Honestly, what are the chances that Florida actually loses another conference game?

#177
#177
Ancient Reptile said:
I think the Gators lose one. But what are the chances you win out? Isn't that the question? As of now you are in third place, behind Kentucky.
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I think better than Florida not losing at least one. I can not explain why/how Auburn stomped Arkansas except that their stupid players stomped the Auburn Logo at the center of the field before the game. However, what that means to me is that Auburn has the talent to play really good football, but the coaches had not been able to motivate the team. Arkansas did that for them.
 
#178
#178
I thought Arkansas had the best chance at beating Florida before they got destroyed v Auburn, now I'm feeling like it's LSU.

Big key for Florida versus LSU will be the health of LB Jarrad Davis. He's expected to miss some time with a bad ankle sprain, but Florida absolutely needs him healthy against Fournette or they'll struggle to stop him.
 
#179
#179
govols105 said:
gators will beat lsu in baton rouge. mainly because everyone thinks they cant and won't. sadly that will leave us out in the cold. thanks butch!
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Florida-LSU has been very close and competitive about every year recently, including last year.

This year will have more juice because of the bad blood that developed over the hurricane, the tense back-and-forth on rescheduling, and the stuff said on social media and other places about this team "being scared," that team finagling a home game out of a natural disaster, etc.

If SECCG births are on the line, this game will be epic.
 
#180
#180
Florida win odds according to FPI:

0 wins - 0.7%
1 win - 10.1%
2 wins - 36.6%
3 wins - 42.8%
4 wins - 9.8%

So they're as likely to only win 1 more game as they are of winning out. More than likely they'll win between 2 and 3 of their remaining 4 games.

I like our chances at representing the East in Atlanta, however there's little margin for error
 
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#181
#181
If LSU shows up like they did against Ole Miss they will run all over the gators. Hopefully they lose to Georgia this week, but I don't see it.
 
#182
#182
On any given day, any team is beatable. Some more likely than others. Like Bammer...not likely. The Gators...yes. See the outcome of their game of September 24th. :)

:rock:
Vol til I fall!!!
 
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#183
#183
LSU will beat the frik up and not going to win florida.

Sat, Nov 5 vs Alabama TBD
Sat, Nov 12
@
Arkansas
TBD
Sat, Nov 19
vs
Florida
TBD
Thu, Nov 24
@
Texas A&M
7:30 PM

The biggest obstacle for florida will be florida state with a freshman QB. Not sure which way I'm going in that game yet.

Sat, Oct 29 vs Georgia 3:30 PM
Sat, Nov 5 @ Arkansas TBD
Sat, Nov 12
vs
South Carolina
TBD
Sat, Nov 19
@
LSU
TBD
Sat, Nov 26
@
Florida State

Florida state my be healthy and ready to go by the time they play florida.

Sat, Oct 29 vs Clemson 8:00 PM
Sat, Nov 5 @ North Carolina State TBD
Fri, Nov 11
vs
Boston College
7:30 PM
Sat, Nov 19
@
Syracuse
TBD
Sat, Nov 26
vs
Florida

Florida is the most rested, prepared, healthiest team in the country now. They have had 2 weeks R&R.

If Florida beats Florida State we will be in the big ten bowl again. Maybe against O state? Basically season is over and we are dependent on Florida State to take care of business for us because we couldn't handle our business.
 
#184
#184
IluvdoubleD's said:
LSU will beat the frik up and not going to win florida.

Sat, Nov 5 vs Alabama TBD
Sat, Nov 12
@
Arkansas
TBD
Sat, Nov 19
vs
Florida
TBD
Thu, Nov 24
@
Texas A&M
7:30 PM

The biggest obstacle for florida will be florida state with a freshman QB. Not sure which way I'm going in that game yet.

