Honestly, what are the chances that Florida actually loses another conference game?

#226
#226
OHvol40 said:
I think the gator's shaky O will be hard pressed to score 14 on LSU in BR and LSU's run game will lean on the gators till they break. It may be a good game for 3 quarters... maybe
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What if UF loads the box and makes LSU beat them in the air? Can they? I dont know about that. Now LSU has great players on both sides of the ball. But UFs defense is no joke. They have the talent to slow down LSU's run game. Not stop it, but at least slow it down to the point where LSU is going to have to throw. And can Etling have success against the UF secondary? I think thats the biggest question.
 
#227
#227
BigOrangeTrain said:
With UFs defense, I highly doubt anyone but Bama destroys them.
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By that logic we are a top 5 offense in college football. For arguments sake where to Florida's opponents rank in offense?

Let's also not forget that Kentucky and Missouri put up major yards against lower division opponents and have looked pedestrian against bigger schools.
 
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#228
#228
BigOrangeTrain said:
What if UF loads the box and makes LSU beat them in the air? Can they? I dont know about that. Now LSU has great players on both sides of the ball. But UFs defense is no joke. They have the talent to slow down LSU's run game. Not stop it, but at least slow it down to the point where LSU is going to have to throw. And can Etling have success against the UF secondary? I think thats the biggest question.
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I don't believe Florida can hold up against the run for 4 quarters. They lack depth.
 
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#229
#229
Nocleats said:
Absolutely can lose,, LSU was going to be without Fournette and was struggling.. LSU has more talent on the field than Alabama if you go by the recruiting/ nfl projection stuff.. Depends upon which UGA team shows up but if the good one shows up and Eason has a great game again, florida doesn't have an offense to get into a shootout with..
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I'm thinking they lose 2. LSU and one other.
 
#230
#230
BigOrangeTrain said:
What if UF loads the box and makes LSU beat them in the air? Can they? I dont know about that. Now LSU has great players on both sides of the ball. But UFs defense is no joke. They have the talent to slow down LSU's run game. Not stop it, but at least slow it down to the point where LSU is going to have to throw. And can Etling have success against the UF secondary? I think thats the biggest question.
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The question is whether Etling is good enough to have success against Alabama. I think Etling can do fine against Florida, I mean do we really know how good Florida's D is? I mean the only team they have really played is Tennessee and they gave up 38. I think they will have more a test this week.

I said it before the year started that LSU had to have more Guice and less Fournette for the offense to succeed, I still feel that way. The offense is just more well rounded with Guice and when LSU is in the pistol. imo

Hard to say whether the recent offensive stats is changes made or weak Ds LSU has faced Missouri and Ole Miss are in the 100+ in total D, Southern Miss is like #19. What I can say, is O isn't going to sit on a lead like Les did, now whether or not LSU can get in that position is a different story.


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#233
#233
photovol said:
What are the chances the Vols lose another game?:eek:hmy:
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According to ESPN's FPI, there's a less than 22% chance we lose any single game between now and the end of the year (Vandy has the best chance against us, at 22%).

If you combine all those chances, though, statistics say our chance of winning all five of our remaining games is right at 50/50.
  • 85% chance of beating USCe
  • 99.4% chance of beating TTU
  • 90.7% chance of beating Kentucky
  • 83.5% chance of beating Mizzou
  • 78% chance of beating Vandy
.85 * .994 * .907 * .835 * .78 = .4991 = 49.9% --> 50/50 odds

So Florida has a 10% chance of winning out in the SEC, while we have a 50% chance of winning out. I like our odds of winning the East better than theirs, for sure. :hi:
 
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#235
#235
Priest-of-Apollo.jpg


A farmer saw an eagle today, clutching a reptile in its talons. It is a sign from Apollo. The gods curse the Gators.
 
#237
#237
Teams Gators have played u mass, uk, n.Tex, UT, Vandy, pussed out, Mizz.

Lost to UT. Lost.
 
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#240
#240
Behr said:
Teams Gators have played u mass, uk, n.Tex, UT, Vandy, pussed out, Mizz.

Lost to UT. Lost.
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Exactly! I'm sick of hearing about this amazing defense Florida has.

