Definitely a period of cooler weather coming soon, but there will be another warmup sometime in early November. Also looking at some of the very long range models, we could see what winter lovers don't want to see in east TN, which is a lot of app runners. An app runner is when a low pressure system coming out of the south tracks over or very close to the Appalachian mountains. When that happens, we typically see a "warm nose" or "horseshoe effect" where the valley gets mostly rain and the higher elevations see the good snow amounts.
Below is a graphic of an app runner:
P.S. This is not an official forecast, so take the info with a grain of salt. I'm hoping this won't be the case.
Personally, I'm liking the app runners on the LRM. Shows me that it won't be a dry winter. I'm mostly paying attention the te troughs and where the blocking ridges are setting up. App runners typically don't bold well for us but if we get enough there will be a chance where cold air will be in place and we could get dumped with lots of snow.
Also, we could just see a cold winter and see more snow or all rain. All in all, this will be a different winter than we've had in years past.
VK always bringing it though! Glad you're still around brotha!