Sat, Oct 29 vs Georgia 3:30 PM
Sat, Nov 5 @ Arkansas TBD
Sat, Nov 12
vs
South Carolina
TBD
Sat, Nov 19
@
LSU
TBD
Sat, Nov 26
@
Florida State

Florida state my be healthy and ready to go by the time they play florida.

Sat, Oct 29 vs Clemson 8:00 PM
Sat, Nov 5 @ North Carolina State TBD
Fri, Nov 11
vs
Boston College
7:30 PM
Sat, Nov 19
@
Syracuse
TBD
Sat, Nov 26
vs
Florida

Florida is the most rested, prepared, healthiest team in the country now. They have had 2 weeks R&R.

If Florida beats Florida State we will be in the big ten bowl again. Maybe against O state? Basically season is over and we are dependent on Florida State to take care of business for us because we couldn't handle our business.
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That's really nice how you lay it all out but FSU game has nothing to do with Florida winning the East.
 
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#185
#185
I guess that's true. Even if they lose to Florida state they still win the east right? We are going to a big ten bowl. It's all but signed at this point.
 
#186
#186
One of these days... hopefully soon, people will learn. Alabama is our season. Alabama is the biggest must have win. Every season. No matter what finebaum wants to sell you. Beat Alabama... at home, and everything else will take care of it's self. You have to be beat Alabama or you will play the big ten bowl every year.
 
#187
#187
With Kirkland, Weisman, foreman, and maybe sutton back, hell yeah I want Alabama. It sure wouldn't be the same game.
 
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#188
#188
Lsu should beat Florida, and Georgia has a chance. I expect arky to give them fits too.
 
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#191
#191
Ancient Reptile said:
I think the Gators lose one. But what are the chances you win out? Isn't that the question? As of now you are in third place, behind Kentucky.
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Here we go again an effing gator over here talking shiz! I would be willing to bet Fla loses 2 games against Ark and LSU. Everyone writing off Ark is a bad idea. Ark looked bad against AUB yes, but they were on their 8th week in a row with no break and AUB is improving. Arky gets a bye week and they are tough at home, gators lose this game and the game at LSU. So even if we lost another game in conf, which I don't think we will, we probably still go to Atlanta!

Maybe a gator board would be better for you..
 
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#192
#192
UF FPI

Presently giving UF 73% chance of beating UGA, a 64% chance of defeating Arkansas, a 91% chance of beating SoCar, and a 77% chance of losing to LSU.

Greater likelihood: 2016 UF 6-2 in SEC. Would make a larger number of people happy if they wound up 5-3 or 4-4.
 
#196
#196
Tin Man said:
UF FPI

Presently giving UF 73% chance of beating UGA, a 64% chance of defeating Arkansas, a 91% chance of beating SoCar, and a 77% chance of losing to LSU.

Greater likelihood: 2016 UF 6-2 in SEC. Would make a larger number of people happy if they wound up 5-3 or 4-4.
Click to expand...

If you go by those chances..the is about a 66% chance UF will lose 1 more SEC game. (0.73*0.64*0.91*0.77)*100%
 
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#198
#198
I like our chances, if healthy, against anyone in the west. If we can get some guys back and prepare well for an SEC championship, it might be closer than you'd think, even if it's Alabama.

I also didn't like the game plan vs. Alabama at all. It was kind of like we were there to just take a beating and try to get out alive. I don't think we'd play the same way in an SECC. Maybe that's just wishful thinking though.
 
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#200
#200
I think most of us agree that Florida probably loses to LSU. I think out of Georgia, Ark and SC, they probably lose one. Not that it matters in the SEC, but I believe they lose to FSU to finish 8-4 and hopefully lose in a bowl game. I want a re-match with Alabama. I don't expect to win, but it will not be the same Tennessee team that lost the Alabama the first time. Alabama also has a number of hard games remaining, similar to our 4 game stretch and has already lost their safety for the season. The Iron bowl may also be for the SEC West. I want to win the East and give the West champion our best shot.
 
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