Do you even follow the NFL? Anyone that does would know that Terrell Davis didn't hit any freaking wall. He suffered a career ending knee injury. Eddie George didn't really hit a wall either. The Titans ran the damn wheels off of him, which is the same thing that happened to Shaun Alexander and appears to have happened to LT.
LT has 229 more carries than Fred Taylor, and he's played 3 fewer seasons. LT has averaged 332 carries per season. Shaun Alexander has only 252 fewer career carries than Fred Taylor, and he has played 3 fewer seasons as well. Shaun Alexander has averaged 272 carries per season. Fred Taylor has averaged only 220 carries per season over an 11 year career, which is far fewer carries than LT or Shaun Alexander.
Yes, Football Genius, I do follow the NFL... call it what you want.. hitting a wall, career ending injury, wheels falling off... these backs peak quickly and then flame out even quicker, for whatever reason. Thanks for helping me make my point. All of the backs named above, reached their prime after a few seasons... then it was quickly over. All of those running backs had the benefit of great offensive lines also. I had Seattle Seahawks season tickets during their Super Bowl run a few years ago, it was the one of the finest season long displays of running I have ever seen. The very next season Seattle got rid of Steve Hutchinson, one of the best linemen in the NFL... suddenly Alexander had to run harder for his yards, took more hits, got hurt, stopped finishing his runs strong, then it was pretty much over. Eddie George, had the benefit of running behind Lorenzo Neal, one of the best fullbacks ever... once the Titans got rid of Neal and went to the single back running game exclusively, Eddie's career was more or less done. Guess who got to run behind L Neal next... LT. Wheels are falling off in San Diego now and speed demon Darren Sproles is looking more effective than LT. Larry Johnson, Ahman Green, etc, the list goes on, they get tired, hurt, whatever. I guess my point with Fred Taylor being a workhorse is the longevity and productivity he has displayed, Tiki Barber was another guy that benefited from splitting carries. Not many NFL running backs can be productive for very long with the exception of guys like Emmitt Smith or Marshall Faulk... its lightning in a bottle to score a guys like that. Please also note, Foster doesn't really belong in the same conversation with any RB named in this paragraph.
Back to ARIAN FOSTER... there is probably a hidden blessing in all of this for him, he's going to get drafted late and that improves his chances of landing on a better team. He will look much better and last longer behind a strong O-Line on a competitive team. He's not good enough to be productive on a bad team.
These debates are fun... I am no football genius by any means, but I spend as much time following the pro and college game as just about anyone that doesn't get paid for it. Bottom line... none of us on Vol Nation know jack compared to the NFL scouts and coaches getting paid millions to evaluate talent. Any one of us that really knew that much would have given up our day jobs long ago.
For all of you that think Arian is the sleeper pick of this year's draft... go ahead, pick with your heart and take him for your fantasy teams next season. I'm not.
Here's the general analysis on Arian Foster:
NFL Events: Combine Player Profiles - Arian Foster