interesting that I am evaluating on two years when it seems he has been here forever. I could throw out last year for injuries but it would not change the rank any.
The great thing about this method is I can ignore all the little stuff everyone likes to at pick on so much, and go straight to an evaluation.
Has Butch reached his ceiling? Butch and his staff all have impact on where the team finishes. Ultimately Butch gets credit for the record, but a better staff can bring a better record. I don't think the former staff was as good as the current staff, and I think there is still room for improvement. I think the current staff could regularly finish in the top 20. With better staff Butch could easily move into the 10-15 range.
Don't tell me Butch should have have hired a better staff. He hired what he could afford, just like most other coaches not named Saban.
Is a top 10-15 coach good enough? It is certainly good enough to fill seats and keep the cash flowing. This meets the administration requirements. It is not likely good enough to satisfy fans looking for a championship every 4-5 years. For this we need a Saban, but is the championship worth the extra expense in salary?
I am not looking to establish an exact ranking of coaches, and I don't need to consider outlying years good or bad. You don't need to even be specific about which pole or computers program are used.
Looking at 2015-2016 UT finished around 22 in the CFP. So Butch is in the top 25. This says nothing about potential etc. I choose to ignore Butch's first two years because of the state of the program he took over. It is interesting that I am evaluating on two years when it seems he has been here forever. I could throw out last year for injuries but it would not change the rank any.
The great thing about this method is I can ignore all the little stuff everyone likes to at pick on so much, and go straight to an evaluation.
Has Butch reached his ceiling? Butch and his staff all have impact on where the team finishes. Ultimately Butch gets credit for the record, but a better staff can bring a better record. I don't think the former staff was as good as the current staff, and I think there is still room for improvement. I think the current staff could regularly finish in the top 20. With better staff Butch could easily move into the 10-15 range.
Don't tell me Butch should have have hired a better staff. He hired what he could afford, just like most other coaches not named Saban.
Is a top 10-15 coach good enough? It is certainly good enough to fill seats and keep the cash flowing. This meets the administration requirements. It is not likely good enough to satisfy fans looking for a championship every 4-5 years. For this we need a Saban, but is the championship worth the extra expense in salary?