Heupel Against the Spread

#6
#6
I’m all over it. Money line is free money at -650. I expect the offense and Aguilar to show out to prove a point to a pink pj wearing coward and his family. The defense is just a different level of strong that program can’t comprehend. I see us jumping out like 28–0 by halftime and running the ball and clock the entire 2h to win like 42-10. Backdoor cover a threat but I think our D too proud and stingy to get cracked late
 
#8
#8
I predicted something like 42-17 in the Pick the Score contest, but I have honest hope that we come out with the offense looking like 2022: 63-7 instead.

And all the defensive coordinators in the SEC have to sit down around 3:00 Saturday afternoon, no matter what's going on in their own games, as they consider having to fight that again. Worrying that "Josh is back."

Don't just beat the spread, nuke the damn thing. As we did in the early days of this coach.

Wouldn't that be cool? :)

Go Vols!
 
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#9
#9
ochocinco said:
I’m all over it. Money line is free money at -650. I expect the offense and Aguilar to show out to prove a point to a pink pj wearing coward and his family. The defense is just a different level of strong that program can’t comprehend. I see us jumping out like 28–0 by halftime and running the ball and clock the entire 2h to win like 42-10. Backdoor cover a threat but I think our D too proud and stingy to get cracked late
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Especially with Al Wilson on the sideline.
 
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#13
#13
Question from a non-gambling outsider peeking in:

What are "coach against the spread" stats actually a measure of?
Aren't those bets actually just "the spread against its historic self" wagers?
 
#14
#14
Did a little stat comparison to try to make me feel better about the game


QB Comparison
-Joey Aguillar in the Sunbelt for 2 seasons: 6,760 passing yards, 56 td, 14 ints. 452 rushing yards and 5 rushing td's
-Steve Angeli in 2 seasons at Notre Dame threw for 755 yards and 10 td with 1 int. 36 total rushing yards 0 rushing td's

Running Game Comparison
-Bishop rushing yards last season was 455 as a freshman
-Lewis had 209 more rushing yards than their projected starter at RB (Lequint Allen was drafted by Jags)
-They were held to less than 100 rushing yards six times last season in the ACC
-Their rushing defense was ranked 82nd out of 134 NCAA teams

Receiving Comparison
-Darrell Gill jr. at cuse 630 yards 3td's
-Brazzell II: Career (Tulane and Tenn) 1055 yards, 355 yards last season
-Tightend Dan Villari 355 rec yards with 3 td (Oronde Gadsden had over 2000 rec yards and was drafted by Chargers)
-Ethan Davis Career 133 total tards and Miles Kitselman 301 yards and 2 tds

defense
2024: tennessee had 12 int's, 29 sacks, 11 ff ... #6 total defense: 3,812 total yards allowed. 293.2 avg yards allowed. 26 opponent TD's allowed. Jermod McCoy returns to team with 4 int's.
2024: syracuse had 11 int's, 27 sacks, 8 ff ... #78 total defense: 4,908 total yards allowed. 377. avg yards allowed. 47 opponent TD's allowed. Jayden Bellamy returns to team with 2 int's.

coach comparison
Fran Brown 10-3 ... Bowls 1-0... DB Coach on 2022 UGA National Championship team
Hype Dog 65-23 ... Bowl 3-4 ... SEC Coach of the Year 2022
 
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#18
#18
ochocinco said:
I’m all over it. Money line is free money at -650. I expect the offense and Aguilar to show out to prove a point to a pink pj wearing coward and his family. The defense is just a different level of strong that program can’t comprehend. I see us jumping out like 28–0 by halftime and running the ball and clock the entire 2h to win like 42-10. Backdoor cover a threat but I think our D too proud and stingy to get cracked late
Click to expand...
Too bad it's wed. or thur. instead of being half time sat.. It is easy to be up big at half time on Thursday for a Saturday game..
 
#20
#20
Maybe I am overthinking this, but if we are 9-0 Vs. the spread over the last 3 seasons, what are we against the other 3 teams? We play 4 OOC games per year. Well, until next year, but you get my point, hopefully!!

Vols 41-13
 
#21
#21
I think turnovers are about the only way Syracuse scores. I do not imagine them driving the length of the field on UT's D.

UT will run the ball. So in my mind the score comes down to how well the scheme fits Aguilar. My one concern within that concern is that the most effective use of TEs is between the hashes. We don't want JA throwing a lot between the hashes. UT's WRs are unproven. So will the passing game click?
 
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