UMASS- Hung with Florida until the 4th quarter.
UK- It's Kentucky y'all.
N. Texas- Not really considered an offensive juggernaut
UT-Gave up 35 points in one half to us.
Vandy-Out gained the Gators in total yards and won time of possession.
Mizzou- Got two TD's on Defense but still have up 265 yards rushing 5.8yds/run.

My point is their schedule is mostly responsible for the credit the defense is getting. Not saying they are terrible. Just saying they aren't this amazing defense that Arkansas, Louisiana, or even Georgia aren't going to be able to move the ball against. I think they get seriously exposed in the second half of the season.
 
#241
#241
volfannbama said:
That always struck me as stupid. The loser of the SECCG is the second place team. It dumb. But this year A and M or LSU would be considered second, not UT.
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It's really not though. It's a bid based off a different criteria of teams scheduled yearly, to compensate for the fact that all the teams in a given conference don't play one another.

Take a look at a year like 2010, 2011, 1995 or even 1998.


It's not a traditional "Championship Game" - like in a finals - where the loser would automatically be the second best team in the conference.
 
#242
#242
I believe the FL D and the TAM D are both over rated. Both wilted in the second half. We have some offense but both teams gave up points fast. I believe LSU can run on FL and wear down the FL D in the second half. They just need enough passing to keep time if possession even. I also see LSU sucessfully going deep with play action a few times as they have a line that can block. LSU has a lot of tallent on D as well. I don't see the FL Oline doing well. "Complementary Football"as Jones would say for LSU.
 
#243
#243
If Florida plays LSU at night in Death Valley, Florida will probably lose that game. LSU has been almost unbeatable at home during night games in recent years.
 
#244
#244
tallyho said:
The Sugar Bowl will take the highest ranked SEC team that doesn't make the playoffs. If the winner of the SECCG doesn't make the playoffs then it goes to Sugar Bowl. The loser goes to Citrus Bowl.

As of today it looks like the following bowls for SEC teams:

Playoffs: Alabama

Sugar Bowl: Texas A&M/LSU
Orange Bowl: Texas A&M/Tenn
Citrus Bowl: Tenn/LSU
Outback Bowl: Florida/Auburn
Peach Bowl: LSU/Auburn
Music City: Ole Miss/Georgia
Belk: Georgia/Florida
Liberty: Ole Miss/Arkansas
Taxslayer: Florida/Auburn
Birmingham: Kentucky/Vandy
Texas: Arkansas/Ole Miss
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There's also a chance Tennessee could make the Cotton Bowl, but help would be needed elsewhere

Also:

1) the Peach bowl is one of CFP bowls (and in fact, a playoff semifinal); the SEC doesn't have a tie-in bid to it any longer.

2) the Outback, Music City, Taxslayer, Belk, Texas, and Liberty Bowls all essentially for the same tier of bowl tie-ins for SEC teams - sometimes called the "pool of 6" - where bid placement isn't awarded based on order of finish any longer. Instead, the SEC front offices now decide the placements of SEC teams in those bowls. The front office receives from each bowl-eligible school the list of bowl games they're interested in playing in, as well as from the bowls a list of the teams they're interested in inviting. The SEC then determines which team goes where, with decisions being made based on considerations such as distance for school/fanbase, if the team's been to one of the bowl games more recently, preventing rematches of recent games (both regular season and recent bowl games), etc.
 
#245
#245
ETV said:
Only loss Florida should have will be LSU. However, UT is depleted and may struggle with 1 of its remaining conference games, most likely on the road with S. Carolina. None of them are a given.
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Except the remaining teams we play are all pretty much terribad.
 
#248
#248
We have slightly better than a 50/50 shot to win the East, FL is less likely at only at 40% chance...that is based solely on having to play at LSU game (only about a 25% they win that game). FL is what a TD favorite this weekend, but I could see uGa pulling the upset. Say what you will about Arky, but I think that team we saw last weekend will play much better at home against FL, as well.
 
#249
#249
Well they do have several games left, including Georgia & LSU. It's not like they have looked dominant and are unbeatable??
 
#250
#250
Just my opinion I think LSU has the best chance at beating Gators. It's in death valley and a night game if I'm not mistaking. LSU is always tough at home at night. They are going to have there run game back.
 
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