Another oddity I noticed is in the WR rankings. We are 17th and Cal is 8th. We have one 4star and one 3 star while Cal only has one 4star. Additionally, our 4star(Bowles) is ranked three spots ahead of their 4star(Treggs). Just seems like things are off at this point in the numbers.
Thunder, I need a favor. Can you see where we'd finish if we added these guys before NSD?
Jelks
Hamilton
Patterson
Taylor
Autry
O'Brien
I know that's a best-case scenario. But I believe it's very possible.
Also, we'd have 3-4 spots open, so it could/would get better.
I think your missing the point of almost all my posts in these 2 threads...is poking fun at you. Hold on..maybe I can come up with a formula to explain it.
Facts are what a person wants to believe them to be.
Arkansas has a ranking of 3.08, Rutgers has a ranking of 2.92, Tennessee has a ranking of 2.90. It's not hard for me to see why we are rated behind them. :thumbsup:
I did not even need a 2 page formula to figure it out.
Odd....2 % huh?
The Arkansas total comes out just right. The Rutgers total comes out just right...and both would be above Tennessee. Maybe you just gave us 2 bad examples as those were part of that 2% huh? I would guess that total class count comes into play as well and that would be why a team like Indiana while close to Tennessee's ranking # of 2.90 is higher as they have 4-5 more commits. As I said, unrated players may play into it as well.
Ok, I will just trust you.
Arkansas= 1 (4) star, and (11) 3 stars = 37 stars. Divide that by 12 players rated. It comes out to 3.08..which is their exact ranking per rivals. But...I will trust you and your formula. Maybe Arkansas was a bad example. :thumbsup:
I did that with 1st grade math..no formula needed.
"What do you mean we are not top 50"!!!! "I checked the damn formula"!!!lol:
1930 points...average finish of 11th place
Good stuff, Thunder :good!:
And that's only with those 6 more players. They will get a commitment from 9-10 more. Top 10 here we come
If you added in 3 more, and lets say for arguments sake they were all 5.7 3stars, not even 4stars....where would that put us? I'm guessing 8th?
Positional rankings would have an effect but that would put us at roughly 2025-2090 which would be 9-10th on average
Here's an explanation of why I think their current total points calculations are all wrong:
This is the Rivals formula:
POINTS = ((N / (N + 50)) * H) + ((50 / (N + 50)) * L)
where...
H = 250 for each 5-star commit + 140 for each 4-star + 75 for each 3-star + 20 for each 2-star + 10 for each 1-star
L = 18 for each 5-star + 12 for each 4-star + 8 for each 3-star + 3 for each 2-star + 1 for each 1-star
N = a big honkin' calculation
Here is a link explaining how to calculate N:
Rivals formula for their rankings. - FalconsLIFE
Long story short, N is effected by a players position ranking and their placement in the Rivals 100, JUCO 50 or Prep 50...
There is also an average ranking factor...If the team's average stars are greater than 3, add (100 * (Avg stars -<br> > 3)) to N...this is only in play if the average player rating is 3 or above...
Michigan's current class breaks down like this as far as scoring is concerned:
Ten 4*'s, nine 3*'s and one unrated player...they also have the following that effects their N value:
Rivals 100 players: 3 (Kalis, Stone, Magnuson)
Players that score at thier given position: 17 (Kalis, Stone, Magnuson, Bars, Funchess, Stacey, Williams, Bolden, Brown, Ruchardson, Ross, Strobel, Wilson, Gant, Goodin, Ringer, Standifer)
Average star rating: 3.43
With a m value of 50 (as described in the link that explains the formula) these things should give Michigan a total of 1783 points (they have a very solid class needless to say)....but currently they only have 1324...
I chose Michigan as an example because they have 20 total recruits and Rivals formula only considers the top 20 players...
Given the same formula Tennessee breaks down like this:
One 4*, seven 3*'s, one 2*, two unrated players...we also have the following factors affecting N:
Rivals 100: 0
Players that score at thier given position: 4 (Bowles, Peters, Peterman, Cross)
Average star rating: 2.82
With a m value of 50 (as described in the link explaining the formula) this should give Tennessee 320 points
I hope this clarifies my belief that the current points calculation in the team rankings are wrong...
If anyone has any questions please let me know